Ruzious wrote:WindyCityBorn wrote:...LaVine is playing REALLY well with Markkanen and Porter. Bulls are not looking to replace him at all.
Agreed about Lavine. He's gained the strength that he needed to become as good as he can be, and it took a while - understandably - for him to fully get his quickness back from the ACL. I pushed earlier for a Beal trade for Lavine and Chi's lotto pick.
& I agreed with you didn't I? Nah... But, I'm starting to get your point.
It's interesting to look at Beal & Lavine's numbers this year. Beal is way better right now, but there are intriguing similarities.
Their usage is very close. Their TS% is also close -- Beal's is higher, but if LaVine shot the same number of 3-pointers as Beal (i.e. just a couple more per 40 minutes), their %s would be virtually identical.
Virtually the entire difference between their numbers -- i.e. between Beal having a really terrific year & Lavine still being, overall, below average -- is in 3 areas: offensive rebounds, turnovers & steals. I.e. the 3 numbers that most directly affect possessions.
Per 40 minutes, Beal is only minus .33 of a possession. Zach Lavine is almost 2 possessions worse than that i.e. he's giving the other team 2 extra possessions.
But, Zach is also almost 2 years younger than Beal, & he's had an ACL injury to recover from. If you look at the first 3 years of the two guys, they were very close.
It'd be a roll of the dice for sure, but on reconsideration I can see why one might have wanted to do the trade you suggested, Ruz -- Beal for Lavine & the Bulls' R1 pick this year. It would depend, obviously, on how one assessed the first 1/2 dozen likely R1 picks -- & also on how much better Beal would have made the Bulls for the rest of this year (i.e. potentially pushing Chicago down a pick or two in the draft).