Gomes3PC wrote:Bleeding Green wrote:Curmudgeon wrote:Well, it's "three years away" from Giannis (if you are lucky) vs. one year away from Wayne Selden. Take your pick.
It's three years away for Dragan Bender. One year away for Malcom Brogdon.
Or Bruno Caboclo, or Frank Ntilikina, or Anžejs Pasečņiks, or Thon Maker, or Papagiannis, or Yabu, or Zizic, or Luwawu, or Hezonja, or Exum...the list goes on.
The track record of 1st rd Euros over the last 5 years is pretty terrible. Yes there is Luka and Kristaps in there, but by and large there's been very few guys that have worked out well beyond them. Even a guy like Saric has just been kind of "a guy" when he was deemed as a demigod coming over after his Euro success.
2016 was an especially bad year for euro players, Zizic or Zubac might actually be the best one. I don't think they perform much worse relative to draft position when compared to college players, though. A lot of misses, but not many of these guys were taken in the lottery, and you have late round surprises like Nurkic/Jokic/Gobert/Capela recently. Caboclo was a major, major project and he took a leap last year, I wouldn't give up on him yet. Alen Smailagic this year is a guy I'm really high on, gifted to the Warriors at pick 39. Doumbouya looks like an instant bust to me, Goga nothing special, dunno enough about Samanic, but I was intrigued when he was mocked at like pick 40 six months ago. I know there is a meme that San Antonio hits on all their euro players, but they haven't drafted a good one since Splitter in 2007.