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Recent history of fast starts

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Recent history of fast starts 

Post#1 » by UCFJayBird » Thu Dec 6, 2018 4:35 pm

Sorry to post here, but I recall a user here had a nice graph that showed how the Magic have performed throughout the season (tracking win/loss record) and it showed that progression compared to past seasons.

So it would show us with 12 wins through 25 games for 2018, and then we'd see the wins for 2017, 2016, 2015, etc on the chart.

Does anyone know who had that graph? Or if someone wants to graph it themselves that'd be great.

Reason of interest: I recall us starting out strong a few times over the past several years, sometimes even better than we are now. Curious to see how it looks compared to past seasons and whether we should be optimistic this is sustainable or holding reservations that we've seen fast starts before and we might crash this year too.

edit: Drsd posted graph at bottom of first page.

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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#2 » by fklt » Thu Dec 6, 2018 4:44 pm

drsd shares that graph. and we were 19-13 with skiles, so yeah this is not the best we've looked.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#3 » by The Real Dalic » Thu Dec 6, 2018 5:01 pm

We've started better before, but it's never been sustainable like it is right now. It probably would've been under Skiles, if they hadn't traded Harris for nothing, and if the players didn't tune him out or if Skiles didn't quit on the team. You can tell we're better just from the effort alone. But also the fact that we're winning some games while shooting poorly, unlike years passed where we came out the gates on fire only to regress throughout the year.

As for the graph, I'm interested to see it too.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#4 » by Knightro » Thu Dec 6, 2018 6:45 pm

Since Stan left, at the 25 game mark the Magic were...

Vaughn year 1: 12-13
Vaughn year 2: 8-17
Vaughn year 3: 9-16
Skiles year 1: 14-11
Vogel year 1: 10-15
Vogel year 2: 10-15
Clifford year 1: 12-13
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#5 » by dsg2021 » Thu Dec 6, 2018 8:32 pm

Knightro wrote:Since Stan left, at the 25 game mark the Magic were...

Vaughn year 1: 12-13
Vaughn year 2: 8-17
Vaughn year 3: 9-16
Skiles year 1: 14-11
Vogel year 1: 10-15
Vogel year 2: 10-15
Clifford year 1: 12-13


Skiles f'ed us hardcore. That was a complete 180 turnaround from Mr. Positivity Vaughn to "this team sucks" Skiles. He really just added this sense of doom and dread, all our players' ceilings are capped low, to that Magic squad as they came falling apart after December and January. I have never seen a head coach so disinterested and disappointed with their team. The least patience and energy I had ever seen from a head coach.
Since then, Oladipo turned into a star player, Tobias is mad efficient, and Vooch is a stud big. Skiles did not even last one calendar year with ORL. And he was not fired either, he literally just wanted to give up on the team and leave. So he did.
Does anyone know of any other NBA head coach who was hired and wanted to leave less than 1 year later, maybe even 5 months in like Skiles did? (I say 5 months, based on reports, Skiles' interviews, and sideline body language)
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#6 » by SOUL » Thu Dec 6, 2018 9:42 pm

dsg2021 wrote:
Knightro wrote:Since Stan left, at the 25 game mark the Magic were...

Vaughn year 1: 12-13
Vaughn year 2: 8-17
Vaughn year 3: 9-16
Skiles year 1: 14-11
Vogel year 1: 10-15
Vogel year 2: 10-15
Clifford year 1: 12-13


Skiles f'ed us hardcore. That was a complete 180 turnaround from Mr. Positivity Vaughn to "this team sucks" Skiles. He really just added this sense of doom and dread, all our players' ceilings are capped low, to that Magic squad as they came falling apart after December and January. I have never seen a head coach so disinterested and disappointed with their team. The least patience and energy I had ever seen from a head coach.
Since then, Oladipo turned into a star player, Tobias is mad efficient, and Vooch is a stud big. Skiles did not even last one calendar year with ORL. And he was not fired either, he literally just wanted to give up on the team and leave. So he did.
Does anyone know of any other NBA head coach who was hired and wanted to leave less than 1 year later, maybe even 5 months in like Skiles did? (I say 5 months, based on reports, Skiles' interviews, and sideline body language)


People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.

Clifford, while still not my top choice, is showing you can hold players accountable and still give them enough time on the court + praise them for the things that they do well so that they will want to play for you.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#7 » by fklt » Thu Dec 6, 2018 11:27 pm

SOUL wrote:People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.


oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#8 » by NavalAviator94 » Fri Dec 7, 2018 12:07 am

fklt wrote:
SOUL wrote:People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.


oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.


I honestly liked Skiles disciplined approach but he clearly lacked patience. He was 100% correct on Elfrid Payton and it would have saved us a lot of grief if Scott and our GM could have seen eye to eye. When you couple that with what the team ended up doing from a player standpoint, after he left, you have to wonder if he saw the writing on the wall and wanted no part of it - right or wrong.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#9 » by Knightro » Fri Dec 7, 2018 12:24 am

fklt wrote:oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.


Skiles also bitched and moaned so loudly to Hennigan and Martins about how much he hated the youth on the team that Rob felt obligated to literally give away 23-year-old Tobias Harris in a straight salary dump, use that money to sign Biyombo and then dump Oladipo and Sabonis for Ibaka.

Yes, he won some games, but he certainly did more harm than good with how much he negatively affected Hennigan's thinking about the players on the team.

Except Elfrid. Hennigan loved him some Elfrid.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#10 » by SOUL » Fri Dec 7, 2018 12:38 am

fklt wrote:
SOUL wrote:People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.


oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.


uhhh must be confusing me with someone else.. not once have i defended vogel in the last 2 years lol. i liked the hire at first and then like 2 months in i realized he was a disaster.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#11 » by SOUL » Fri Dec 7, 2018 12:44 am

NavalAviator94 wrote:
fklt wrote:
SOUL wrote:People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.


oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.


I honestly liked Skiles disciplined approach but he clearly lacked patience. He was 100% correct on Elfrid Payton and it would have saved us a lot of grief if Scott and our GM could have seen eye to eye. When you couple that with what the team ended up doing from a player standpoint, after he left, you have to wonder if he saw the writing on the wall and wanted no part of it - right or wrong.


elfrid would be an ideal backup for this squad (10x the player jerian grant is), and the kid was coming off a promising rookie campaign. no matter if skiles was "right" or not about someone becoming a long-term starter, the front office is going to see what they have in the younger players before doing anything with them.

skiles also took little jabs at oladipo and harris too, benched payton and vuc.. the guy was absolutely a grade A dick and you can see why most of the players quit on him.

quite frankly, it doesn't matter how "good" (compared with vogel (lol) and vaughn (lol, wow grats skiles!) he was when you're a piss poor motivational coach that has very few players that ever liked playing for him in his coaching career. it's akin to being an effective boss that berates employees and gives them no incentive to want to stay in their position. might look good on paper but once you start calling people around and realizing how difficult that person is to work with, it won't get you far.
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Re: Recent history of fast starts (drsd - post your graph?) 

Post#12 » by J the Drafter » Fri Dec 7, 2018 12:50 am

Our bad January with Skiled coincided with Elfrid hurting his ankles. The absence of any other good point guard left the team in a lurch.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#13 » by fendilim » Fri Dec 7, 2018 1:11 am

SOUL wrote:
dsg2021 wrote:
Knightro wrote:Since Stan left, at the 25 game mark the Magic were...

Vaughn year 1: 12-13
Vaughn year 2: 8-17
Vaughn year 3: 9-16
Skiles year 1: 14-11
Vogel year 1: 10-15
Vogel year 2: 10-15
Clifford year 1: 12-13


Skiles f'ed us hardcore. That was a complete 180 turnaround from Mr. Positivity Vaughn to "this team sucks" Skiles. He really just added this sense of doom and dread, all our players' ceilings are capped low, to that Magic squad as they came falling apart after December and January. I have never seen a head coach so disinterested and disappointed with their team. The least patience and energy I had ever seen from a head coach.
Since then, Oladipo turned into a star player, Tobias is mad efficient, and Vooch is a stud big. Skiles did not even last one calendar year with ORL. And he was not fired either, he literally just wanted to give up on the team and leave. So he did.
Does anyone know of any other NBA head coach who was hired and wanted to leave less than 1 year later, maybe even 5 months in like Skiles did? (I say 5 months, based on reports, Skiles' interviews, and sideline body language)


People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.

Clifford, while still not my top choice, is showing you can hold players accountable and still give them enough time on the court + praise them for the things that they do well so that they will want to play for you.

Well, its not hrd to argue when he is the winningest coach in the rebuild.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#14 » by SOUL » Fri Dec 7, 2018 1:22 am

fendilim wrote:Well, its not hrd to argue when he is the winningest coach in the rebuild.


it's an argument to be made if he was like, still the coach and people were against him..

just don't see the benefit of arguing for someone that quit on the team and still didn't lead us anywhere AND forced a terrible trade that set our franchise back.

it literally only makes sense if it ends with "skiles should still be our coach", otherwise vaughn, vogel, and skiles were all trash in their own unique ways.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#15 » by NavalAviator94 » Fri Dec 7, 2018 1:35 am

SOUL wrote:
NavalAviator94 wrote:
fklt wrote:
oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.


I honestly liked Skiles disciplined approach but he clearly lacked patience. He was 100% correct on Elfrid Payton and it would have saved us a lot of grief if Scott and our GM could have seen eye to eye. When you couple that with what the team ended up doing from a player standpoint, after he left, you have to wonder if he saw the writing on the wall and wanted no part of it - right or wrong.


elfrid would be an ideal backup for this squad (10x the player jerian grant is), and the kid was coming off a promising rookie campaign. no matter if skiles was "right" or not about someone becoming a long-term starter, the front office is going to see what they have in the younger players before doing anything with them.

skiles also took little jabs at oladipo and harris too, benched payton and vuc.. the guy was absolutely a grade A dick and you can see why most of the players quit on him.

quite frankly, it doesn't matter how "good" (compared with vogel (lol) and vaughn (lol, wow grats skiles!) he was when you're a piss poor motivational coach that has very few players that ever liked playing for him in his coaching career. it's akin to being an effective boss that berates employees and gives them no incentive to want to stay in their position. might look good on paper but once you start calling people around and realizing how difficult that person is to work with, it won't get you far.


Your points are definitely valid and I've since went back and looked at the situation with the benefit of hindsight. When you look back at it you can clearly see what happened and you have to look at it from a players perspective as well. Up until January of 16 when the rails fell off, Skiles was a very good coach who brought needed discipline. Unfortunately, I truly believe that he wasn't in the right place mentally to coach again and that had an additional effect on a young teams performance. He admitted to Griffin in Jan that he might have made a mistake coming back. I think he tried to make himself believe if certain changes were made he could do it but in reality, he just didn't have the motivation and a number of players took the brunt of it. Coaching is a grind when you are a young developing team and the culture he walked into was not the best either. The latter part being confirmed by some current and former players.

Elfrid, for all his warts likely suffered a great deal because he knew that his coach, who was also a very talented NBA PG didn't believe in him - that's got to be tough. He was right but at the same time, that likely caused Elfrid to lose belief in himself that was further exacerbated when Vogel and the new FA's they spent money on came in were terrible. I honestly think that Elfrid may have a chance to redeem himself with the Pelicans because they were playing so well with him until he got injured.

From the trade perspective regarding Harris. I honestly can't fault it really because the team wanted to win and we needed a PG who could score. We also got a pretty decent backup PF who could shoot the 3. Both on expiring that gave us cap space in the summer. Remember, we had Aaron Gordon who looked to become a better player than Harris and we also drafted Hezonja who was beginning to play well under Skiles tutelage near the end of the season.

From a team perspective your HC just quit. There was speculation he quit because of Hennigan(denied by all), and there was also speculation that the players we had may not be any good if your HC quits because, who does that? We have a team owner who is in poor health and everyone wants to give him a chance to see the team win again.

So what do you do under those circumstances and you have cap space? You hire Frank Vogel because he helped bring a young team to the playoffs consistently and Paul George kinda looks like Aaron Gordon. As a GM, you want to show the league it's not you and that you can absolutely get along and support your coach so you spend that cap space to get players he believes will win and we right the ship. The problem was that style of play was going away and the rest is history.

At the end of the day, the people that suffered the most were the young guys like Elfrid and Hezonja that really needed development, the fans and ultimately Mr. Devos who never got to see the team win again. Skiles made the mistake of saying he was ready to coach again and at the time I believe he though he was. Unfortunately, that set off a chain of events that set this franchise back a few years.

The ship has finally righted so to speak and I hope the team is able to make the right decisions going forward. At a minimum they are changing the culture for the better and are clearly investing in player development. Those can only lead to good things and even more so if they can be patient.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#16 » by fendilim » Fri Dec 7, 2018 3:05 am

SOUL wrote:
fendilim wrote:Well, its not hrd to argue when he is the winningest coach in the rebuild.


it's an argument to be made if he was like, still the coach and people were against him..

just don't see the benefit of arguing for someone that quit on the team and still didn't lead us anywhere AND forced a terrible trade that set our franchise back.

it literally only makes sense if it ends with "skiles should still be our coach", otherwise vaughn, vogel, and skiles were all trash in their own unique ways.
well, to be fair to skiles.
His disagreements with Henni were because of EP and Mario. And look at their career now.

Skiles has his faults. But it really also depends on the player on how they reciprocate the tough love.

I’ll never understand the tobias trade, tbh. But Henni has to get the blame at some point since he is the gm.
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#17 » by EAS Law » Fri Dec 7, 2018 3:54 am

fklt wrote:
SOUL wrote:People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.


oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.

You post defies all logic.

So because Skiles won about as many games as literally any coach since the rebuild, he was the best? Despite SOS or any other factors? The same guy that LITERALLY quit before even one season? The same guy that coached the same team that went from a solid 25-game start to absolute worst in the NBA? The coach that alienated and managed to piss off his entire team before he could finish 4 months? That guy?
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Re: graph tracking wins comparing past seasons? 

Post#18 » by SOUL » Fri Dec 7, 2018 4:23 am

EAS Law wrote:
fklt wrote:
SOUL wrote:People still defend him here. It's obvious we had young talent on the team but he was such a **** motivator and he gave up on the team. Some people get off on the tough love aspect of coaches and discipline and salivate at the mouth when coaches do that sort of stuff, but there's a delicate balance.


oh, boo hoo, you still defend vogel every now and then dude. a position that might be bordering on being a flat-earther and here you are feigning surprise at that?

skiles was a jerk, and he was the best coach we had during the rebuild. really don't know how hard it is to say that.

You post defies all logic.

So because Skiles won about as many games as literally any coach since the rebuild, he was the best? Despite SOS or any other factors? The same guy that LITERALLY quit before even one season? The same guy that coached the same team that went from a solid 25-game start to absolute worst in the NBA? The coach that alienated and managed to piss off his entire team before he could finish 4 months? That guy?


Right? Much like RealGM, a lot of Skiles' "credit" give to him was being "right" which isn't really a coach's job to determine. He's not a RealGM poster or a psychic to determine how players will be 5 years down the line. Play the young guys and put them in positions to succeed or GTFO. He GTFO. There was a clear disconnect between the coaching hire and Hennigan at the time and Skiles openly didn't like Payton, benched younger guys in favor of crappy veterans, made comments on Mario and Oladipo, Harris was traded TWICE under his coaching... the list goes on. In all of our arguments on this board, one thing we can agree on was that we mismanaged our young assets. I'd say most of it happened during the Skiles time period/early Vogel period. I'm not going to say a good thing about the man except that he got us off to a good start.

Although, funnily enough, I think Mario played best under Skiles, and even Mario said that his coaching style was what he liked. But yeah, I'll never really understand the right/wrong comments re: Skiles. Payton is on track to probably just be an average PG in the league, low-end starter, good backup, and Mario is still an enigma. But again, I'm not damning my prospects to be labeled "good' or "bad" in their rookie/2nd years by coaches that hate playing young guys.
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Re: Recent history of fast starts (drsd - post your graph?) 

Post#19 » by MagicStarwipe » Fri Dec 7, 2018 4:43 am

Clifford is actually the coach that Skiles gets the credit for being. Skiles didn't even want to coach. He just couldn't pass it up when Martins offered him a few million to get off his couch :lol:
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Re: Recent history of fast starts (drsd - post your graph?) 

Post#20 » by drsd » Fri Dec 7, 2018 12:14 pm

Update to the 12-13 record after the Denver loss:
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