Image ImageImage Image

Wiretap: Bulls Hope To Re-Sign Zach LaVine At $14M-$16M

Moderators: HomoSapien, AshyLarrysDiaper, coldfish, Payt10, Ice Man, dougthonus, Michael Jackson, Tommy Udo 6 , kulaz3000, fleet, DASMACKDOWN, GimmeDat, RedBulls23

What's he worth?

13 million/yr
36
27%
14 million/yr
19
15%
15 million/yr
20
15%
16 million/yr
27
21%
17 million/yr
15
11%
18+ million/yr
14
11%
 
Total votes: 131

SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#221 » by SensiBull » Sun Jun 24, 2018 10:47 am

Threekola wrote:
SensiBull wrote:
Threekola wrote:
Well from a basketball perspective he can create his own shot, get to the rim and finish, and hit 3s at a high rate. Who can we get that has that skill set?


The question is pre-mature, couched in subjective terms and ignores the entire supply-and-demand argument I've laid out.

1. The question, particularly the use of the expression "go out and get" presumes that there is no one on the current roster who can ALREADY do what LaVine does. Yet, in the very post you're disputing, I already named slashers who can create their own shot and get to the rim, including Dunn, Kilpatrick, Jerian Grant and Nwaba, for much less money.

You kind of just breezed past that.

2. You conveniently use the expression "hit 3's at a high rate" rather than actually naming that numeric rate. That "high" rate that you refer to is 34%. I've already pointed out that that's the 9th highest on the team. So, what other than slashing and 34% shooting are we paying for?

http://www.espn.com/nba/team/stats/_/name/chi/cat/threePointFieldGoalPct

3. There is no need to obfuscate this with a myriad of unprovable hypothetical trade scenarios. I'm not taking that bait.

Sean Kilpatrick.


The problem with naming a bunch of guys who can do one thing LaVine can do is you can only play 5 guys at once. None of those guys can shoot, create their own shot, and finish at the rim. Dunn is the only guy who can be a good NBA player, but he plays another position, and can’t shoot. By the way, I think we should keep Dunn too.

And LaVine is a career 37% shooter. I don’t see any reason to think moving forward that last years numbers are some kind of high water mark. He was obviously forcing it last year.

And Kilpatrick is not a good NBA player. Any argument that you don’t need a guy like LaVine because you can get Kilpatrick leads you to nowhere but being horrible. I’m not making serious arguments based on 9 game sample sizes.


There goes that subjectivity.

"Sean Kilpatrick is not a good NBA player."

This reminds me of that scene in Austin Powers, when he takes his son to the therapist, and the son, Scott, says:

"I don't know. I was thinking I might become a vet."

And Dr. Evil asks:

"An EVIL vet?"

"No. I was thinking maybe I could open a petting zoo?"

"An EVIL petting zoo?"

Your entire prism, your whole paradigm is designed around floating names of players on other teams that you can get excited about, based on what kind of 'buzz' they've created for themselves. You still just want to float names as trade bait.

That's the endless game many come here to play.

Meanwhile, Boston and Golden State run the league.

A. Even championship contenders, so-called 'super-teams', are based on players coming in who have more talent than is required, but, confining their actual play to a lesser, more specific role, not on their ability to 'do it all.' You're putting a financial premium on that which the rest of the league is not paying.

Kevin Love, Chris Bosh, Kevin Garnett, and to a less noticeable degree, even Kevin Durant.

Players of a much higher caliber than Zach LaVine are taking pay cuts and confining their use of their wide arrays of skills to more specific roles, and here we are talking about paying money to Zach LaVine because he MIGHT be able to get BACK to 37% shooting, and because he is coming off of an injury.

That's backwards.

B. Teams are digging deeper into their own rosters to find specialist talent, rather than splashing cash around the league for 'do-it-all' types of players.

I mean think about this: Nobody laughed when Marcus Morris said that he was going to cover LeBron James during the playoffs. Marcus Morris!

Marcus Morris??????

Yes. Marcus Morris.

C. No one would have been excited if the Bulls had traded Lauri Markkanen on draft day for Donovan Mitchell or Kyle Kuzma, and don't understimate the role that former Bulls like Jimmy Butler, Nikola Mirotic, Taj Gibson

This whole 'give-me-a-name-and-I'll-try-to-imagine-it-lights-and-tell-you-how-I-go' paradigm is SO last millenium.

The false need to embody all of these skills into one single physical player is an obstacle that today's NBA doesn't see, except a certain type of Bulls fan.

D. That doesn't mean you don't do good trades. There are players out there who just aren't feeling with their current teams who, with the right package, could probably be had.

There is young talent in OKC, and I could see players on that team having doubts about their ability to get anywhere in the playoffs in the West. Minnesota, Portland, Washington.

There are teams around the traps with really talented players who just haven't bought into their respective systems, or don't have the right chemistry with their current teams, but, we shouldn't have to open up that whole can of worms to admit that the fact that Zach Lavine can 'PROBABLY' return to 37% shooting means that you pay him a big contract.

As for his injury, which I never mentioned by the way, those are the kinds of things that make teams pay LESS money in contract negotiations for an Isaiah Thomas, a DeMarcus Cousins or a Michael Porter, Jr., not more.

You don't shell out sympathy money for that.
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
User avatar
Leslie Forman
RealGM
Posts: 10,119
And1: 6,304
Joined: Apr 21, 2006
Location: 1700 Center Dr, Ames, IA 50011

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#222 » by Leslie Forman » Sun Jun 24, 2018 10:51 am

SensiBull wrote:
There goes that subjectivity.

"Sean Kilpatrick is not a good NBA player."

This reminds me of that scene in Austin Powers, when he takes his son to the therapist, and the son, Scott, says:

"I don't know. I was thinking I might become a vet."

So…are you saying you think Sean Kilpatrick is a good NBA player or not?
SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#223 » by SensiBull » Sun Jun 24, 2018 10:54 am

I'm saying Sean Kilpatrick can do everything Zach LaVine can do.

If you think one is good and the other is not, the burden of proof is on you, not me. You prove it.

Numerically, I don't see the difference.
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#224 » by SensiBull » Sun Jun 24, 2018 10:55 am

It's up to you to say why one is 'good' and the other isn't. That's YOUR word of choice, not mine.
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#225 » by SensiBull » Sun Jun 24, 2018 10:56 am

I didn't say either one of them was 'good.'
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
User avatar
Leslie Forman
RealGM
Posts: 10,119
And1: 6,304
Joined: Apr 21, 2006
Location: 1700 Center Dr, Ames, IA 50011

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#226 » by Leslie Forman » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:02 am

SensiBull wrote:I'm saying Sean Kilpatrick can do everything Zach LaVine can do.

If you think one is good and the other is not, the burden of proof is on you, not me. You prove it.

Numerically, I don't see the difference.

Sean Kilpatrick has never had advanced metrics as good as LaVine in his last healthy season, which is hard to do since LaVine's metrics aren't exactly good, and he's considerably older.

I don't care much for LaVine but the combination of metrics/age/eye test definitely make him more valuable than Sean freaking Kilpatrick.
SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#227 » by SensiBull » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:18 am

Leslie Forman wrote:
SensiBull wrote:I'm saying Sean Kilpatrick can do everything Zach LaVine can do.

If you think one is good and the other is not, the burden of proof is on you, not me. You prove it.

Numerically, I don't see the difference.

Sean Kilpatrick has never had advanced metrics as good as LaVine in his last healthy season, which is hard to do since LaVine's metrics aren't exactly good, and he's considerably older.

I don't care much for LaVine but the combination of metrics/age/eye test definitely make him more valuable than Sean freaking Kilpatrick.



So, to hand your own question back to you, is Zach LaVine "good" or not?

Sean Kilpatrick isn't asking for $10-15MM per year.

I wouldn't call the comments above a 'ringing endorsement.'
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
User avatar
Leslie Forman
RealGM
Posts: 10,119
And1: 6,304
Joined: Apr 21, 2006
Location: 1700 Center Dr, Ames, IA 50011

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#228 » by Leslie Forman » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:21 am

SensiBull wrote:So, to hand your own question back to you, is Zach LaVine "good" or not?

Sean Kilpatrick isn't asking for $10-15MM per year.

I wouldn't call the comments above a 'ringing endorsement.'

No? There are degrees of "not good" though and Kilpatrick projects to be even lower on that scale.

Like I said I don't care for LaVine. He is not some Sean Kilpatrick clone though.
SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#229 » by SensiBull » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:23 am

Okay.
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
da pmp
Senior
Posts: 636
And1: 169
Joined: Jun 23, 2012

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#230 » by da pmp » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:40 am

Lavine needs to improve this year, show some offseason hustle, and stay healthy. If any one of these 3 are off, I’m ok with him trading him after we resign him(15M/yr). Unfortunately, low IQ guys don’t progress very well in the NBA. I have a feeling someone will high ball him @18-20M, Bulls hopefully don’t match.
Dankoz
Sophomore
Posts: 103
And1: 36
Joined: Sep 07, 2017

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#231 » by Dankoz » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:43 am

I hope someone buys him. His one-man show doesn't fit our system at all.
_txchilibowl_
Veteran
Posts: 2,526
And1: 2,719
Joined: Aug 17, 2017
     

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#232 » by _txchilibowl_ » Sun Jun 24, 2018 11:59 am

He'll get somewhere between 15-18 million per. And they'll match it. And they should.

Don't really feel like joining the lengthy discussions trying to defend my position. I'll just say I like his talent, like his work ethic, and feel he's going to blossom in Fred's system with a year of health under his belt. Might be wrong but I'm comfortable with the gamble.
sco
RealGM
Posts: 27,505
And1: 9,247
Joined: Sep 22, 2003
Location: Virtually Everywhere!

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#233 » by sco » Sun Jun 24, 2018 12:21 pm

I think this conversation comes down to the big NBA contract challenge..."paying for potential"

The league is full of young guys who have the physical attributes and skills to be allstars. Due to injuries or depth chart challenges, they aren't able to demonstrate the realization of that potential before they become RFA's. Teams face the difficult task of signing guys who show flashes of elite play, but an overall body of work that is statistically mediocre. This isn't the least bit of an uncommon story.

I look at draft picks as buckets of outcomes (All-star, Starter, Rotation Player, Bust - btw love this tool that does something similar: https://www.thestepien.com/player-distribution-tool/). The more time a player is consistently playing, the lower the chance, IMO, of achieving a higher potential than current stats suggest. The usual time to get enough consistent time is 3 years; however, when a player is buried 3 deep in the depth chart or has a full-lost season due to injury, it adds theoretically extends the time that potential can be realized.

If guys get to play and can stay healthy, it still doesn't assure that they maximize their potential. Work-ethic is almost as important as physical attributes and talent. Some guys who are uber talented and start right away stop working as hard to improve. Other guys are competitively driven to be great. There are always the "character" aspects that you can ask coaches, but getting paid NBA $$$ is a new challenge.
:clap:
tiffac
Starter
Posts: 2,162
And1: 699
Joined: Jun 07, 2015
       

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#234 » by tiffac » Sun Jun 24, 2018 12:30 pm

If the Bulls doesn’t resign Lavine, how much cap would we have?
Manners Maketh Man
weneeda2guard
RealGM
Posts: 10,487
And1: 5,005
Joined: Feb 07, 2011

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#235 » by weneeda2guard » Sun Jun 24, 2018 12:40 pm

ill say again, i dont know how anyone can make a fair assessment on what lavine is as a player, from a season where he was coming off a major injury getting back into game shape and in a tanking season where rotations and minutes were being manipulated to guarantee losses, and the players know this. would love to get him in a full season of competitive basketball where we are not sabotaging rotations and actually trying to win to properly evaluate a player and his impact.

lavine has a pretty high ceiling, not like players with that kind of offensive talent is just laying everywhere and we have him on board, wouldnt give up on him so quickly. and we can still clear a ton of cap space with him on the roster, i wouldnt want to fully max him, but i dont think we will have to. i think we can get him on a good deal and should do it.
"they taking rose kindness for a weakness"
BullsFTW
Head Coach
Posts: 6,550
And1: 1,893
Joined: Apr 08, 2012
       

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#236 » by BullsFTW » Sun Jun 24, 2018 1:17 pm

I still have hopes for LaVine. I think he'll get better and will have a productive season in 18-19, but I'm not sure if I want to pay him a near max contract.
bennjuiced34
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,560
And1: 2,009
Joined: Jun 21, 2009

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#238 » by bennjuiced34 » Sun Jun 24, 2018 2:35 pm

LaVine is a 6th man. He doesn't do enough offensively (playmaking, efficiency) or defensively to warrant a starting spot. Let him come off the bench and get buckets. He'd also have less pressure in that role as well.

Long believed he's a Jamal Crawford type player who would thrive in a microwave role. And there's definite value in that.
bennjuiced34
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,560
And1: 2,009
Joined: Jun 21, 2009

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA - Lavine threads merged 

Post#239 » by bennjuiced34 » Sun Jun 24, 2018 2:37 pm

You can make fair assessment about a players ability/upside even if they struggle. He's never going to be a plus defender. Shoot, I'd be happy with average. He's never going to be a consistent playmaker. His (potential) elite tool is scoring. Let him focus on that in a role that allows him to do so.
JimmyJammer
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,651
And1: 1,798
Joined: Aug 31, 2005

Re: REPORT: Bulls support for Lavine wavering as he becomes RFA 

Post#240 » by JimmyJammer » Sun Jun 24, 2018 2:53 pm

G Buckets wrote:
JimmyJammer wrote:
G Buckets wrote:A 1+1 deal is good for both sides.


A 1+1 deal is not good for anyone. First of all, if he has a great year next year, that puts him back on the open market next summer, and the organization will have to compete with other suitors for his services. Second of all, Zach would probably prefer the guaranteed long-term contract because it offers some financial stability.


I've talked about the 1+1 deal with a team option for year two. Basically a handshake agreement if LaVine proves worthy, he'll get the 2nd year picked up then an long term extension will follow. I believe Zach is young enough to bet on himself.

LaVine gets to prove his worth, and the FO makes sure they don't handicap themselves to a long term contract if things don't work out.


There is no way you'd get Zach's agent to agree to a 1+1 deal with a team option. If there is going to be an option, it will be Zach's option. This much should at least be clear to anyone here.

Return to Chicago Bulls