4/07 | G80: Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves - 3:30PM CST

[1bigfan13]

I'd rather see OKC play the Warriors.

We're going home in round 1 regardless of the opponent. But if the Warriors eliminate them at least Presti will finally see first hand that his strategy isn't working. Maybe then he'll finally focus on finding quality shooters.

[RunOKC]

We can play Portland still. Portland wins out to get to 53-29 (@LAL/vsSAC) . We beat Houston to put them at 53-29, and then beat Milwaukee to keep 6th. If Denver wins 1/2 (@UTA/vsMIN) with those other results happening that leaves them 1 game ahead of Houston and Portland - Portland wins tiebreaker via H2H record of 2-1.

1. GSW - Clinched first no matter what
2. DEN - 54-28
3. POR - 53-29 (2-1 vs HOU)
4. HOU - 53-29
5. UTA - Probably 50-32, if they lose twice we can jump them still and in that case we want Portland to fall to 4th...(vsDEN/@LAC)
6. OKC - 49-33 if we win out
7. SAS/LAC - who cares
8. SAS/LAC

Pretty much the dream scenario. Gets rid of both Houston and Utah (assuming Houston/Utah lose to GSW in round 2)... We play Portland then Denver if we managed to win that series. Easiest path to WCF by far.

tl;dr beat houston and milwaukee and see where everything falls

[SecondTake]

We can play Portland still. Portland wins out to get to 53-29 (@LAL/vsSAC) . We beat Houston to put them at 53-29, and then beat Milwaukee to keep 6th. If Denver wins 1/2 (@UTA/vsMIN) with those other results happening that leaves them 1 game ahead of Houston and Portland - Portland wins tiebreaker via H2H record of 2-1.

1. GSW - Clinched first no matter what
2. DEN - 54-28
3. POR - 53-29 (2-1 vs HOU)
4. HOU - 53-29
5. UTA - Probably 50-32, if they lose twice we can jump them still and in that case we want Portland to fall to 4th...(vsDEN/@LAC)
6. OKC - 49-33 if we win out
7. SAS/LAC - who cares
8. SAS/LAC

Pretty much the dream scenario. Gets rid of both Houston and Utah (assuming Houston/Utah lose to GSW in round 2)... We play Portland then Denver if we managed to win that series. Easiest path to WCF by far.

tl;dr beat houston and milwaukee and see where everything falls

Whats the percentage chance that we get POR first round?

[RunOKC]

We can play Portland still. Portland wins out to get to 53-29 (@LAL/vsSAC) . We beat Houston to put them at 53-29, and then beat Milwaukee to keep 6th. If Denver wins 1/2 (@UTA/vsMIN) with those other results happening that leaves them 1 game ahead of Houston and Portland - Portland wins tiebreaker via H2H record of 2-1.

1. GSW - Clinched first no matter what
2. DEN - 54-28
3. POR - 53-29 (2-1 vs HOU)
4. HOU - 53-29
5. UTA - Probably 50-32, if they lose twice we can jump them still and in that case we want Portland to fall to 4th...(vsDEN/@LAC)
6. OKC - 49-33 if we win out
7. SAS/LAC - who cares
8. SAS/LAC

Pretty much the dream scenario. Gets rid of both Houston and Utah (assuming Houston/Utah lose to GSW in round 2)... We play Portland then Denver if we managed to win that series. Easiest path to WCF by far.

tl;dr beat houston and milwaukee and see where everything falls

Whats the percentage chance that we get POR first round?

No clue. Probably got a 30% chance to win out ourselves, Denver going at least 1-1 is likely, and Portland winning out is probably 50/50 though they should be favored in both games. If anyone can calculate it, I'd be interested to know the exact % too. Can't really account for other teams tanking for playoff positioning on purpose, stars resting, etc though.

[SecondTake]

We can play Portland still. Portland wins out to get to 53-29 (@LAL/vsSAC) . We beat Houston to put them at 53-29, and then beat Milwaukee to keep 6th. If Denver wins 1/2 (@UTA/vsMIN) with those other results happening that leaves them 1 game ahead of Houston and Portland - Portland wins tiebreaker via H2H record of 2-1.

1. GSW - Clinched first no matter what
2. DEN - 54-28
3. POR - 53-29 (2-1 vs HOU)
4. HOU - 53-29
5. UTA - Probably 50-32, if they lose twice we can jump them still and in that case we want Portland to fall to 4th...(vsDEN/@LAC)
6. OKC - 49-33 if we win out
7. SAS/LAC - who cares
8. SAS/LAC

Pretty much the dream scenario. Gets rid of both Houston and Utah (assuming Houston/Utah lose to GSW in round 2)... We play Portland then Denver if we managed to win that series. Easiest path to WCF by far.

tl;dr beat houston and milwaukee and see where everything falls

Whats the percentage chance that we get POR first round?

No clue. Probably got a 30% chance to win out ourselves, Denver going at least 1-1 is likely, and Portland winning out is probably 50/50 though they should be favored in both games. If anyone can calculate it, I'd be interested to know the exact % too. Can't really account for other teams tanking for playoff positioning on purpose, stars resting, etc though.

Us winning out is probably the least likely aspect of this.