pcbothwel wrote:Shanghai Kid wrote:There is no team that is going to trade for Wall when he's out with a 6-8 month injury. A HEALTHY Wall is considered overpaid. Nobody is trading for a 29 year old Wall coming off two seasons in a row where he missed significant time.
We have to move forward with the idea that Wall is here to stay. Its an absolute pipedream to think otherwise.
I know its a lot to handle for Beal/Otto lovers, but trading one of them is likely the only way out of cap hell if that is the aim.
1) Wall will be fully healthy by July. I fully expect him to be in Miami working his butt off. He did last year, and I expect even more this year as he'll be antsy to get working and have no other lingering injuries
2) I think you'll get plenty of video and reports of healthy and slimmed down Wall in July/August. Combined with the high success rate of recovery for his injury, and plenty of teams will be keeping an eye on him... especially after, what I believe will be, a terrible FA period with a bunch of overpaid fringe starters.
3) We can get out from the tax by the deadline using Ariza, Green, and Morris. I have zero doubt about that. Doing so would allow us to keep all our RFA's and sign draft pick. While this might put us over the tax next year, it will only be by a couple Mil and we wont be repeat offenders. The following year (20/21) the increase in the cap along with mahinmi gone would put us back under the tax.
Therefore, we can quite easily keep this team together and NEVER pay the repeater tax in the foreseeable future. Thats not to say that we should, but that we dont need to make a trade from a position of weakness.
I hope you are right.
I think fully healthy Wall will continue to produce at a diminished returns rate, because the injuries IMO will continue to pop up here and there. Somewhat similar to what happened with Arenas; the Wizards are going to be stuck with a lesser player on a long-term deal. They should have known better. Yes, I posted as much before the deals of both players.
John's weight is NOT the problem. The knees and now, his heel, are problematic. He's NOT a player who gets by on technique, skill, and leverage as one who thrives in open court and dominates with superior athleticism. The Wizards better HOPE they can trade him IMO.
































