HotelVitale wrote:I get the optimism here after all the dark days, but the last couple pages of this thread are pretty pipe-dreamy. Gathering a handful of solid players isn't usually a good recipe for a rebuild--seems to me that tends to end up somewhere between the current Magic and the current Pistons (with maybe the pre-Rose Bulls as the most optimistic comp). Very soon they'll either have to pay those decent guys well, or they'll have to give a few up to go after some better players who still won't make them much.
Not trying to rain on parades, just saying that I would be really really nervous if I was Marks and had a mandate to build a long-term winner. Seems like they need a lot of luck to break out of that treadmill zone--do other people see it differently?
I think this off-season is critical.
There are almost two best cases scenarios, but they are far apart from each other directional-wise and probability-wise.
1st best case, FAs take note of a new PO team in the East and they sign a true Max or two
2nd best case, either through luck, tanking, injury, whatever they end up with a top pick to add a Duke player though perhaps not appealing to FAs just yet
More likely case, they miss the PO's and end up with a 10ish pick and do not attract a max FA, which likely means Russell is resigned and they keep flexibility for 2020. Overall, not worried about money yet and being locked into anything. LeVert has another 1.5 years and then a small cap hold. J.Allen another 2.5 years and a small cap hold. Crabbe expires in time for 2020. Dinwiddie is on a short and team friendly deal, so it's really only Russell that we have to worry about with a large long-term contract. RHJ is not getting big money.
Overall, it's also not just the players we are evaluating here. Marks has shown to very good GM, Atkinson a pretty good coach and the organization has done while finding and developing players and culture. That is sustainable as long as the regime is in place.



















