Post#72 » by ballup » Thu Sep 5, 2019 8:25 pm
I think there are 5 candidates: Heat, Nets, Raptors, Celtics, and Pacers.
The Heat have upgraded from Richardson to Butler. Factor in better health and they could be in the high 40s in wins.
The Nets upgraded DLo into Kyrie. Whether or not they adapt to a new style or Kyrie plays in line with the one they ran this past season determines if they reach their better outcomes. Other things to wonder are whether LeVert is back and if they can continue getting good minutes at the 4.
The Raptors did well without Kawhi in the regular season as they still had talent and a good system. The concerning thing is that they no longer have as big of a cushy depth as before and two of their best 3 players are getting up there in age. Low 50s in wins is a reasonable range.
The Celtics lost quite a bit in Kyrie, Horford, Baynes, and Morris. Better chemistry and better play from the Jays can make up a good portion or even more offensively. If Hayward becomes an actual player again instead of dead weight, this team's offense can really click. Depth and defense are a concern though. Steven may already have the defensive blueprint in working around Kanter. These guys are potentially a high 40s win team.
Pacers are a weird team, but I can see them being the #3 if things fall into place but it's a lot of conditional marks. First they have to figure out if the Sabonis and Turner tandem truly works, survive without Oladipo, and continue excellence with Oladpio back into the roster. This team has the most variability with 46 wins as the average but 50+ for the best case scenario.
The Raptors are the most known product of this bunch and that's what gives them the vote of confidence to be 3rd in the east standings