2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope

Moderators: retrobro90, Dadouv47

User avatar
spearsy23
RealGM
Posts: 19,481
And1: 7,654
Joined: Jan 27, 2012
   

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2521 » by spearsy23 » Tue Jan 22, 2019 2:44 pm

I'm developing a man crush on Ferg.
“If you're getting stops and you're making threes and the other team's not scoring, that's when you're going to see a huge point difference there,” coach Billy Donovan said.
Dn4sty
Analyst
Posts: 3,477
And1: 1,929
Joined: Apr 11, 2017

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2522 » by Dn4sty » Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:28 pm

spearsy23 wrote:I'm developing a man crush on Ferg.


I just wish he could magically gain 15-20 pounds of muscle
User avatar
SecondTake
Veteran
Posts: 2,671
And1: 1,493
Joined: Jun 03, 2017

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2523 » by SecondTake » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:54 pm

Dn4sty wrote:
spearsy23 wrote:I'm developing a man crush on Ferg.


I just wish he could magically gain 15-20 pounds of muscle


He will in the off season. Team is full of monsters that can guide him.
slick_watts
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 16,545
And1: 6,802
Joined: Jan 03, 2005
Location: Miami, FL

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2524 » by slick_watts » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:37 pm

russ is 13/26 (50%) when attempting only one free throw.

when attempting two free throws westbrook is 55/97 (56.7%) on the first, and 72/97 (74.2%) on the second.

on the one occasion he's been fouled shooting a three he is 3/3 (100%).
User avatar
Pillendreher
RealGM
Posts: 14,191
And1: 9,953
Joined: Jan 25, 2015
 

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2525 » by Pillendreher » Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:13 am

slick_watts wrote:on the one occasion he's been fouled shooting a three he is 3/3 (100%).


So what you're saying is that Westbrook should take more 3s?
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
slick_watts
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 16,545
And1: 6,802
Joined: Jan 03, 2005
Location: Miami, FL

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2526 » by slick_watts » Wed Jan 23, 2019 12:55 pm

Pillendreher wrote:
slick_watts wrote:on the one occasion he's been fouled shooting a three he is 3/3 (100%).


So what you're saying is that Westbrook should take more 3s?


there was a time thunder realgm appreciated research like this. you won't find those numbers anywhere else. what happened to this place? sad.
User avatar
ThunderBolt
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 19,361
And1: 19,206
Joined: Dec 29, 2016
Location: Lynnwood, WA
   

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2527 » by ThunderBolt » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:01 pm

slick_watts wrote:russ is 13/26 (50%) when attempting only one free throw.

when attempting two free throws westbrook is 55/97 (56.7%) on the first, and 72/97 (74.2%) on the second.

on the one occasion he's been fouled shooting a three he is 3/3 (100%).



What's your theory on the reason for this?
bisme37 wrote:If there were magnets in basketballs so strong they changed the path of the ball as it flew through the air, wouldn't the ball then stick magnetically to the rim when it got there?
slick_watts
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 16,545
And1: 6,802
Joined: Jan 03, 2005
Location: Miami, FL

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2528 » by slick_watts » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:04 pm

ThunderBolt wrote:
slick_watts wrote:russ is 13/26 (50%) when attempting only one free throw.

when attempting two free throws westbrook is 55/97 (56.7%) on the first, and 72/97 (74.2%) on the second.

on the one occasion he's been fouled shooting a three he is 3/3 (100%).



What's your theory on the reason for this?


i think it is less likely to be directly associated with the free throw rule changes. because he doesn't do his routine until after the first free throw. and he's 50% on free throws where he wouldn't be doing his routine at all.

yips or something physical.
User avatar
Old Man Game
Head Coach
Posts: 6,281
And1: 4,317
Joined: Jul 15, 2012

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2529 » by Old Man Game » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:19 pm

Not to be a prisoner of the moment because Ferg won't shoot this well forever, but you do have to ask, at some point, if he continues to play well, there's going to be some consternation over what to do with him and Roberson together. Who comes off the bench? Especially with Andre coming off that serious injury and needing to work his way back into game shape. You roll him out there and he can't hit the boradside of a barn and his defense isn't what it once was, how long do you give him when you've got a flamethrower that's previously started every game this season for him?
User avatar
ThunderBolt
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 19,361
And1: 19,206
Joined: Dec 29, 2016
Location: Lynnwood, WA
   

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2530 » by ThunderBolt » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:25 pm

slick_watts wrote:
ThunderBolt wrote:
slick_watts wrote:russ is 13/26 (50%) when attempting only one free throw.

when attempting two free throws westbrook is 55/97 (56.7%) on the first, and 72/97 (74.2%) on the second.

on the one occasion he's been fouled shooting a three he is 3/3 (100%).



What's your theory on the reason for this?


i think it is less likely to be directly associated with the free throw rule changes. because he doesn't do his routine until after the first free throw. and he's 50% on free throws where he wouldn't be doing his routine at all.

yips or something physical.

Obviously his overall percentage has dropped but was he always pretty consistent between the first and second attempt in his better shooting years?
bisme37 wrote:If there were magnets in basketballs so strong they changed the path of the ball as it flew through the air, wouldn't the ball then stick magnetically to the rim when it got there?
User avatar
ThunderBolt
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 19,361
And1: 19,206
Joined: Dec 29, 2016
Location: Lynnwood, WA
   

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2531 » by ThunderBolt » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:27 pm

Old Man Game wrote:Not to be a prisoner of the moment because Ferg won't shoot this well forever, but you do have to ask, at some point, if he continues to play well, there's going to be some consternation over what to do with him and Roberson together. Who comes off the bench? Especially with Andre coming off that serious injury and needing to work his way back into game shape. You roll him out there and he can't hit the boradside of a barn and his defense isn't what it once was, how long do you give him when you've got a flamethrower that's previously started every game this season for him?



Around two weeks ago on the radio Royce pretty much acknowledged this. He wasn't really reporting inside information as much as he was reading what he thought was the handwriting on the wall.
bisme37 wrote:If there were magnets in basketballs so strong they changed the path of the ball as it flew through the air, wouldn't the ball then stick magnetically to the rim when it got there?
slick_watts
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 16,545
And1: 6,802
Joined: Jan 03, 2005
Location: Miami, FL

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2532 » by slick_watts » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:27 pm

ThunderBolt wrote:
slick_watts wrote:
ThunderBolt wrote:

What's your theory on the reason for this?


i think it is less likely to be directly associated with the free throw rule changes. because he doesn't do his routine until after the first free throw. and he's 50% on free throws where he wouldn't be doing his routine at all.

yips or something physical.

Obviously his overall percentage has dropped but was he always pretty consistent between the first and second attempt in his better shooting years?


yes, he was always consistent. nylon calc had ft splits one year (2015-16) and westbrook was 80% on both ft attempts.
slick_watts
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 16,545
And1: 6,802
Joined: Jan 03, 2005
Location: Miami, FL

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2533 » by slick_watts » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:30 pm

Old Man Game wrote:Not to be a prisoner of the moment because Ferg won't shoot this well forever, but you do have to ask, at some point, if he continues to play well, there's going to be some consternation over what to do with him and Roberson together. Who comes off the bench? Especially with Andre coming off that serious injury and needing to work his way back into game shape. You roll him out there and he can't hit the boradside of a barn and his defense isn't what it once was, how long do you give him when you've got a flamethrower that's previously started every game this season for him?


this would depend on what kind of shape dre is in. if he comes back this year sometime he would probably have to come off the bench and i wouldn't want to have to rely on him for anything. then you deal with long term next year based on where dre is at. 100% dre is an obvious choice over ferguson, but 100% dre would be a miracle.
User avatar
ThunderBolt
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 19,361
And1: 19,206
Joined: Dec 29, 2016
Location: Lynnwood, WA
   

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2534 » by ThunderBolt » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:43 pm

slick_watts wrote:
Old Man Game wrote:Not to be a prisoner of the moment because Ferg won't shoot this well forever, but you do have to ask, at some point, if he continues to play well, there's going to be some consternation over what to do with him and Roberson together. Who comes off the bench? Especially with Andre coming off that serious injury and needing to work his way back into game shape. You roll him out there and he can't hit the boradside of a barn and his defense isn't what it once was, how long do you give him when you've got a flamethrower that's previously started every game this season for him?


this would depend on what kind of shape dre is in. if he comes back this year sometime he would probably have to come off the bench and i wouldn't want to have to rely on him for anything. then you deal with long term next year based on where dre is at. 100% dre is an obvious choice over ferguson, but 100% dre would be a miracle.


I think it would be equally disappointing if at the start of next year Ferguson had plateaued in his progress. By the time Dre could be 100% Ferguson might be that better option if he continues to develop. It's a big if but its less of a dream than it seemed a couple of months ago.
bisme37 wrote:If there were magnets in basketballs so strong they changed the path of the ball as it flew through the air, wouldn't the ball then stick magnetically to the rim when it got there?
slick_watts
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 16,545
And1: 6,802
Joined: Jan 03, 2005
Location: Miami, FL

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2535 » by slick_watts » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:45 pm

ThunderBolt wrote:
slick_watts wrote:
Old Man Game wrote:Not to be a prisoner of the moment because Ferg won't shoot this well forever, but you do have to ask, at some point, if he continues to play well, there's going to be some consternation over what to do with him and Roberson together. Who comes off the bench? Especially with Andre coming off that serious injury and needing to work his way back into game shape. You roll him out there and he can't hit the boradside of a barn and his defense isn't what it once was, how long do you give him when you've got a flamethrower that's previously started every game this season for him?


this would depend on what kind of shape dre is in. if he comes back this year sometime he would probably have to come off the bench and i wouldn't want to have to rely on him for anything. then you deal with long term next year based on where dre is at. 100% dre is an obvious choice over ferguson, but 100% dre would be a miracle.


I think it would be equally disappointing if at the start of next year Ferguson had plateaued in his progress. By the time Dre could be 100% Ferguson might be that better option if he continues to develop. It's a big if but its less of a dream than it seemed a couple of months ago.


if ferg gets to that point by next year where he could legitimate challenge a 100% dre for playing time then that's a great problem to have. i don't think he's very close.
User avatar
Old Man Game
Head Coach
Posts: 6,281
And1: 4,317
Joined: Jul 15, 2012

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2536 » by Old Man Game » Wed Jan 23, 2019 1:57 pm

slick_watts wrote:
Old Man Game wrote:Not to be a prisoner of the moment because Ferg won't shoot this well forever, but you do have to ask, at some point, if he continues to play well, there's going to be some consternation over what to do with him and Roberson together. Who comes off the bench? Especially with Andre coming off that serious injury and needing to work his way back into game shape. You roll him out there and he can't hit the boradside of a barn and his defense isn't what it once was, how long do you give him when you've got a flamethrower that's previously started every game this season for him?


this would depend on what kind of shape dre is in. if he comes back this year sometime he would probably have to come off the bench and i wouldn't want to have to rely on him for anything. then you deal with long term next year based on where dre is at. 100% dre is an obvious choice over ferguson, but 100% dre would be a miracle.


And (not to get too ahead of ourselves here) but there's a decent chance that Ferg will be better in year 3 than he is in year 2 so whatever that gap between is presently may be even further narrowed, BUT 'Dre will be getting paid more. And this franchise has a history of being weird about guaranteeing playing time proportionate to salary.

All of which is to say, I'm foreseeing a lot of fan disgust percolating on this front.
thekaoswithin
Junior
Posts: 384
And1: 240
Joined: Apr 27, 2017
   

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2537 » by thekaoswithin » Wed Jan 23, 2019 3:28 pm

Dennis is shooting 33% from 3. Not good, but I think it's passable enough for spacing purposes.
User avatar
Pillendreher
RealGM
Posts: 14,191
And1: 9,953
Joined: Jan 25, 2015
 

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2538 » by Pillendreher » Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:50 pm

Image

DRtG relative to opponents' average ORtG: 4.53 pp100p better
ORtG relative to opponents' average DRtG: 1.17 pp100p worse

Relative to league average, we're +0.2 pp100p better on offense and 4.5 pp100p better on defense. If we can get that defense back to 5-6 and just be above agerage offensively, we'll really have something.
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
User avatar
Pillendreher
RealGM
Posts: 14,191
And1: 9,953
Joined: Jan 25, 2015
 

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2539 » by Pillendreher » Wed Jan 23, 2019 8:55 pm

Can we take a moment to appreciate Ferguson "blocking" for Paul George last night?

Image

They just grow up so fast :oops: :cry:
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
Dn4sty
Analyst
Posts: 3,477
And1: 1,929
Joined: Apr 11, 2017

Re: 2018-2019 OKC Thunder Regular Season Pt 1: A Renewed Hope 

Post#2540 » by Dn4sty » Wed Jan 23, 2019 9:48 pm

Pillendreher wrote:Can we take a moment to appreciate Ferguson "blocking" for Paul George last night?

Image

They just grow up so fast :oops: :cry:


From looking like a guy who couldn’t play basketball in summer league to this is nothing short of amazing

Return to Oklahoma City Thunder