PLO wrote:I don't think I do agree with your argument, because your argument seems to be that he's an average NBA top 5 or 10 level talent, as in an average NBA draft. Clearly, if you actually watch him play right now, that's exactly what he's not. Not only that, and much more worryingly, he hasn't shown a scintilla of actual skill that will project to the next level, outside of physical measureables.
I'm not comparing him to other players in this draft, because this is a very weak draft. I'm more concerned about how he will perform in the NBA, not against other players in his draft class. Ja Morant is irrelevant to this discussion, outside of the fact he shows how weak this class is given he's being talked as a top 5 pick.
The Michigan game was the third one of his I've watched this season.
I mentioned his cake schedule because you threw these stats out there as if they are even relevant when you actually eyeball him. Like its great he can dominate against the St Francis Red Flash, I'm sure that has nothing to do with he's "top 5" in this stat or that stat, but still looks like a bad prospect.
I know you're stating the obvious vis a vis his mass - but 100% of players are going through physical changes as well at that stage given they are at the end of adolescence and undergoing a college-level strength and conditioning program. Hasn't stopped scores of previous top prospects from showing actual NBA level talent, why should it stop him? Unless, he actually is a mediocre talent to begin with.
Those are the facts around his current level of play, and frankly its stupid to say otherwise.
Man I haven't said such a thing, regarding avg top5-10 or what have you, all I have said is that he would go 1st round and with merit in any draft, and that saying otherwise is just a knee jerk reaction/dumb if you can't see what makes him a NBA prospect or you don't see actual skill (can count the number of players with his size/athleticism package that can shoot off movement like he does and that care and lock up guys 1on1 on D with one hand over the last 20 drafts literally), I don't know what to tell you
Again, every player go through cake schedules, why do you think Bol has been dominating and how do you think he has looked when he has playing against actual bigs or tall dudes? like Iowa for example
Every player is attached to its draft, Little been a top3-5-10 or whatever talent is always in relation with his class, SSS is an issue with the NCAA for every prospect and that's why going through determinants/context/previous performance is damn important
Not even physical changes affect the same way to every player man, you are just generalizing out of your ass here, guys like Zion haven't changed since they were 16 all that much, whereas Nas has added strength this summer and it shows on his body control, his strides while he moves, his handle, it affects different players in different ways because every guy has a different set of skills and a body type to go along with them, and again, you are saying that it happens for everybody, IT DOESNT, and it doesnt at the same age either, I asked you to tell me which top ranked guys have changed all that much physically since last season and I am still waiting
What it's stupid is to keep banging your head against a wall instead of listening and considering context and factors that matter in the equation, I am not even saying that Little is good right now, or not, just stating things that matter to his level of play, or lack there of, and that saying that he doesnt belong in the 1st round is just idiotic when you consider his tools, but again you were more worried about him not starting (even after we told you how Roy operates repeteadly with 5 stars frosh over the years and that he was playing top5 minutes) than about his game, or what he was as a prospect in HS, or what makes a guy like Little a premium prospect, or how he is been used, what Roy asks him to do and how that actually makes sense or not with his playing style
But apparently those don't matter or aren't "facts"? like you are judging the dude in a vacuum without considering what UNC is trying to do on the court, what is he asked to do, what the system that they run puts him through or expect of his role, how Michigan in this game actually countered that? (again I haven't watched it yet) etc, all of those matter
From the couples clips I have seen of him having issues attacking Teske for example, you can see how he loses ball control and he isn't timing his strides correctly with his dribble while trying to penetrate, that ends up with him having to gather himself to not lose his handle and therefore losing any advantage to get by Teske, and having to get back out, or force a shot
Those are some of the issues related to his physical transformation that I have talked about before, he might adapt eventually and look more like the player he was in HS there, or he might not, it might be that he is a rhythm guy that needs more chances to get comfy out there and dribble opportunities (has been used mainly as an off-ball garbage man bucket getter by UNC's system this season), who knows? it's early, all I am saying is that all that stuff it's a big piece of info to judge the guy
And he might very well suck, and he will still be a no-brainer 1st round pick, everytime, you take that bet 100%, it's not even an argument