LakersSoul wrote:dhsilv2 wrote:zimpy27 wrote:All the people cheering when NO didn't take the offer from the Lakers will be the same ones laughing at NO if it turns out to be the best offer.
Better to take a calculated risk with a higher expected return. Even if this fails, they made the right choice.
If you look at history, you will see trade packages that go down in value as the rental period comes down. NO went from having 1.5 years to 1 year this summer and unless AD & dad change heart and mind, the Celtics will offer much less than what NO dream.
They will offer expensive over the hill player like Horford/Hayward, Smart and 6th man Brown plus 2-3 FRPs. Keeps you team average and treading water but no superstar potential.
There's truth to this, however the teams who are most likely to make a play haven't had the lottery play out yet. Their is a lack of information on what some of these picks will be and that plus again the possibility of a boston move. If they think the lakers were offering 25 cents on the dollar and they think there is a 60% chance the celtics can do 50 cents, then you have to risk it. it's just that simple. Throw int he knicks perhaps could do 30 or 40 cents. Maybe someone else now knowing they have all off season to figure things out could come up with a plan.
The lakers offer was good but I think it's legit to not think it was enough to drop the hammer.
This is a simple pricing model and waiting right now looks to have a higher expected return. Had AD made this push 2-3 months ago, I think he'd have been traded because it would have given teams more time to figure this out. He asked so late in the game that deals were too hard to make.