kg01 wrote:... and furthermore, can we stop with defensive analytics? Or can we at least acknowledge the multitude of flaws associated with trying to quantify defensive "impact"?
The old guard probably remembers that, despite being a numbers guy, I do not subscribe to analytics to a large degree. Simply because people are not robots and it is literally impossible to quantify many aspects of the game that folks are attaching statistics to nowadays.
This has nothing to do with Trae, specifically. I just hate the way people spout these numbers with no apparent or actual knowledge about what they represent.
If you want to use a number, fine. But you also need to include a disclaimer that there are several factors that cannot be captured by the statistic you're quoting. I don't care how many eggsperts keep citing them.
I've often wondered how much the defensive analytics is influenced by the rest of the guys on the court? It makes sense, to me anyway, that it would be heavily dependent upon how good the other 4 guys are. IF, hypothetically speaking, we could drop Trae on the UTAH roster with Gobert and those defensive minded guys, would his Defensive Rating be just as bad? I doubt it.
I was curious about this relationship so I looked up the team and individual ratings for Defensive Efficiency. It's striking how directly correlated they are.
Collin Sexton has the worst defensive rating in the NBA (among rookies playing 30+ games). Not surprisingly, Cleveland has the worst overall defensive rating. Elie Okobo has the 2nd worst rating. Phoenix has the 2nd worst defense. Trae, Jaylen, and Huerter are 3-5 worst. Hawks are 5th worst. Kevin Knox and Allonzo Trier come next. NYK rank 3rd worst. In all, I looked at 41 rookies that have played in 30 games or more this season and it follows almost to a tee that the worst ranked rookies play on the worst ranked teams and the best ranked rookies play on the best ranked teams.
So which came first, the chicken or the egg? I'm inclined to believe the player rating is more influenced by the rest of the team rather than vice versa. In that vein, the fact that Trae plays with a bunch of other BAD defenders probably results in an overstatement of his defensive liabilities.