Post#19 » by Timmyyy » Wed Jul 3, 2019 12:54 pm
Dontcallthetimeout got me thinking when he said that he likes it more when the discussion is leading to the votes and not the other way around. It seemed that more discussion came up about non vote posts than about vote posts. So I will this time save my vote for later and ask a few questions I would like to hear something about.
Lebron 2013:
A lot of guys have 2013 at the top or near the top of Lebrons best season and I understand that his 3-pointer, the ring, game 7 of the finals and so on look really intruiging, but RAPM really got me thinking that he was a step below these years on defense and his supposed better offense wasn't enough to make up for it.
Here are the data sets I have for PI and multiyear comparing 2009, 2012, 2013 and 2016
here ranked for DRAPM
SOURCE YEAR TYPE PLAYER ORAPM RANK ORAPM DRAPM RANK DRAPM RAPM RANK RAPM
Engelmann after '15 2012 multiyear LeBron James 6,35 1 2,94 13 9,29 1
engelmann 2009 PI LeBron James 6,6 1 2,8 13 9,3 1
Engelmann after '16 2016 multiyear LeBron James 5,91 1 2,74 12 8,65 1
Engelmann after '15 2009 multiyear LeBron James 6,28 2 2,56 21 8,84 2
gotbuckets 2009 PI LeBron James 5,88 2 2,16 17 8,05 1
gotbuckets 2012 PI LeBron James 5,92 5 1,89 24 7,81 2
engelmann 2012 PI LeBron James 4,2 7 1,8 38 6 3
gotbuckets 2013 PI LeBron James 6,76 1 1,22 38 7,98 1
Engelmann after '15 2013 multiyear LeBron James 5,8 1 0,6 139 6,4 2
and here for RAPM
SOURCE YEAR TYPE PLAYER ORAPM RANK ORAPM DRAPM RANK DRAPM RAPM RANK RAPM
engelmann 2009 PI LeBron James 6,6 1 2,8 13 9,3 1
Engelmann after '15 2012 multiyear LeBron James 6,35 1 2,94 13 9,29 1
Engelmann after '15 2009 multiyear LeBron James 6,28 2 2,56 21 8,84 2
Engelmann after '16 2016 multiyear LeBron James 5,91 1 2,74 12 8,65 1
gotbuckets 2009 PI LeBron James 5,88 2 2,16 17 8,05 1
gotbuckets 2013 PI LeBron James 6,76 1 1,22 38 7,98 1
gotbuckets 2012 PI LeBron James 5,92 5 1,89 24 7,81 2
Engelmann after '15 2013 multiyear LeBron James 5,8 1 0,6 139 6,4 2
engelmann 2012 PI LeBron James 4,2 7 1,8 38 6 3
Than the NPI data (separated because the scale seemed to be too different)
ranked for DRAPM
SOURCE YEAR TYPE PLAYER ORAPM RANK ORAPM DRAPM RANK DRAPM RAPM RANK RAPM
Engelmann after '16 2016 NPI LeBron James 4,71 1 2,89 5 7,6 2
Engelmann after '15 2009 NPI LeBron James 3,95 2 2,55 9 6,5 2
Engelamann only RS 2016 NPI LeBron James 4,21 3 1,86 18 6,07 3
Engelmann after '15 2012 NPI LeBron James 4,23 2 1,54 45 5,77 1
engelmann 2012 NPI LeBron James 2,8 10 0,6 71 3,4 6
Engelmann after '15 2013 NPI LeBron James 4,78 1 0,29 151 5,07 2
and again for RAPM
SOURCE YEAR TYPE PLAYER ORAPM RANK ORAPM DRAPM RANK DRAPM RAPM RANK RAPM
Engelmann after '16 2016 NPI LeBron James 4,71 1 2,89 5 7,6 2
Engelmann after '15 2009 NPI LeBron James 3,95 2 2,55 9 6,5 2
Engelamann only RS 2016 NPI LeBron James 4,21 3 1,86 18 6,07 3
Engelmann after '15 2012 NPI LeBron James 4,23 2 1,54 45 5,77 1
Engelmann after '15 2013 NPI LeBron James 4,78 1 0,29 151 5,07 2
engelmann 2012 NPI LeBron James 2,8 10 0,6 71 3,4 6
I mean I don't evaluate purely based on these numbers, but when I tried to evaluate it with my recollection all these four years were pretty close and when I then see a year that seems to be pretty consistently below others in multiple data sets of RAPM, that gives me reason to believe that it might not have been noise and more of a systematic thing and because of that is a little worse than the other years.
So where do you guys see the positive gap between 2013 and the other years and how large? Are you comfortable enough that the gap you see is really enough to overcome such a negative statistical gap?
Wilt 1967
Saw a lot of guys already voting for him and I know that there are a lot of people out there that are more knowledgable than I am when it comes to the 60's guys. So I wanna ask you some questions.
First off I have to say I am a little skeptical about Wilt but it's not that I want to talk him down or anything, the following stuff is STRICTLY in comparison to the absolute all time greats (so top10 peaks or so).
I saw someone saying on offense he is like Jokic. I have some problems with it. The limited footage I saw of the passing Wilt didn't strike me all that elite big man playmaker like. His decisions sometimes came pretty late, he oftentimes acted a little slow. For example comparing it to what I saw from Russell I got the feeling he made quicker decisions and his passing came more in the flow of the offense, whereas Wilt sometimes seemed to disrupt it a bit. His team was quite great and they oftentimes moved the ball a lot and Wilt didn't seem to always participate in these situations and was only part of the game when the pace slowed down and he got his post up. I mean in the end he averaged a lot of assists and his passes seemed actually well timed mostly so he absolutly had a playmaker effect but I really question if it was really that Big man playmaker type of impact that Bill Walton or Jokic had/has. I mean like I said the way Russell played as a passing hub, sometimes even his playmaking came around more impactful to me than Wilt's because it was better embedded in the Celtics team game.
So my question can anybody comment on that? Maybe someone completely disagrees with this and can give me a quick write up of his playmaking or can advice me some footage to watch?
Then I will come to his scoring. How was Wilt's split between being a finisher in the paint and creating his own shot out of the post?
I ask because the intuition would say with a better team around him he would get more off ball looks, which is absolutely valuable but not as much as creating himself. Now when he had a lot of finishing in his FGA it would be clear that he wasn't as much in the post creating since he only had 14 FGA per game in the RS and 15 in the PS. When I then take that and see that he took 10-11 FTA per game on which he shot 44% in the RS and 39% in the PO's I just think that his scoring game might also be a little less impactful than his TS% makes you believe. But that of course depends on the answer to the question asked in the beginning.
Overall of course he had one of the best offensive seasons of a center of all time. But I am not quite sure HOW good he was and remain more on the skeptical side. But when you add to that that he was really great on defense too that season of course you are looking at one of the great peaks in the history. But competition is tough.
Last question how do people see 2000 Shaq and his defense in the PO's? That is actually one of the points why I am a little lower then before on him. Maybe someone can give his opinion on how he sees it or if it is relevant.