Gooner wrote:freethedevil wrote:nikster wrote:I think this is the worst prediction I’ve seen in this thread. They were a 59 win team in 2018, this team isnt much worse.
team might be better honestly
They had DeRozan in 2018. Say what you want about him but the guy would give you over 20 points per game. Who is gonna score now? Lowry can't do it anymore, Siakam is not built for that role, Gasol is declining like Lowry...there isn't enough talent there.
Why would Raptors be so much better than a team like Orlando?
The Raptors went 17-5 without Leonard last year, (including a weird 8-2 on back to backs). This is a number that is a bit misleading as a projection (Green helped, who they beat, vets will be worse maybe, yung guys will be better maybe), but it is an important remember that Toronto has a deep, resourceful squad.
Toronto probably projects as a below-average offense next year. But their defense should be top 5 (they bring elite defenders at every position, starting and off the bench). The difference between them and Orlando (another team that should boast an elite defense) is the difference between a below-average offense and a bad one. I'll take a declined Lowry over DJ Augustine 100 times out of 100, and Pascal Siakam is a more dynamic threat than anyone on Orlando's roster outside of maybe Vooch. Gasol, Lowry and Siakam are extremely versatile offensive players who are easy to play with. I'm guessing Toronto ends up the 10th-15th (they were 5th last year) ranked offense where Orlando will be 17th-22nd (they were 22 last years).
In a perfect Orlando world, Markelle Fultz becomes a real player and (more realistically) Aaron Gordon takes another sneaky step forward on offense; in general, Orlando's offense, with it's lack of guard play and it's dependance on tweener defensive forwards will make for a clunky offense around Vooch. I also think Nick Nurse is a high level offensive coach, where Steve Clifford is a defensive guru who doesn't have a huge track record of successful offense (might be unfair, he hasn't exactly coached offensively gifted personnel).
Not to pile on old Derozan hate, but it's been debated forever whether or not Derozan was helpful or harmful to the Raptors. He might have helped their offense with his scoring (debatable until he became an ok passer) and he certainly harmed their defense.