Dat2U wrote:Should the rule of scarcity be taken into consideration? How many players have Klay's skill set? Not many. How many 6-4/6-7 wing players can rebound at a fairly high level? A decent number. I'd place a higher value on what is harder to replace.
I can find plenty of good rebounding wing players who can't space the floor. I can't find many guys who can score efficiently on a high volume of jump shots.
This is the best point anyone has made in response to my claim.
My answer is pretty straightforward.
In fact, every basketball skill -- every skill of every kind in every activity -- is distributed on a bell-shaped curve. A few at each end of the curve & most under the fat part of the curve. There is no way that it's easier to find a guy who is one of the best rebounding guards in the game than it is to find a guy who is one of the best 3-pt. shooting guards in the game.
Yet, for reasons that are probably obvious, it's the guys who' are best at shooting/scoring who are most likely to be over-rated. Not always -- no one thought the Worm was much of a scorer, but everyone knew he was great. But usually all the same.
But in a team sport all those skills get mixed together by the game, right? & if your team doesn't rebound well, & like the Wizards this year, you routinely give the opponent more shots on basket, then they don't have to shoot all that well to beat you, right?
That's how you can wind up scoring 3 more points than average, as the Wizards do, how you can have an above average TS%, as the Wizards do, & still be 22-31, because your opponents are scoring 6 more points than average.
The Golden State Warriors this year get 46.5 rebounds per game. We get 40.8 rebounds per game. Opponents score 5 fewer points against them than against us.
So, every night it looks like GS is just a better scoring team than their opponent, because... well, they win a lot, which means that, yeah, they've outscored their opponent. The scoring stands out. It looks like the only important thing.
But, what's important is how it happens. & all the skills contribute equally to that.