Post#2 » by Prokorov » Mon Mar 11, 2019 12:10 pm
This would be a big win... we want to beat Detroit and take that 6 seed from them, but in the grand scheme this game isnt as important as people are making it out to be.... Even with a win, detroit is like 75-90% likely to be the 6 seed, their schedule is just too much easier then ours the rest of the way.
A win would be nice more so because it would mean we could basically drop 12 straight games and still make the playoffs (i dont think we will lose 12 straight):
Mon, Mar 11 vs Detroit Win 36 33
Wed, Mar 13 at Oklahoma City Loss 36 34
Sat, Mar 16 at Utah Loss 36 35
Sun, Mar 17 at LA Clippers Loss 36 36
Tue, Mar 19 at Sacramento Loss 36 37
Fri, Mar 22 at LA Lakers Loss 36 38
Mon, Mar 25 at Portland Loss 36 39
Thu, Mar 28 at Philadelphia Loss 36 40
Sat, Mar 30 vs Boston Loss 36 41
Mon, Apr 1 vs Milwaukee Loss 36 42
Wed, Apr 3 vs Toronto Loss 36 43
Sat, Apr 6 at Milwaukee Loss 36 44
Sun, Apr 7 at Indiana Loss 36 45
Wed, Apr 10 vs Miami Win 37 45
37 wins i think we are 60/40 to make the playoffs.... so if we beat detroit and miami and lose every game in between we would still get in....
38 wins i think is like 70/30 we get in. and 39+ i think is 99% we get in.
orlando/miami losing last night was great for us
EDIT: also as tough as that schedule looks on paper, we could have 4-5 gift wins if those teams are set in their spots and cant move up or down and rest their guys.