LukaV wrote:Hello.
Let's suppose the Lakers finish with the 12th worst record (as they stand now). Their odds would be 1.3% for the #1 pick, 1.4# for the #2 pick, 1.6 for the #3 pick and 1.8 for the #4 pick. Full odds at
http://www.tankathon.com/pick_odds . EDIT: Correction, the odds would be 1.5, 1.7, 1.9 and 2.1.
How would you react if the Lakers won the #1 pick? How if they got one of the #2, #3 or #4 picks? Would it cause you to (further?) question the integrity of the NBA, to consider that the NBA is in some way rigged?
We know that the lottery process itself is audited by Ernst & Young, a very famous & prestigious company, but not without its black marks, including some heavy fines and also some very loud rumours of helping cover up big transgressions (for example the Lehman Brothers collapse).
We have also had some very interesting results (Ewing to Knicks, Rose to Chicago, Lebron to Cleveland, AD to the Pelicans, Cleveland getting 3 #1 picks after Lebron leaving and rumours of him eventually returning etc.) that some see as arguments in favour of the theory that the lottery is, at least on occasion, rigged.
So, how would you react if the Lakers jumped ahead in the lottery just as they're looking at a summer where they hope they'll have enough enticing "trade assets" to get AD and/or to lure the best free agents to LA regardless of whether they trade for AD, with the looming danger that the NBA will suffer greatly marketing-wise etc. if another year of Lebron's last highly productive years gets wasted?
If they get #1/Zion, he might be enough for Lakers to not need to get AD + another star to contend in 2019-2020, instead just getting one big FA and retaining their young core alongside Zion, Lebron and the FA star. If they get a 2-4 pick, that greatly improves their chances of trading for AD/otherwise improving.
Thanks for your replies!