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Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1541 » by fendilim » Sun Jul 28, 2019 4:25 pm

basketballRob wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
Instincts wrote:
Not sure of the point here.

You have been consistently too negative on AGs development curve.

I have no issue with the Griffin, Marion, George, Kawhi comparisons. These are similar player types with similar inherent attributes thus help in defining a development ceiling.

I couldn’t be much happier with AGs development, he is prob in the 85% percentile of his highest current possible outcome. Most importantly AG is not done improving, don’t make that mistake again.

I believe most, including yourself have come around to the now real possibility that AG will be an all star at some point in the next few years, that in itself is a big litmus test. How many all star appearances and how much, particularly, his offensive game, shooting, and play making improve from here will directly effect where he tops out within the spectrum of his development curve. But be clear, because of AGs inherent traits, yes which are comparable to Marion, Griffin, George, and Leonard, he still has, like all of them, a high upper range of his development curve.

Simply put, AGs development is steadily increasing and he is still capable of an accelerated jump in the next year or three. Capacity plus conditions are right for the possibility of a break out year = 1st Allstar year. Time will tell. I bet with AG.


I'm too negative to point out he is in fact much worst player than Leonard, Marion, George and Blake Griffin are, despite being compared with them all the time.
Their timelines and where they were after 5 years, and where Gordon is after 5 years simply don't hold up .

Maybe you should simply come to grips of reality and accept that he is not as good as you think ? But no, year 6 , still talking about some ambiguous potential that he will " develop in year or three". Literally same thing people said last 5 years. He is , in mind of some people here, favorite for MIP last 5 years. Yet ,after 5 years in nba he is career 12 ppg ,6 rpg player.

Where reality meets dreamland of this forum ? Well probably it will after one day Woj bomb is dropped and he is no longer part of this team, so , by default, same people who are so high on him, will tell you how he is just role player and not big time player ( like they did with Tobias Harris, Oladipo and any other Magic player that was traded).

Whole "allstar" concepct as factor is incredibly flawed , and lot of mediocre players like Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague actually did menage to be part of allstar teams . On other hand, Gordon's comparisons for people here are not some fringe allstars but nba superstars and some of best players in the world like two time finals MVP, DPOY Kawhi Leonard and top 3 in MVP votes ,28 ppg player Paul George.
Along with one of youngest allstars ever- Blake Griffin.

Funniest part about Gordon debates is that 50-60% of forum shares mine opinion on Gordon, yet i always upset posters that go at me, where others say same thing and never get any personal attacks.

Yesterday somebody told me that i'm too negative on Magic young players. Than i figured that in last 15 years Magic produced two allstars drafted by them- Nelson, who was awarded allstar spot because of team success and Dwight, drafted in 2004.

My opinion on Gordon is pretty clear- role player that needs improve efficiency and that will never be anything else but 3rd option on great team. Pretty much same thing i said in 2015 ,2016,2017, 2018 and now.
What changed ? Did he become some uber effective scorer capable of scoring 30 a game on 63% TS and lead team to wins? Nah, he actually scores less than year before, his efficiency saw some growth ,yet still below average for his position and he still isn't really treated as treat- by defense of most nba teams.
Matter of fact common sense is that if Vučević has year where he is hurt, this roster is doomed. So what does it say about Gordon?
No one compares players by the number of years they've played, they compare them by age.




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here's a comparison of Gordon (black) vs Kawhi at 23 (gray). Take note that this is Gordon's 5th year vs Kawhi's 4th year.

Image

https://i.imgur.com/YgVAps5.jpg



I'll gladly pull up Gordon at 23 (5th year) vs Kawhi at 22 (earliest tracking available), if you would like to see that too.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1542 » by basketballRob » Sun Jul 28, 2019 4:35 pm

fendilim wrote:
basketballRob wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
I'm too negative to point out he is in fact much worst player than Leonard, Marion, George and Blake Griffin are, despite being compared with them all the time.
Their timelines and where they were after 5 years, and where Gordon is after 5 years simply don't hold up .

Maybe you should simply come to grips of reality and accept that he is not as good as you think ? But no, year 6 , still talking about some ambiguous potential that he will " develop in year or three". Literally same thing people said last 5 years. He is , in mind of some people here, favorite for MIP last 5 years. Yet ,after 5 years in nba he is career 12 ppg ,6 rpg player.

Where reality meets dreamland of this forum ? Well probably it will after one day Woj bomb is dropped and he is no longer part of this team, so , by default, same people who are so high on him, will tell you how he is just role player and not big time player ( like they did with Tobias Harris, Oladipo and any other Magic player that was traded).

Whole "allstar" concepct as factor is incredibly flawed , and lot of mediocre players like Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague actually did menage to be part of allstar teams . On other hand, Gordon's comparisons for people here are not some fringe allstars but nba superstars and some of best players in the world like two time finals MVP, DPOY Kawhi Leonard and top 3 in MVP votes ,28 ppg player Paul George.
Along with one of youngest allstars ever- Blake Griffin.

Funniest part about Gordon debates is that 50-60% of forum shares mine opinion on Gordon, yet i always upset posters that go at me, where others say same thing and never get any personal attacks.

Yesterday somebody told me that i'm too negative on Magic young players. Than i figured that in last 15 years Magic produced two allstars drafted by them- Nelson, who was awarded allstar spot because of team success and Dwight, drafted in 2004.

My opinion on Gordon is pretty clear- role player that needs improve efficiency and that will never be anything else but 3rd option on great team. Pretty much same thing i said in 2015 ,2016,2017, 2018 and now.
What changed ? Did he become some uber effective scorer capable of scoring 30 a game on 63% TS and lead team to wins? Nah, he actually scores less than year before, his efficiency saw some growth ,yet still below average for his position and he still isn't really treated as treat- by defense of most nba teams.
Matter of fact common sense is that if Vučević has year where he is hurt, this roster is doomed. So what does it say about Gordon?
No one compares players by the number of years they've played, they compare them by age.




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here's a comparison of Gordon (black) vs Kawhi at 23 (gray). Take note that this is Gordon's 5th year vs Kawhi's 4th year.

Image

https://i.imgur.com/YgVAps5.jpg



I'll gladly pull up Gordon at 23 (5th year) vs Kawhi at 22 (earliest tracking available), if you would like to see that too.
Kawhi and AG are totally different players.

They are completely different lengths and size. That's the first thing I'd look at when trying to find a comparison.


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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1543 » by fendilim » Sun Jul 28, 2019 4:43 pm

basketballRob wrote:
fendilim wrote:
basketballRob wrote:No one compares players by the number of years they've played, they compare them by age.




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here's a comparison of Gordon (black) vs Kawhi at 23 (gray). Take note that this is Gordon's 5th year vs Kawhi's 4th year.

Image

https://i.imgur.com/YgVAps5.jpg



I'll gladly pull up Gordon at 23 (5th year) vs Kawhi at 22 (earliest tracking available), if you would like to see that too.
Kawhi and AG are totally different players.

They are completely different lengths and size. That's the first thing I'd look at when trying to find a comparison.


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Oh great now its the size. But ok, who would you compare his game to then?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1544 » by basketballRob » Sun Jul 28, 2019 4:50 pm

fendilim wrote:
basketballRob wrote:
fendilim wrote:
here's a comparison of Gordon (black) vs Kawhi at 23 (gray). Take note that this is Gordon's 5th year vs Kawhi's 4th year.

Image

https://i.imgur.com/YgVAps5.jpg



I'll gladly pull up Gordon at 23 (5th year) vs Kawhi at 22 (earliest tracking available), if you would like to see that too.
Kawhi and AG are totally different players.

They are completely different lengths and size. That's the first thing I'd look at when trying to find a comparison.


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Oh great now its the size. But ok, who would you compare his game to then?
Not Kawhi who has a 7'3" wingspan.

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1545 » by fendilim » Sun Jul 28, 2019 4:50 pm

Catledge wrote:I see AG as a stronger, slightly more explosive version of Trevor Ariza. He had a year at age 24 with Houston where he tried to be a shot-creating SF, and he was pretty awful at it (eFG% was .462). He spent a couple of years trying and failing to be that kind of player, but by the time he was 28, he was an elite role player and a solid vet leader with the Wizards. His eFG% jumped to .562 as he figured out and accepted his optimum role, and while that was the most efficient year of his career, he continued to do well in a similar role in Houston for a few years after that.

Last year as a 23-year-old, AG accepted 1.5 less FGAs per game than the year before, and he nudged up his efficiency a little. I think there is a decent chance that he will follow an Ariza-like growth curve, where he doesn't really increase his scoring volume much, but he does increase his efficiency while providing above-average defense on the opponent's best forward. Of course, that growth curve will end at a higher place for AG than it did for Ariza because AG's starting point is higher.

I think this reflects a pretty level-headed degree of optimism.

Yes, couldnt have said this any better.

AG’s game is better suited on more of a 3 and D role. He’ll be a really good role player. I think he is getting there, but until he starts to fully expect this role, his game will still be painful to watch because of his tendencies to do more than what he is capable of.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1546 » by Knightro » Sun Jul 28, 2019 6:49 pm

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1547 » by basketballRob » Sun Jul 28, 2019 10:48 pm

I guess we'll see Isaac in the white vs blue game August 9th.

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1548 » by Def Swami » Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:21 am

Put in that recruiting time, Mo
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1549 » by pepe1991 » Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:45 am

Def Swami wrote:Put in that recruiting time, Mo
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1550 » by Instincts » Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:36 am

pepe1991 wrote:
Instincts wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
Also Pepe: copy pasts link where people compared him with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George

But ofc you missed that part :roll:

Just to get things clear and clear this " nobody ever said it " crap that is going on between Skin, you and few others

So nobody ever said it or argued it ?

viewtopic.php?f=25&t=1753556&hilit=aaron+gordon+SF

This is just 8 months old debate.

In thread named " DO you think AG will emerge as breakout star " from 2017, among 126 people who voted, half of them said - yes.

viewtopic.php?f=25&t=1610984&hilit=aaron+gordon+SF&start=100

This thread also has A LOT of Paul George name, data and stats drops in it .

Early 2017, people still claim Gordon is turning allstar witihn next year or so
viewtopic.php?f=25&t=1509379&hilit=aaron+gordon+SF&start=20


And finally THE Aaron Gordon thread from 2015
viewtopic.php?f=25&t=1376790&hilit=aaron+gordon+SF
and list of things people said here:
-Blake Griffin/Marion hybrid
Kawhi Leonard AND Paul Geroge comparison
- perennial all star

Yet here you are, getting upset because i said something that has been repeated over and over and over again for last 5 years. And you accuse me of lying . This last thread ,filled with George, Kawhi, Griffin , Marion comparisons (that i refered to) was made year before i even joined forum .


Not sure of the point here.

You have been consistently too negative on AGs development curve.

I have no issue with the Griffin, Marion, George, Kawhi comparisons. These are similar player types with similar inherent attributes thus help in defining a development ceiling.

I couldn’t be much happier with AGs development, he is prob in the 85% percentile of his highest current possible outcome. Most importantly AG is not done improving, don’t make that mistake again.

I believe most, including yourself have come around to the now real possibility that AG will be an all star at some point in the next few years, that in itself is a big litmus test. How many all star appearances and how much, particularly, his offensive game, shooting, and play making improve from here will directly effect where he tops out within the spectrum of his development curve. But be clear, because of AGs inherent traits, yes which are comparable to Marion, Griffin, George, and Leonard, he still has, like all of them, a high upper range of his development curve.

Simply put, AGs development is steadily increasing and he is still capable of an accelerated jump in the next year or three. Capacity plus conditions are right for the possibility of a break out year = 1st Allstar year. Time will tell. I bet with AG.


I'm too negative to point out he is in fact much worst player than Leonard, Marion, George and Blake Griffin are, despite being compared with them all the time.
Their timelines and where they were after 5 years, and where Gordon is after 5 years simply don't hold up .

Maybe you should simply come to grips of reality and accept that he is not as good as you think ? But no, year 6 , still talking about some ambiguous potential that he will " develop in year or three". Literally same thing people said last 5 years. He is , in mind of some people here, favorite for MIP last 5 years. Yet ,after 5 years in nba he is career 12 ppg ,6 rpg player.

Where reality meets dreamland of this forum ? Well probably it will after one day Woj bomb is dropped and he is no longer part of this team, so , by default, same people who are so high on him, will tell you how he is just role player and not big time player ( like they did with Tobias Harris, Oladipo and any other Magic player that was traded).

Whole "allstar" concepct as factor is incredibly flawed , and lot of mediocre players like Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague actually did menage to be part of allstar teams . On other hand, Gordon's comparisons for people here are not some fringe allstars but nba superstars and some of best players in the world like two time finals MVP, DPOY Kawhi Leonard and top 3 in MVP votes ,28 ppg player Paul George.
Along with one of youngest allstars ever- Blake Griffin.

Funniest part about Gordon debates is that 50-60% of forum shares mine opinion on Gordon, yet i always upset posters that go at me, where others say same thing and never get any personal attacks.

Yesterday somebody told me that i'm too negative on Magic young players. Than i figured that in last 15 years Magic produced two allstars drafted by them- Nelson, who was awarded allstar spot because of team success and Dwight, drafted in 2004.

My opinion on Gordon is pretty clear- role player that needs improve efficiency and that will never be anything else but 3rd option on great team. Pretty much same thing i said in 2015 ,2016,2017, 2018 and now.
What changed ? Did he become some uber effective scorer capable of scoring 30 a game on 63% TS and lead team to wins? Nah, he actually scores less than year before, his efficiency saw some growth ,yet still below average for his position and he still isn't really treated as treat- by defense of most nba teams.
Matter of fact common sense is that if Vučević has year where he is hurt, this roster is doomed. So what does it say about Gordon?


Well Pepe, you are not nearly as negative on AG as you used to be. Which is good. You now concede that he could be the “third best player on a great team”. That is fine, that is an all-star, and is in the upper half of AGs develop spectrum.

We have discussed this thoroughly and have settled on the metric. 55% TS%. I’m paraphrasing, but you have stated if AG gets to that threshold you will concede the arguement.

I believe AG gets to 55% TS% this year. A metric not hit by Shawn Marion until he was 26 in his first year playing with Steve Nash.

If AG played with a high level creator such as Steve Nash his TS% would rocket higher. None the less, to his credit, AG will challenge the 55% TS% mark without a high level primary creator.

I also expect AGs assist to turnover ratio to move past the 2 to 1 mark this year.

Simply put, AG will continue to become a more efficient player this year. I bet with AG.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1551 » by Def Swami » Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:40 pm

;feature=youtu.be
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1552 » by mrtcsm » Mon Jul 29, 2019 3:18 pm

Would you go all in this season if we could get both Beal and Lowry?

We would be giving away AG, Evan, DJ and Fultz and multiple picks/swaps but I would definitely jump on it. It would probably take Toronto having a bad start for them to finally decide to start their rebuild. Also if Beal decides he is leaving and doesn't sign the extension Was will most likely look to get some value for him. I doubt we can put out the best package for him but its good to dream.

http://www.espn.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=y44b6x3t

Lowry/MCW/Briscoe
Beal/Frazier
Iwundu/Ross
Isaac/Aminu/Chuma
Vuc/Mo/Birch

...maybe even include Mo and save a draft pick being traded.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1553 » by Audi » Mon Jul 29, 2019 3:51 pm

mrtcsm wrote:Would you go all in this season if we could get both Beal and Lowry?

We would be giving away AG, Evan, DJ and Fultz and multiple picks/swaps but I would definitely jump on it. It would probably take Toronto having a bad start for them to finally decide to start their rebuild. Also if Beal decides he is leaving and doesn't sign the extension Was will most likely look to get some value for him. I doubt we can put out the best package for him but its good to dream.

http://www.espn.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=y44b6x3t

Lowry/MCW/Briscoe
Beal/Frazier
Iwundu/Ross
Isaac/Aminu/Chuma
Vuc/Mo/Birch

...maybe even include Mo and save a draft pick being traded.


I'm all in on Beal, but I just plain don't like Lowry.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1554 » by Magic_Johnny12 » Mon Jul 29, 2019 4:33 pm

Audi wrote:
mrtcsm wrote:Would you go all in this season if we could get both Beal and Lowry?

We would be giving away AG, Evan, DJ and Fultz and multiple picks/swaps but I would definitely jump on it. It would probably take Toronto having a bad start for them to finally decide to start their rebuild. Also if Beal decides he is leaving and doesn't sign the extension Was will most likely look to get some value for him. I doubt we can put out the best package for him but its good to dream.

http://www.espn.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=y44b6x3t

Lowry/MCW/Briscoe
Beal/Frazier
Iwundu/Ross
Isaac/Aminu/Chuma
Vuc/Mo/Birch

...maybe even include Mo and save a draft pick being traded.


I'm all in on Beal, but I just plain don't like Lowry.


Same.

This team doesn't get passed the first round, LOL at Frazier being the primary backup SG :lol:
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1555 » by j-ragg » Mon Jul 29, 2019 5:03 pm

I hate Lowry but he’d help us a lot. Refs for some reason reward the flailers/floppers.

Still one of the funniest flops of all time.

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1556 » by MagicFrenchie » Mon Jul 29, 2019 8:59 pm

Considering what I am seeing from Fultz ig stories, he's hungry af...

He wants to prove all them wrong...I hope he tears it all up
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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1557 » by ezzzp » Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:17 am

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1558 » by basketballRob » Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:23 am

Reading the trades and transactions board almost every other topic was a proposed trade for one of our players. Most of them involved AG. I guess our players are viewed to have value now.

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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1559 » by cedric76 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:18 am

Def Swami wrote:;feature=youtu.be


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Re: Official Speculation Thread ‘19-'20 II: BIG as F 

Post#1560 » by MagicFrenchie » Tue Jul 30, 2019 7:46 am

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