2019-20 NBA Season Discussion

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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#261 » by E-Balla » Thu Oct 31, 2019 6:34 pm

liamliam1234 wrote:Well, again, I do not think he deserved MVP, and leading the team offensively is not exactly the same as leading the team.

It's not but D. Rose undeniably led the team. He was by far their best player on the court and with his injuries in the years following we saw exactly how much that team needed Rose to play at a high level. They were a 60+ win team with Rose in both 2011 and 2012 and a 45-50 win team without him in 2012-14 mainly because their offense went from being above average to being among the worst in the league without him.

Notice how no one lost their minds over the 2015 Hawks? Oh, wait, Millsap and Horford both received max contracts, so maybe I just value maximums more than most.

If there are sixty maximum contracts in the league, I agree Russell probably deserves one.

We're talking about the rookie max. DLo is still only the 29th highest paid player in the league and next year he'll be 34th. He's basically going to hover around the contracts of vets like Al Horford during the length of his contract.

And the market is set by what people are getting paid so when I hear max contract I'm thinking of his value relative that of similar players in his price range and by that standard he was 100% always going to get the max.

Good rebuttal, but why is superior off-ball passing an advantage over on-ball passing?

I didn't say it was? DLo is great passing both on and off ball (if anything his PNR playmaking is what he's best at and he's arguably best in the league at). I'd rank that over a player (Ja and Trae) only good passing on ball. The more ways you can make great passes the better.

My point was that other players who deserved it more were already on teams with all-stars, and selections seem to consider that as a factor.

In terms of “leading” a team to the playoffs, again, a.) good team overall, b.) eastern conference, and c.) so have other whelming players at the bottom of the eastern playoff picture. 2016 Celtics come to mind. Judging by all-star, he was perceived as, what, the fifteenth best player in a weak conference?

A) Again what's he being compared to because I can't think of any PG his age that led a bad team to the playoffs in the modern era.

B) Does that really matter much? They were the 6th seed in the East and would've been the 9th seed in the West, they were still a top 16 team in the league no matter which conference they were in. Remove the Bulls, Cavs, Suns, and Knicks and the East and West were .500 against each other. The gap between the conferences isn't that wide anymore and the NBA champion was an EC team. Of the 4 best teams last year 3 (Toronto, Milwaukee, and Philly) were in the EC.

C) The 2016 Celtics were led by Isaiah Thomas who I'd say proved he was a great player prior to the injury and who made an All Pro team in 2017. Not sure if comparing DLo at 22 to Isaiah at 25 gets the point that DLo isn't special across...

And that ignores other rapidly ascending players like Turner, Young, the unjustly robbed Siakam... But whatever, top twenty player in a weak conference is still like top fifty overall, so if that is your point, taken. Again, I (and presumably others) probably overvalue the scarcity of maximum contracts.

Well again the EC and WC aren't that different in terms of strength once you remove the obvious tanking teams and with that the best players aren't all in the WC. That's a bunk narrative people just haven't updated. IDK who won thread #25 but 11 of the top 24 players headed into the 2020 season according to the GB played in the EC last year.

And how can you say those guys are rapidly ascending but DLo isn't? He averaged 15.5/3.9/5.2 his first year in BK on 50.9 TS% with a 98 ORTG, 17.9/3.8/6.1 on 50.9 TS% with a 102 ORTG prior to New Years in the 2019 season, and 23.8/4.0/7.7 on 54.8 TS% with a 109 ORTG after New Years in 2019. That looks like rapid ascension to me.

Good counter, with the specification that I think most of those trailing players have far more room for growth than Russell. But I track your point better now. Good enough for it to be weakly deserved in isolation, and young enough for it to be worth for sheer speculative potential.

I think they have more room for growth, but they're also worse players than Russell currently and outside of Simmons they were worse prospects coming into the NBA. Lonzo and Rose are the only freshman PGs I've seen have a better season than Russell did at OSU. I think too many people that don't pay attention to prospects before they hit the NBA just judge guys off their numbers and Russell played SG at OSU so he didn't look like an amazing passer but I've been comparing him to Ginobili more than anyone else since back then and I still see that creativity when he has the ball.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#262 » by E-Balla » Thu Oct 31, 2019 6:37 pm

clyde21 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
i haven't even stated what my expectations of him are, I just don't think he's really an all-star caliber player and, to make matters worse, he's an absolutely terrible fit in this offense.

I mean you're stating his contract and acquisition is bad so obviously you have some sort of expectations you don't think he's hitting and some reason to be saying what you're saying here.


yes, paying DLo 30 mill a pop has the potential to be a devastating contract, if you disagree with that fine, but you do understand why someone else might not see it the same way right?

No not really when you look around at other people with similar contracts. He's 23 years old and will be 34th in salary next season (not counting everyone that's going to leapfrog him this offseason). Unless he gets hurt his contract will be easy as hell to move at least for the next 2 years.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#263 » by clyde21 » Thu Oct 31, 2019 6:46 pm

E-Balla wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:I mean you're stating his contract and acquisition is bad so obviously you have some sort of expectations you don't think he's hitting and some reason to be saying what you're saying here.


yes, paying DLo 30 mill a pop has the potential to be a devastating contract, if you disagree with that fine, but you do understand why someone else might not see it the same way right?

No not really when you look around at other people with similar contracts. He's 23 years old and will be 34th in salary next season (not counting everyone that's going to leapfrog him this offseason). Unless he gets hurt his contract will be easy as hell to move at least for the next 2 years.


just because other players are on bad contracts too doesn't mean this isn't one either, and if he keeps playing like he has these first 4 games there no way you can see he'll be easy to move, but I hope you're right.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#264 » by Slava » Thu Oct 31, 2019 9:38 pm

Dr Spaceman wrote:
Slava wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
he's garbage...one trick pony, and an absolutely terrible terrible terrible fit in a motion/movement scheme

this was a disastrous transaction by Myers


It was always about gaining an asset than being enamoured by the player. Myers will extract a small fortune out of someone as soon as D'Angelo becomes trade eligible. Warriors needed those assets after depleting them during the title run and that was the only way of getting them.


Russell is averaging 16/6 on 48% true shooting. He has never been close to league average true shooting in his career. Right now his offensive on/off is -24.5.

This is a much bigger risk than you’re making it out to be. Russell will have to majorly turn it around on a roster with 0 supporting talent to even get anything of value in a trade, even from a team as desperate as Minnesota, let alone a “small fortune”.

What GM is trading fro Russell and his max contract if they want to keep their job?


Are we still debating true shooting as an indicator of a player's credentials on offence and consequently his trade value? What was Russell Westbrook's TS% last year and how much did he fetch Oklahoma City when they traded him? Sure he does have a greater body of evidence of being extremely good on offence while being questionable on defence.

Russell is still a 23 year old guard who clocked in at +2.1 ORPM last season, higher than Malcolm Brogdon who fetched a hefty salary sheet as well in the summer. He sports advanced reads out of pick and rolls and hits corner shooters with passes from his off hand that film nerds were raving about last season.

He also happens to be close friends with a lot of other stars from his draft class like Towns and Booker so if Myers were to put him on the market, those teams would at least make an honest attempt to get him if only to appease the players they have as franchise corner stones.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#265 » by Slava » Thu Oct 31, 2019 9:40 pm

clyde21 wrote:
Slava wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
he's garbage...one trick pony, and an absolutely terrible terrible terrible fit in a motion/movement scheme

this was a disastrous transaction by Myers


It was always about gaining an asset than being enamoured by the player. Myers will extract a small fortune out of someone as soon as D'Angelo becomes trade eligible. Warriors needed those assets after depleting them during the title run and that was the only way of getting them.


we had to give up Iggy and a 2024 unprotected first to get DLo, ended up getting hard capped, and are now paying him 30 million the next four years

if he keeps playing like trash, we might have to attach an asset to get rid of him...


If I recall correctly, isn't the pick sent to the Nets the one with weird protections like top 20 protected for next season and if not a 2025 2nd round pick? By all evidence, it looks like GSW are going to retain it.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#266 » by clyde21 » Thu Oct 31, 2019 9:48 pm

Slava wrote:
Dr Spaceman wrote:
Slava wrote:
It was always about gaining an asset than being enamoured by the player. Myers will extract a small fortune out of someone as soon as D'Angelo becomes trade eligible. Warriors needed those assets after depleting them during the title run and that was the only way of getting them.


Russell is averaging 16/6 on 48% true shooting. He has never been close to league average true shooting in his career. Right now his offensive on/off is -24.5.

This is a much bigger risk than you’re making it out to be. Russell will have to majorly turn it around on a roster with 0 supporting talent to even get anything of value in a trade, even from a team as desperate as Minnesota, let alone a “small fortune”.

What GM is trading fro Russell and his max contract if they want to keep their job?


Are we still debating true shooting as an indicator of a player's credentials on offence and consequently his trade value? What was Russell Westbrook's TS% last year and how much did he fetch Oklahoma City when they traded him? Sure he does have a greater body of evidence of being extremely good on offence while being questionable on defence.

Russell is still a 23 year old guard who clocked in at +2.1 ORPM last season, higher than Malcolm Brogdon who fetched a hefty salary sheet as well in the summer. He sports advanced reads out of pick and rolls and hits corner shooters with passes from his off hand that film nerds were raving about last season.

He also happens to be close friends with a lot of other stars from his draft class like Towns and Booker so if Myers were to put him on the market, those teams would at least make an honest attempt to get him if only to appease the players they have as franchise corner stones.


last year -

Brogdon - 2.02 RPM
DLo - 1.53 RPM

Brogdon - 61.4 TS%
DLo - 53.3 TS%

Brogdon - 7.1 BPM
DLo - 3.4 BPM

Brogdon has been way better than DLo tbh, and that's not even getting into how much better Brog looks better than Dlo this year.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#267 » by Peregrine01 » Sat Nov 2, 2019 2:59 am

Mavs are looking really really good.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#268 » by Peregrine01 » Sat Nov 2, 2019 3:39 am

Luka is my dark horse MVP candidate.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#269 » by Bidofo » Sat Nov 2, 2019 4:02 am

Luka absolutely dissecting this Lakers defense.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#270 » by Fadeaway_J » Sat Nov 2, 2019 4:04 am

Nothing but LeBron and AD isos... :nonono:
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#271 » by Dupp » Sat Nov 2, 2019 6:27 am

Luka is very lebron like in the pick n roll and with his play reading in the paint/ out of double teams
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#272 » by Mos_Heat » Sat Nov 2, 2019 1:01 pm

Rox D is not very good
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#273 » by E-Balla » Sat Nov 2, 2019 1:06 pm

clyde21 wrote:
Slava wrote:
Dr Spaceman wrote:
Russell is averaging 16/6 on 48% true shooting. He has never been close to league average true shooting in his career. Right now his offensive on/off is -24.5.

This is a much bigger risk than you’re making it out to be. Russell will have to majorly turn it around on a roster with 0 supporting talent to even get anything of value in a trade, even from a team as desperate as Minnesota, let alone a “small fortune”.

What GM is trading fro Russell and his max contract if they want to keep their job?


Are we still debating true shooting as an indicator of a player's credentials on offence and consequently his trade value? What was Russell Westbrook's TS% last year and how much did he fetch Oklahoma City when they traded him? Sure he does have a greater body of evidence of being extremely good on offence while being questionable on defence.

Russell is still a 23 year old guard who clocked in at +2.1 ORPM last season, higher than Malcolm Brogdon who fetched a hefty salary sheet as well in the summer. He sports advanced reads out of pick and rolls and hits corner shooters with passes from his off hand that film nerds were raving about last season.

He also happens to be close friends with a lot of other stars from his draft class like Towns and Booker so if Myers were to put him on the market, those teams would at least make an honest attempt to get him if only to appease the players they have as franchise corner stones.


last year -

Brogdon - 2.02 RPM
DLo - 1.53 RPM

Brogdon - 61.4 TS%
DLo - 53.3 TS%

Brogdon - 7.1 BPM
DLo - 3.4 BPM

Brogdon has been way better than DLo tbh, and that's not even getting into how much better Brog looks better than Dlo this year.

2 things here:

1. Those aren't last year's numbers across the board because Brogdon had a 1.5 BPM to DLo's 3.4.

2. Brogdon is over 4 years older than DLo.

Again your standards are completely off in judging young PGs. DLo is way more advanced than the average 23 year old G and you're comparing him to a man that'll be 27 in a month. Slava was 100% accurate in mentioning regardless of his TS% DLo is a blue chipper.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#274 » by Dr Positivity » Sat Nov 2, 2019 6:27 pm

As I suspected Toronto is in position to have a great season. My logic was that by a wide margin our 2nd best team ever on paper, and we won 56 and 59 games in the past without Kawhi. So why not another 55 W+ season?

Lowry and Siakam > any version of Lowry and Derozan. My only fear going into this season was if Lowry fell off a cliff he look at minimum as good as 17-18 version right now. Not only was Siakam already better than any Derozan last year, and this year potentially will by miles and away if he keeps this up (I don't expect him to, I see his 3pt regressing), he also fits Lowry better.

Gasol > JV, Ibaka > early Raptors Ibaka, FVV > any secondary ballhandler they had before.

OG, Powell, Davies/McCaw could end up a solid 3 and D wing unit. The OG/13 or 14 Kawhi comps are starting to be legit, honestly

Nurse >>> Casey

It pains me Green is not on the team cause it might have cost Toronto another finals appearance and likely the epic storyline of facing either Kawhi or Lebron
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#275 » by reignfire » Sat Nov 2, 2019 6:38 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:As I suspected Toronto is in position to have a great season. My logic was that by a wide margin our 2nd best team ever on paper, and we won 56 and 59 games in the past without Kawhi. So why not another 55 W+ season?

Lowry and Siakam > any version of Lowry and Derozan. My only fear going into this season was if Lowry fell off a cliff he look at minimum as good as 17-18 version right now. Not only was Siakam already better than any Derozan last year, and this year potentially will by miles and away if he keeps this up (I don't expect him to, I see his 3pt regressing), he also fits Lowry better.

Gasol > JV, Ibaka > early Raptors Ibaka, FVV > any secondary ballhandler they had before.

OG, Powell, Davies/McCaw could end up a solid 3 and D wing unit. The OG/13 or 14 Kawhi comps are starting to be legit, honestly

Nurse >>> Casey

It pains me Green is not on the team cause it might have cost Toronto another finals appearance


They are having a good season so far but I suspect Lowry will run out of gas by All Star break.

But asking for a finals appearance is ridiculous, even with Green.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#276 » by Dr Positivity » Sat Nov 2, 2019 6:54 pm

liamliam1234 wrote:I also do not think 2011 Derrick Rose would be worth a maximum contract in today’s league.


Huh?

Prime Rose was pretty legit. His efficiency would be better these days, the Bulls are already outdated spacing wise and he still did good enough for that volume (.555 TS%/113 ORTG).
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#277 » by Krodis » Sat Nov 2, 2019 7:37 pm

Mos_Heat wrote:Rox D is not very good
It's not as bad as the numbers they've given up so far. Teams have shot unsustainably well against them.

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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#278 » by ShotCreator » Sat Nov 2, 2019 9:12 pm

Krodis wrote:
Mos_Heat wrote:Rox D is not very good
It's not as bad as the numbers they've given up so far. Teams have shot unsustainably well against them.

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Luck is a marginal thing in the NBA even in one game. Let alone 5, with essentially the same results across different competition. It wouldn’t take me researching to know Houston is not limiting opposing teams best shooters’ volume and shot quality from preferred shot location. Clear sign of a team bad at applying scouting information to limit what a team wants to do nightly.

They lost Paul/Bzdellik, them being clueless and inept defensively is not surprising early on.

I expect them to be better but this is absolutely not luck at all. Practically nothing is on a game to game basis except maybe officiating.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#279 » by ShotCreator » Sat Nov 2, 2019 9:15 pm

Derrick Rose is doing 30/9 per 36 on +7 relTS%. That’s pretty incredible. He’s getting 26 MPG.

Considering his fragility he might be the new Manu going forward in his career, with worse defense.
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Re: 2019-20 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#280 » by GSP » Sat Nov 2, 2019 11:44 pm

Jokic is so unprofessional. He just showed up this season fat as **** and didnt care. Hes been gassed every game

Read on Twitter
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He made **** Okafor look like an all nba player last game too :noway: :noway:

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