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Political Roundtable Part XXVII

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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#341 » by gtn130 » Fri Nov 8, 2019 2:01 pm

dobrojim wrote:It's sad how the GOP complains about the race/mysogyny card
being played against them.


These complaints are almost never made in good faith. Leaning into the race/culture war stuff is a tactical decision made to fire up the base. Go watch Tucker Carlson's nightly white power hour and see how much they 'hate' being called racist - the entire program is centered around drumming up a cultural divide between boomers and everyone else.

Or, look at who is President and the campaign he ran on. The entire game is to be as racist as possible while maintaining plausible deniability so that when liberals call them racist they can drive that wedge.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#342 » by daoneandonly » Fri Nov 8, 2019 3:45 pm

Deuteronomy 30:19 wrote:I call heaven and earth to witness against you today, that I have set before you life and death, blessing and curse. Therefore choose life, that you and your offspring may live
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#343 » by dobrojim » Fri Nov 8, 2019 3:46 pm

Straw men are so easy to knock down.

Questions like why do the racial and gender gaps exist are ignored or
rationalized in seriously irrational ways.

This was already posted about but I'm willing to belabor the point.
Sure DJT was the most ethical of the four.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-ordered-to-pay-2-million-to-charities-over-misuse-of-foundation-court-documents-say/2019/11/07/b8f804e2-018e-11ea-9518-1e76abc088b6_story.html

James had asked Scarpulla to make Trump pay $2.8 million plus more in punitive damages, but Scarpulla said she was reducing that payment to $2 million.

The reason: The president had agreed to submit to extra monitoring of any future charitable activities in New York, so that “the conduct which engendered this petition should not occur in the future,” the judge said.

If Trump does ever join a charity board — or starts a new charity of his own — the charity must fill a majority of board seats with people who have no relationship to Trump. It also must hire a qualified attorney, submit to audits and agree never to pay Trump or his company for any services.

Philip Hackney, a former IRS lawyer who now teaches charity law at the University of Pittsburgh, said that was a striking limitation for a state to place on a sitting president of the United States.


But he got it the old fashioned way, he earned it.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#344 » by daoneandonly » Fri Nov 8, 2019 3:54 pm

gtn130 wrote:
dobrojim wrote:It's sad how the GOP complains about the race/mysogyny card
being played against them.


These complaints are almost never made in good faith. Leaning into the race/culture war stuff is a tactical decision made to fire up the base. Go watch Tucker Carlson's nightly white power hour and see how much they 'hate' being called racist - the entire program is centered around drumming up a cultural divide between boomers and everyone else.

Or, look at who is President and the campaign he ran on. The entire game is to be as racist as possible while maintaining plausible deniability so that when liberals call them racist they can drive that wedge.


Respectfully agree to disagree, there are some bad apples, everyone has them. But most are conservative for any if not all of the following reasons

Social Issues
Unfair progressive tax brackets
Uphold strict laws against criminals
laissez-faire economics
personal responsibility
more power to the states

These are all issues that conservatives have a right to voice and feel a certain way about. Nothing to do with race, gender, etc
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#345 » by dobrojim » Fri Nov 8, 2019 4:01 pm

Question to our resident economist(s) -

Re a flat tax, how high do you believe, say as a percentage of median household income,
would the personal exemption on taxable income have to be in order for it to be "fair"?

In this hypothetical example - there are no other deductions permitted.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#346 » by pancakes3 » Fri Nov 8, 2019 4:54 pm

dobrojim wrote:Question to our resident economist(s) -

Re a flat tax, how high do you believe, say as a percentage of median household income,
would the personal exemption on taxable income have to be in order for it to be "fair"?

In this hypothetical example - there are no other deductions permitted.


<- not an economist but I would first try and define "fair" and go from there. i think the premise behind "fair" would be to avoid taxing the money that would go towards essentials, and tax only the income that's discretionary.

so, however much is spent on food, not taxable. housing, not taxable. health care, not taxable. transportation, clothing, internet access, are all i would argue essential. child care, essential. but even within this, there's wiggle room as to where to set the exemption. add in regional differences in how much the baseline essential costs and you'll have windfalls for the lower cost areas.

seems like a difficult, if not impossible number to arrive at.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#347 » by pancakes3 » Fri Nov 8, 2019 4:54 pm

Read on Twitter
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#348 » by dobrojim » Fri Nov 8, 2019 5:26 pm

pancakes3 wrote:
dobrojim wrote:Question to our resident economist(s) -

Re a flat tax, how high do you believe, say as a percentage of median household income,
would the personal exemption on taxable income have to be in order for it to be "fair"?

In this hypothetical example - there are no other deductions permitted.


<- not an economist but I would first try and define "fair" and go from there. i think the premise behind "fair" would be to avoid taxing the money that would go towards essentials, and tax only the income that's discretionary.

so, however much is spent on food, not taxable. housing, not taxable. health care, not taxable. transportation, clothing, internet access, are all i would argue essential. child care, essential. but even within this, there's wiggle room as to where to set the exemption. add in regional differences in how much the baseline essential costs and you'll have windfalls for the lower cost areas.

seems like a difficult, if not impossible number to arrive at.


Would need to be regionally established for one thing if you want to base it in whole
or part on cost of living/essentials.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#349 » by dckingsfan » Fri Nov 8, 2019 5:42 pm

pancakes3 wrote:
dobrojim wrote:Question to our resident economist(s) -

Re a flat tax, how high do you believe, say as a percentage of median household income,
would the personal exemption on taxable income have to be in order for it to be "fair"?

In this hypothetical example - there are no other deductions permitted.


<- not an economist but I would first try and define "fair" and go from there. i think the premise behind "fair" would be to avoid taxing the money that would go towards essentials, and tax only the income that's discretionary.

so, however much is spent on food, not taxable. housing, not taxable. health care, not taxable. transportation, clothing, internet access, are all i would argue essential. child care, essential. but even within this, there's wiggle room as to where to set the exemption. add in regional differences in how much the baseline essential costs and you'll have windfalls for the lower cost areas.

seems like a difficult, if not impossible number to arrive at.

Although a bit outdated - we have this to a certain degree (see the figure below). The problems come in the higher you go in the tax brackets as you move from earned income to investment income. Tax those at the same levels and it would be fairer, no? And as you go up in the tax brackets you can shelter more of your income (so it wouldn't show on an income chart). So, a threshold where you remove all deductions would make sense also. Probably at the 5th quintile. Lastly, no cap on payroll taxes.

The problem has come with several of the tax stimuli (that have not been effective) in that a small drop in receipts adversely affected our balance sheet in a big way. Taxes don't have to be increased by a large amount to "balance the budget". We were on our way until this latest stupid tax bill (and equally irresponsible spending bill).

I hate to say this
- but I am with Zonk on a wealth tax. But it should be a limited one time thing - and it should go toward deficit reduction. I am certainly not with Warren or Sanders on a permanent wealth tax - the unintended consequences are legion.

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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#350 » by Ruzious » Fri Nov 8, 2019 6:00 pm

Another day, another reason (or reasons) Trump should be impeached.

"The whistleblower is a disgrace to our country," Trump told reporters outside the White House, before leaving for a political event in Georgia. He went on to declare the whistleblower's lawyer "should be sued, and maybe for treason."

Pence, when he was a member of Congress, went on record as to the whistleblower system being vital to the security of America. Trump is trying to destroy the system, and he's trying to intimidate the witness AND any other witnesses that can corroborate his testimony. Not only that, his angry emotional and absurd words may be putting the whistleblower's life in danger. And given that the whistleblower may be a CIA agent, Trump may be rendering him useless in what may be a position of importance to our national security.

Hopefully this guy is eventually able to sue the hell out of Trump, because he's not a public figure. At least that way a precedent will be set that will help protect the whistleblower system in the future.

And what makes this even more sickening is this is yet another f'n diversion. There's no need for anyone to rely on the whistleblower's testimony. Several people have already confirmed it. Trump himself has admitted a large part of it - while calling it perfectly fine. His behavior in this whole episode is literally unbelievable. His lack of integrity is boundless. But what's really the most pathetic is that there are still so many people enabling him and even supporting him.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#351 » by I_Like_Dirt » Fri Nov 8, 2019 6:11 pm

dckingsfan wrote:I am with Zonk on a wealth tax. But it should be a limited one time thing - and it should go toward deficit reduction. I am certainly not with Warren or Sanders on a permanent wealth tax - the unintended consequences are legion.


I can see unintended consequences either way, to be honest. Make it a one-time thing and drop the deficit and suddenly you see a bunch of spending and we're right back where we started trying to find political will to make changes. Make it a permanent thing and the money will basically be immediately spent regardless.

I think tax law is incredibly important and needs to be revamped with or without a wealth tax. I don't think the tax code is the core problem at hand though. In my view, the biggest issue at hand is consumption. The developed world, beyond simply the United States (particularly places like Canada and Australia) has a major consumption problem. That excess consumption is driving a whole host of issues, including economic disparity and our environmental issues. Figuring out how to resolve that consumption problem is absolutely critical and not getting nearly enough recognition at present. It's at the heart of health care, where talk of limiting consumption for the wealthiest is basically a non-starter politically. It's at the heart of travel where nobody is seriously willing to consider alternatives to individual cars, airplanes and the cruise ship industry is more popular than ever. We have an obesity epidemic and a rather dramatic amount of people who simply can't control what they eat responsibly. An endless spiral of consuming is a phenomenal way to generate "wealth" but it's an extremely dangerous game that we've long lost control of, if we ever had control in the first place.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#352 » by pancakes3 » Fri Nov 8, 2019 7:24 pm

i think promoting consumption actually counteracts wealth disparity in this context. forcing the mega-rich to spend via wealth tax at least gets the balling rolling on trickle-down, as dubious as the effects of trickle-down may be. otherwise, the money's just parked in some hedge fund, or investment property.

i agree that consumption by the middle class (individual cars, unsustainable food practices, etc.) is not good for society but those won't be the ones targeted or impacted by a wealth tax.

like, anyone with more than $10 million in assets already has more money than can be spent. that person qualifies in terms of income as 1%'er off interest/dividends alone. and that's "just" $10 million. and there are 1.3 million households that count as decamillionaires. and they hold 40% of the wealth of this country. making money just becomes EASY at that point. for example, there are more households in the top tax bracket (600k income +) than in the second highest (400-600k) because if you're in a job that's paying you half a mill a year, the opportunities for that money to make money trip over themselves to get to you and you won't be in that penultimate bracket for long. my buddies and i call this "escape velocity" money; #goals.

and yeah, it's legitimately difficult for me to wrap my head around just how much money we're talking about here. and i think there are a lot of people out there (my dad included) who feel really well off sitting at a 150k-400k household and thinking all this "eat the rich" talk is targeting them. lol, no. relax dad. relax SD20. not even close.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#353 » by I_Like_Dirt » Fri Nov 8, 2019 8:06 pm

pancakes3 wrote:i think promoting consumption actually counteracts wealth disparity in this context. forcing the mega-rich to spend via wealth tax at least gets the balling rolling on trickle-down, as dubious as the effects of trickle-down may be. otherwise, the money's just parked in some hedge fund, or investment property.


I disagree. I think consumption is what allows for a collective buildup of whatever it is that we are going to produce but also increases the disparity over time due to power dynamics and changing technology. It just comes with the added perk of potentially improving the lives of everyone involved, just some more than others - though a lot of the inherent costs can also be hidden.

I do agree, though, that stimulating the economy is easier to do when the non-wealthy have money as they're more likely to spend it. They're just more likely to spend it in ways that disproportionately put it right back into the hands of the wealthy which is why we find ourselves in the predicament we're in at present. It's basically physically impossible for what few super wealthy people there are to actually consume enough to give that money back. And it's interesting to see that the billionaires who have made a collective pact to spend all their money before they die are also fighting against having to give any significant amount of it back before they do unless it's in ways that directly benefit themselves somehow.

It's why anti-trust is so important but also so tough to get right. If done strategically, a monopoly is always going to be more efficient than a non-monopoly. It won't be as open to change, but it will be extremely efficient. The benefits of that efficiency aren't going to be felt by everyone, though. And if we want those benefits, well, that's the tricky part. And if we decide those benefits are out of reach and we need competition (a reasonable conclusion) then figuring out how to structure that competition to avoid offloading of costs and gaming the system.

It gets immensely complicated. It gets much less complicated if people consume less. Doesn't mean the system can't still be set up poorly and problematically though it doesn't necessarily mean our standard of living needs to decrease, either. It just so happens that our current rate of consumption simply isn't sustainable and the world really doesn't care if we offload our pollution along with any manufacturing jobs to other countries (e.g. China) thereby increasing the general shipping consumption if decreasing the costs.

Edit:

Just to add another angle to the consumption side of things, we're only talking about a relatively select group of countries here, too. Most of these countries hide their continuing increase on consumption in very particular ways. One is in lowered birth rates. Our consumption is such that we are significantly less likely to choose to limit our consumption while supporting the consumption of someone else (i.e. our children). This comes with several significant costs, not the least of which is declining populations which means that we can't actually continue our production later on despite all the ethereal wealth that has been accumulated. We can temporarily solve that issue through immigration but even that is a short-term fix in the grand scheme of things, just continuing on with the Ponzi scheme until eventually someone has to pay the price for it. Of course, the hope is that someone else (preferably that we don't know) will pay the price for it somewhere down the line. And beyond that, people tend not to like immigration in general because they get the idea that others are coming to consume things where they live which will in turn have an adverse effect on their own ability to consume.

I don't have answers for any of this but it tends to be impossible to actually have an honest discussion about everything because everyone comes in with their own biases and isn't willing to even try setting them aside. You get the automotive industry pointing fingers at the agricultural industry pointing fingers at the energy industry pointing fingers at the manufacturing industry or however the never-ending cycle winds up working at any given point. There are potential fixes all over but nobody is willing to have them all happen at once because it would be too dramatic of a change and nobody is willing to go first because it would put them at a perceived disadvantage.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#354 » by dckingsfan » Fri Nov 8, 2019 11:14 pm

And yet receipts and outlays still need to be considered outside of consumption. It is just that the numbers on both sides of the equation go down.

But if you want to reduce consumption - add a VAT tax - but remember - that becomes regressive very quickly.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#355 » by Wizardspride » Sat Nov 9, 2019 4:59 pm

Read on Twitter
?s=19

President Donald Trump referred to African countries, Haiti and El Salvador as "shithole" nations during a meeting Thursday and asked why the U.S. can't have more immigrants from Norway.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#356 » by dckingsfan » Sat Nov 9, 2019 5:52 pm

Yep - very interesting indeed. The state is pissed off that the cities are turning red and they are doing anything in their power to stop it... BTW, what is also interesting is that in Harris County, population ~ 4.5M, we only had 300K turn out to vote. If folks ever come out to vote in the cities - this state turns blue overnight.

Wizardspride wrote:
Read on Twitter
?s=19
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#357 » by montestewart » Sat Nov 9, 2019 6:01 pm

Wizardspride wrote:
Read on Twitter
?s=19

Texas never liked the 14th Amendment
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#358 » by verbal8 » Sun Nov 10, 2019 3:44 am

daoneandonly wrote:As was said about many others here, including Kavanaugh, those who are elected into this public servant/political positions should be held to a higher standard. Hill brought this on herself, and her being out of office was the absolute correct path

How about Jim Jordan?
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#359 » by Sedale Threatt » Sun Nov 10, 2019 3:53 am

gtn130 wrote:
dobrojim wrote:It's sad how the GOP complains about the race/mysogyny card
being played against them.


These complaints are almost never made in good faith. Leaning into the race/culture war stuff is a tactical decision made to fire up the base. Go watch Tucker Carlson's nightly white power hour and see how much they 'hate' being called racist - the entire program is centered around drumming up a cultural divide between boomers and everyone else.

Or, look at who is President and the campaign he ran on. The entire game is to be as racist as possible while maintaining plausible deniability so that when liberals call them racist they can drive that wedge.


One of my favorite stories from the past few months is some gay black dude who threw his hat in the ring with Charlie Kirk, who is himself squabbling with the white nationals. So of course he simply COULDN'T BELIEVE IT when, at a public event, a bunch of attendees started accosting him about his sexuality. "Neo-Nazis infiltrated the event!" he complained. And my only thought was, you really didn't think this through, did you? Those are just the aggressive ones.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XXVII 

Post#360 » by verbal8 » Sun Nov 10, 2019 3:58 am

Ruzious wrote:Actually, we won't know Mr. Paul isn't an alien unless his head splits open when we bash his head with a brick 100 times. Hey, unless we try it, we won't know.

Maybe we should ask his neighbor.

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