SmoothLefty21 wrote:I feel the opposite about Barrett. I think he has the highest floor in the draft but his ceiling isn't great. Player's instincts and feel for the game don't drastically improve; it's one of those innate things that I don't believe can be improved a ton. Culver and Morant both possess superior instincts to Barrett and that's one of the biggest reasons I have both ranked above Barrett. Both play with pace, understand angles and read the defense far better than Barrett does. It does concern me that he's had access to such good training/development in Canada and he's still not all that skilled: he can't shoot, he doesn't have much of a handle--he never breaks guys down or gets them off-balance, he just tries to blow by guys and if that doesn't work it's a real adventure--he doesn't have a secondary/counter move when the D cuts him off besides jumping into the defender and launching an ill-advised shot. Once in a blue moon he'll show us his Eurostep but not early often enough. His first step isn't great; spacing in the NBA will only help so much if you struggle getting past your primary defender. I have said it many times: right now Barrett has LeBron's game without the requisite athletic superiority. It's a big, big concern. You can't play in the NBA like that unless you're bigger, stronger, and faster than everyone and Barrett isn't.
As it stands, I don't see Barrett being good enough to be your primary playmaker and I'm not in love with the idea of having him as a secondary playmaker who can't shoot, isn't a great finisher, and I'm not sold on his PnR chops outside of his enticing ability to pass over the top of defenses in PnRs. His passing/vision is good but not great. He screams "good role player" to me. He's a third or fourth option on a contending team. Him going to a terrible team and being handed the reigns as the primary playmaker has disaster written all over it IMO.
I feel like I've seen this movie before with Barnes and Wiggins. Barrett isn't a similar player to either guy but in terms of hype coming out of HS it feels familiar. The one thing Barrett has going for him is that his motor is much better than either Barnes or Wiggins. He's tougher as well. I can see him being an inefficient 20/7/5 volume guy on a bad team or a 15/5/4 guy on a quality team.
Still, I don't feel great about any of them: none of these guys are ideal Top 3 picks but it's a very weak draft. I think Morant has a higher ceiling. I think Culver will fit into his NBA role better than Barrett will. Both could be massive busts while I think Barrett is a safe pick.
This is the long form version of what I think of him. He's good but not good enough to be a dominant #1 option and then where else can he fall? Duke4life put the shorthand version on the GB a moment ago:
Duke4life831 wrote:The thing with RJ is, what happens if he isn't your #1 option? Everything about his game is centered around dominating the ball. But say it becomes clear he isn't good enough to be a true #1 option. I don't see any value he brings as a secondary option.
Culver, you can plug in on just about any team for positive value. Ja will make the players around him better as a primary ball handler. RJ - it's just tough to build a great team with him as the focal point. Mayyyyybe the Ginobili role?