Nuntius wrote:King Ken wrote:Where is Luka going to get much better at? You guys love saying this but I don't see it.
I talked about it in another one of my replies in this thread. Allow me to quote myself:
Nuntius wrote:Oh, absolutely. People see the huge numbers and assume that he can't improve more but that's just wrong. A deeper look into his numbers will reveal that there are a lot of areas he can improve on. Let's look at his shooting splits ->
https://stats.nba.com/player/1629029/shooting/He is currently shooting 38.3% from the mid-range. He is shooting 35.6% on floaters (driving floating jump shots). He is shooting 36.6% on pull-up jumpers. He is shooting 35.4% on step-back jumpers. He also doesn't have a very good post game yet as evidenced by his numbers on turnaround fade-aways and hooks. He is 6'8 and strong so a post-up game is likely to be a big weapon for him in the future.
Those 5 areas of improvement are quite easy to see and we're still only talking about his scoring. We haven't even started talking about the other areas of his game that he needs to work on (getting into better shape, defense, turnovers etc).
Yes, Luka is way more polished than the average rookie. But that doesn't mean that he can't improve. He is still inefficient in numerous areas. He can improve in every each one of them and up his scoring while retaining or even improving on his efficiency (not at the same time, he'll probably up his scoring first and then work on his efficiency). He can get into better shape which would help his game across the board. He will learn the PG spot better and cut down on some of his turnovers. Defense is another big area where better conditioning and knowing the way NBA offenses play will help him more. He will never become a lock-down defender, obviously, but he can become a net positive defender (kind of how like has done by mainly defending post players, using his strength).
Here is the thing, he will improve. Most skilled base players improve in today's NBA. I seen it across the league they improve at older ages as well. My quarrel is, as I've said in this thread. The improvements I see he needs to make is substantial if being an elite player is his goal. I only see marginal improvement left.
He is extremely polished and has RARE elite skill that hardly even the best in the NBA currently have. We have been knowing this, it's not new.
I don't see him improving this his athletic tools. He is slow. While he has elite footwork, he is slow. Luis Scola and Z-Bo had elite footwork, they never got faster or more athletic. He has just barely enough athletic ability to be on the perimeter on offense and I personally think he's a mess defensively anywhere. His off ball defense with his great defensive instincts is saving his ass. He is always food on switches and teams will focus on wearing him down as time goes. I just don't see it in terms of parts of the game you have to be born with. He clearly has skill that's born, not just created and he is polished but I can see him putting up insane numbers but his team is 38-44 for the next 4 seasons.
You can't call him a baby LeBron if he is this damn unathletic, it's not possible. He is going to have the same issue Pistol had as a NBA player. Teams are going to love the talent, skill and ability but find the fit just odd and not conductive to elite winning.
Luka will be a HOF if healthy, but will he be a winner in the NBA? I doubt it unless Dallas just goes all in with great picks and FA signings. He isn't Dirk, he doesn't fit. Dirk just fits.