Rafael122 wrote:Ruzious wrote:payitforward wrote:Uh huh. Tell me, did you watch either of them play? Have you looked at the numbers either of them posted?
Btw, Brandon Clarke is 22. He is 17 months older than Rui Hachimura. Unlike Rui, he is an outstanding basketball player.
I think he meant that with just 7 years basketball experience, Rui is bound to improve, and Rui is known for his work ethic, so it's possible. One thing about Rui is that he will work his arse off, and that's part of defense.
That's what I meant. It's doubtful Clarke has another level to him at this point. If he does, I'll eat crow....
Fair enough -- I recommend getting ready, as Brandon Clarke is likely to be one of the 4-6 best players to come out of this draft.
Not to mention that, right now, Brandon Clarke is far enough ahead of Rui that only the most optimistic result of any work Rui does is likely to get him near Clarke.
Rafael122 wrote:...Rui started playing basketball at 13 in a country that isn't known to produce basketball players. All his flaws are valid, if he was a 4 year guy and he worked his way up through the AAU circuit, I'd have a problem with the pick because between his age and the fact that he would have been around basketball for awhile, he's probably not going to improve. I'm banking on the lack of experience and lack of organized basketball during his teenage years as the reason why he lacks court vision, doesn't have an impact on the defensive side despite having the length to do so, etc.....
The fact that he started late is not evidence that he will, or even can, improve! All it does is explain why he needs to improve. Needing to improve does not help you improve.
Rafael122 wrote:All this stuff can be coached....
Sure. In fact, everything in basketball both can be & is coached. Kids don't rise out of the cradle & develop naturally into good basketball players.
But, just as in the mistaken point above, needing to be coached doesn't imply that you will improve enough when coached. After all, in every human endeavor I can think of, people who start young have an advantage; sometimes it's an advantage that is permanent. Usually it creates a gap that can't be entirely closed -- even if it can be narrowed. & I don't mean to suggest that it can't in Rui's case; I don't mean to suggest he can't become a better basketball player -- of course he can. How good is an open question. Partly it's up to him (i.e. work ethic). Partly it's up to coaching (are the Wizards known for player development? No. In fact, it's not a big part of NBA basketball).
But, to the largest extent it's simply an unknown. Whether as a Wizard or for any other team, either Rui or any other player, of course I hope he's going to improve -- who wants to see people fail? But, that's not the point at all.
The point is -- you can't argue he'll get better just b/c he needs to -- no matter the reason he needs to! Every player has unknowns, of course. Duh. Even Zion. But, usually, the more unknowns there are, the more question marks about a prospect's future, the more they cost him in pick position. I mean... if Rui was a top prospect, one of the most talented kids in the draft, except with a special set of problems coming from his late start, then maybe... but the point is that he's not. He hasn't shown that at all.
Rafael122 wrote:...If the Spurs traded up and picked him, it would have been "of course" or "if the Spurs liked him, we should have picked him!" This organization doesn't deserve the benefit of the doubt. I think it's a solid pick, I'm indifferent. I was a fan of trading down, but it is what it is at this point.
Yup, it is what it is -- just as trading a lottery pick for Kieff was; just as signing a stiff like Andrew Nicholson was, & so forth. Those were stupid mistakes; this was a stupid mistake. "I think it's a solid pick," you write -- the problem is that
there is no reason whatever for you to think that. The only reason you can think it is because it's the pick we made.
As to the Spurs, come on Rafael..., the point is that the Spurs *did not* trade up & pick him! Nor did they reach when their spot came, the way we just did with Rui. They picked Luka Samanic -- he's likely to be a better NBA player than Rui IMO (& that's all it is -- an opinion). But they didn't spend a #9 pick on him.
The worst is that Sheppard has said there was a trade down available -- we don't know what it was, of course, but #9 to the Celtics for #s 20 & 22 was rumored -- & since the Celts did in fact wind up trading one of those picks....
With those 2 picks we would have been able to take Brandon Clarke (a much better player than Rui) & either Grant Williams or Matisse Thybulle (IMO both of them better players than Rui).
We'll see whether I'm right that Clarke, above all (since I lobbied for him insistently), is a whole huge lot better than Rui. But, you can bet that the combination of Clarke & Williams or Thybulle will certainly be! If I'm wrong, then -- like you -- I too will eat crow!