At what age do basketball players peak?

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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#21 » by MrPerfect1 » Wed Oct 2, 2019 8:26 am

There is an interesting study I saw about this that holds true even if you look at random players.

Overall, it is not a Bell Curve shape. Interestingly, there are 2 different peaks. A large portion of players peak at 24 and another large portion of players peak at 27.

24 and 27 are the 2 most common ages players peak
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#22 » by PrinceCliche » Wed Oct 2, 2019 9:08 am

27-33
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#23 » by Dr Spaceman » Wed Oct 2, 2019 10:25 am

Offense: 30-33
Defense: 24-27
Overall: 27-31
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#24 » by DCRYsing89 » Wed Oct 2, 2019 10:33 am

Scientifically the athletic peak of individuals is at latest 25 (if they are always maximising ability)
Though numerous factors can affect this. (Injuries, illness, Size or just being lazy till your 26)

And in basketball IQ and feel which develop over time also have an affect.

So personally I feel it’s dependant on the player
Playmakers I feel peak 30-32 (due to more reliance on feel and IQ)
Shooters peak 28-30 (due to their touch and skill being quite important)
Scorers 26-28 (since they need a mixture of everything)
Athletic type players 24-26 (since this is when they generally find their niche)

Bron, MJ these guys are freaks and fit in all 4 categories.
But a younger player who is incredibly polished early then doesn’t improve much more once in the NBA could be seen as peaking early in career, these are such guys as like Rondo I feel.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#25 » by Triple7 » Wed Oct 2, 2019 10:48 am

Usually around 26-30. athletic peak at around 26-28. Big man without suffering major injuries, tend to have longer peaks.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#26 » by mtron929 » Wed Oct 2, 2019 11:51 am

Usually, the stars peak right before they sign the super max extension.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#27 » by benhillboy » Wed Oct 2, 2019 1:19 pm

I always thought 28 was the peak intersection of physical ability and BBIQ. After that if their IQs expand at the same rate their athleticism is waning they can be a valuable player at 35. The physical freaks of that class who never ate a burger or smoked a blunt with Rasheed play beyond that.

Steph’s PER dropped from 31.5 in his age 27 season to 24.6 in his age 28 season. Damn you KD.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#28 » by mixerball » Wed Oct 2, 2019 1:38 pm

when experience, skills and athleticism overlap the most. thats is 27-31
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#29 » by scrabbarista » Wed Oct 2, 2019 2:04 pm

As someone who's looked at thousands of bbref pages, I can tell you that tons and tons and tons of guys peak statistically around 23 years old. I'm not saying that's the average, but it's definitely not uncommon. The average statistical peak is fairly young. Impact peak is probably about four years later (say, 28). But superstars often peak later than that.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#30 » by scrabbarista » Wed Oct 2, 2019 2:09 pm

MrPerfect1 wrote:There is an interesting study I saw about this that holds true even if you look at random players.

Overall, it is not a Bell Curve shape. Interestingly, there are 2 different peaks. A large portion of players peak at 24 and another large portion of players peak at 27.

24 and 27 are the 2 most common ages players peak


Bingo. This matches my experience of just looking at thousands of bbref pages. I do think you often need to fast forward about four years, though, to get from a guy's statistical peak to his impact peak. I guess that's another way of saying, "it depends which numbers you're looking at - raw numbers or impact numbers." And then you have to ask whether impact is in fact accurately measured - and which numbers do it. I just know that I frequently see about a four year gap between peak statistical seasons and, subjectively speaking, the highest level of basketball the player will play.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#31 » by Danny1616 » Wed Oct 2, 2019 2:25 pm

Depends on the player's skill level.

For those that rely heavily on explosiveness and don't actually work on their game the peak is usually 22-27.

For most players probably 26-31.

Some exceptions to this rule are Steve Nash, Kyle Lowry, and Billups...who all peaked in their late 20s/early 30s and have sustained a high level of play well into their 30s.

Guys like Lebron, Duncan, MJ, Hakeem, Kareem etc. were also exceptions because they were able to sustain peak level play for very long.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#32 » by UcanUwill » Wed Oct 2, 2019 2:37 pm

NBA is different that other leagues IMO. In NBA players are so talented, they naturally good very early, but they also more athletic and rely on athleticism more. NBA player who is 27 should be in his peak, were in Europe, when guy is 27, everyone still have hopes he improves noticeably till he hits early 30s.
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Re: At what age do basketball players peak? 

Post#33 » by Ainosterhaspie » Wed Oct 2, 2019 2:42 pm

I remember reading something about this a while back but can't remember where. The article had a lot of graphs showing different players rise and decline. The basic sense I got from it is that players peak around 27/28 then began a slow decline which accelerates around 32/33. For guys with high levels of skill and less reliance on athleticism the decline is more gradual but still accelerates in the mid-30s.
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