MrDollarBills wrote:vincecarter4pres wrote:Prokorov wrote:
id be much more surprised if werent top 3.
the hawks and maybe bulls if levin struggles are the only teams i can find with arguably less talent.
Idk, still think 5th to 8th worst record is likely, even including a big chunk of games missed to injury to a couple significant guys.
Atlanta, Orlando, Sacto and sadly the Knix are very likely to be worse than us record wise imho. I think this is a year where the team with the 5th worst record could have 30 wins though, meaning even if we have a relatively successful year development wise, with a 2 or 3 game improvement in the W/L column, we could easily still have the 5th or 6xth worse record. Prime spot to get lucky and make a top 3 jump.
I'll say this though, this will be a year I watch a lot of college basketball again and try and catch tape on the top couple international guys whenever it's out there.
I think if that the Nets regress towards a bottom 3 team that means something has gone terribly wrong.
Vegas seems to believe that this is going to happen (pretty sure 24-25 wins is a surefire top 3 pick).
i think at worst we get the 5th pick just via the new odds. either way, we have assets to move up to land a stud.
The Nets are rolling with house money right now

i love this.
Idk that means anything has gone terribly wrong as much as there aren't a lot of great prospects on this team and most of the really bad teams have gotten better. Combine that with the possibility(Vegas likely thinking/hearing strongly on this) that a guy like Russell, or Dinwiddie, LeVert, RHJ, etc., might be traded for a pick at the deadline and replaced with basically air and the inevitability of missed games because a lot of our top guys are injury prone... and poof.
We like to say here how Kenny has them playing hard, we could have won so many games we lost, etc., but maybe, just maybe, our team
already did play way above their heads last year for win totals? Maybe we were more of a 21 win team who beasted out to the tune of 28 games, especially considering Lin going down again for the season and Russell missing like 35 games?
I mean it's not like Vegas is saying we're going to win 12 less games then last year. The line opened at either 26, 26.5, or 27 games last year, I can't remember which. I got them at 27, some got them as high as 28.5 wins. Vegas is saying we're rated as about a game and a half worse then last year, I don't think it's that wild, even though I'm probably going with the over again.
And that's the thing, this team could win 27 games and have the 3rd worst record.
There are a number of NBA players on this roster, a few of them looking like long term starters. But say Russell is the same player, LeVert only a little better, RHJ the same, Allen has a bit of a sophomore slump and is up and down, Crabbe is the same as last year, just a little more efficient, Harris the same as last year, a tad lower a shooter and finisher percentage wise, Dinwiddie is solid, but not nearly as good as his stretch run, but better than his calamity filled end to the season, etc.?
Just because a lot of these guys will eventually be good, or are already... just because Kenny is a solid overall coach... just because a lot of these guys could help a lot of good teams, even contenders as starters at a position of need... does not mean as a group they're going to win many games at all as is, even with the hole filling additions Marks made. And most of them aren't there yet. Clint Capela or Myles Turner weren't going to lead a bad team to a lot of victories his 2nd year, maybe not ever. Khris Middleton is not the kind of player you throw on last year's Hawks in his 3rd year and he takes them from 24 wins to 33. Gerald Wallace isn't a guy who in today's NBA can be a team's best player with playoff aspirations. Not really Dragic either. That doesn't mean they aren't a great group of role guys to throw around 2 stars, or to let grow with 2 stud future rookies. But for the now, I think people might be getting gassed up a little something. When you have a bunch of younger almost stars and they form a treadmill team, it usually isn't til year 3 or 4, teams like last years Heat, not year 2 or 3.