The third time's the charm - First Round Series vs Portland

Jstock12 · Post #441 » by **Jstock12** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 3:38 pm

Dadouv47 wrote:The worst part about all this is that we all know during exit interviews they will mention 1. Roberson was out 2. Abrines had to leave 3. Paul George's injury 4. Ferguson is young and will improve. Basically meaning no significant change for next season (if PG13 doesn't ask for a trade)

I see that you're rocking the Real Madrid logo, are you Spanish by any chance? Any idea what the hell happened with Abrines?

Post #442 » by **Dadouv47** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 3:55 pm

Jstock12 wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:The worst part about all this is that we all know during exit interviews they will mention 1. Roberson was out 2. Abrines had to leave 3. Paul George's injury 4. Ferguson is young and will improve. Basically meaning no significant change for next season (if PG13 doesn't ask for a trade)

I see that you're rocking the Real Madrid logo, are you Spanish by any chance? Any idea what the hell happened with Abrines?

No I'm not from Spain (speak Spanish so I read sports news from Spain but never read anything about what was going wrong with him). If he makes a statement we will know immediately from OKC sources since he's most famous there than in Europe.

jackrabbit00 · Post #443 » by **jackrabbit00** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 3:59 pm

Dadouv47 wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:
ThunderBolt wrote:Teams down 0-2 have come back and won 8% of all match ups.

Don’t think at all that we will win the series but our odds are higher than 8% though. These stats take into account first and second seed against terrible 7th and 8th seed and we were only 2 games behind Portland in the regular season if I’m not wrong. The gap between 2nd and 7th seed in the West isn’t as big as it used to be.

Didn’t look Vegas odds but won’t Be surprised if they give us 25% chances. We are still overrated though so I would give us around 15%

Update : Vegas giving us 30% of winning this series. Would bet on Portland if I wasn't a Thunder fan...

But doesn't it make more sense then to bet on Portland? It's a win-win situation.

On a more serious matter, I'm interested what you guys think are adjustments we need to make? What rotations should Billy run? And, if Billy is going to be fired, who is best available option to replace him?

Sent from my Lenovo P1ma40 using RealGM mobile app

Post #444 » by **Dadouv47** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 4:04 pm

jackrabbit00 wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:
Don’t think at all that we will win the series but our odds are higher than 8% though. These stats take into account first and second seed against terrible 7th and 8th seed and we were only 2 games behind Portland in the regular season if I’m not wrong. The gap between 2nd and 7th seed in the West isn’t as big as it used to be.

Didn’t look Vegas odds but won’t Be surprised if they give us 25% chances. We are still overrated though so I would give us around 15%

Update : Vegas giving us 30% of winning this series. Would bet on Portland if I wasn't a Thunder fan...
But doesn't it make more sense then to bet on Portland? It's a win-win situation.

On a more serious matter, I'm interested what you guys think are adjustments we need to make? What rotations should Billy run? And, if Billy is going to be fired, who is best available option to replace him?

Sent from my Lenovo P1ma40 using RealGM mobile app

I won't bet money. If I had to it would be on Portland (and it wouldn't be a win-win situation since it would mean that I win money despite my team losing his series/season).

Not sure I can blame Donovan for specific rotations. Our bench is so bad that I can't blame Donovan for his rotation. We need to learn to move the ball though (that's nothing new

)

Revived · Post #445 » by **Revived** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:29 pm

Read on Twitter

Pillendreher · Post #446 » by **Pillendreher** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:32 pm

Read on Twitter

JustOneFix · Post #447 » by **JustOneFix** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 6:19 pm

What a disgrace. Down 0-2 against a inferior team. Russ is junk, George is junk, Adams is junk, Ferguson is uber junk. No passion, no sense of urgency, no nothing. What a f**** disgrace.

And Billy Donovan...that brainless idiot. Every damn coach in the league would need one quarter to realize that Ferguson doesn't stand a chance against McCollum who's scoring at will and looks like damn Michael Jordan outhere. Instead of giving Burton at least a chance to chase Mc around (and i am willing to bet my life on that Burton would do a better job then Ferguson) his solution to the problem is Raymond Felton. What a idiot. Greg Popovich is using a guy that i never heard of on Jokic. And is actually doing a pretty good job on him. God forbid this idiot experiment with something other then his losing combination of Ferguson and Felton. Just insane....

OfficialRef · Post #448 » by **OfficialRef** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 6:47 pm

this series comes down to making their usual shots. Their 3 point shot is bad- even worse than their usual mean. Forget donovan and the roster construction, if the thunder can hit their average they would be up 2-0. Shot making has to start from the top- russell westbrook.

Post #449 » by **Dadouv47** » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:36 pm

Dadouv47 wrote:Please rename the thread. I loved it but it makes me nervous. Every nice/optimistic thread name turns into a nightmare scenario

Still time to counter-jynx.

hardenASG13 · Post #450 » by **hardenASG13** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 1:51 am

While it's obviously must win time, if they could've won 1 of the 2 games they would be strong favorites in the series, because they aren't expected to lose a game at home. Okc is -7.5 for game three, heavily favored. A loss would be devastating, and the law of averages says they start hitting more shots. I dont get why felton is suddenlt in the rotation.....

Anderson Silva · Post #451 » by **Anderson Silva** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 4:33 am

Dadouv47 wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:Please rename the thread. I loved it but it makes me nervous. Every nice/optimistic thread name turns into a nightmare scenario

Still time to counter-jynx.

Which arsehole named this thread? FFS people never learn

I dont know why people are acting shocked we're down 0-2
Portland is a great team. They are Great at home. We need to win 2 at home now, where we are pretty solid ourselves. Series FAAARRRR from over. But if we are to lose, I want it to be a sweep to add pressure to Presti to Fire Donovan.

Pillendreher · Post #452 » by **Pillendreher** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 7:53 am

Anderson Silva wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:
Dadouv47 wrote:Please rename the thread. I loved it but it makes me nervous. Every nice/optimistic thread name turns into a nightmare scenario

Still time to counter-jynx.

Which arsehole named this thread? FFS people never learn

Watch on YouTube

Pillendreher · Post #453 » by **Pillendreher** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 8:07 am

I think Dunc'd On was right yesterday when they said that we're not commited enough to getting the ball out of Lillard's and McCollum's hands. We're acting like we're trapping them, but especially on Lillard Russ is not on time and it leads to Adams being on an island.

Last postseason, the Pelicans managed to hold those two guys to the following numbers:

FGA per 100: Lillard 21.3 | McCollum 24.2
TOV per 100: Lillard 4.8 | McCollum 2.8
USG%: Lillard 24.9 | McCollum 25.3

The first two games:

FGA per 100: Lillard 27.0 | McCollum 30.4
TOV per 100: Lillard 5.1 | McCollum 4.0
USG%: Lillard 31.8 | McCollum 32.8

Their whole offense is those two guys. We can't allow them to finish a combined 59 % of Portland's possessions when both of them are on the floor. Russ can't be trailing the play before the defense even started. Ferguson can't be picking up cheap fouls within a couple of minutes.

If we manage to put more pressure on them, we also have to hope that they won't continue making everything while we miss everything. Per pbpstats.com, McCollum has outperformed his expected eFG% by 3 percentage points while Lillard has outperformed his 2. Meanwhile, Schröder has underperformed his by 18 percentage points, George by 2 percentage points, Russ by 19, Ferguson by 16 and Grant by 39 (!).

Post #454 » by **slick_watts** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 2:13 pm

hand wringing about the defense is weird considering we're putting up < 100pp100 against a team starting enes kanter. we'd at least have a split right now if the offense could do anything.

thekaoswithin · Post #455 » by **thekaoswithin** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 2:48 pm

If the shooting returns to average, could still win in 7. 2-0 isn't insurmountable.

Pillendreher · Post #456 » by **Pillendreher** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 7:30 pm

Read on Twitter

I'll believe it when I see it. Much more likely we'll just continue with the same ****, just like last season.

Post #457 » by **ThunderBolt** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 7:44 pm

Pillendreher wrote:

Read on Twitter

I'll believe it when I see it. Much more likely we'll just continue with the same ****, just like last season.

Royce really is a more eloquent version of Michael cage. Propaganda until the end baby!

CROklahoma · Post #458 » by **CROklahoma** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 8:16 pm

I'm disgusted with all the **** Royce is feeding birds on tweeter.

Those who are around longer know what's up.

Post #459 » by **slick_watts** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 8:20 pm

thekaoswithin wrote:If the shooting returns to average, could still win in 7. 2-0 isn't insurmountable.

i agree, though losing turnovers in game 2 is a bad sign. we're not going anywhere shooting 15% from three.

Pillendreher · Post #460 » by **Pillendreher** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 9:03 pm

ThunderBolt wrote:
Pillendreher wrote:

Read on Twitter

I'll believe it when I see it. Much more likely we'll just continue with the same ****, just like last season.

Royce really is a more eloquent version of Michael cage. Propaganda until the end baby!

He's working overtime this postseason though, since he's pushing propaganda for multiple franchises:

Read on Twitter

I unfollowed him after this. What a bunch of horsecrap. He should try to go back to being an actual journalist instead of just being a mouthpiece.