Def Swami wrote:There's really nothing to hate about Fournier's game right now. Clearly his best season of his career. The real interesting point of contention is how much you're willing to pay to keep Fournier this off-season or if the Magic should keep him at all. I don't really have a great sense for that at the moment. But, Fournier has definitely been a valuable member of this season's team thus far. We had the same conversation about Vucevic all of last season, and it's going to happen again with Fournier this year. I don't know that Fournier is as valuable as Vucevic in a vacuum, but his skillset is definitely coveted on this team that lacks shooting and scoring to begin with. Tough decision looms, but you have to be happy to see him play well this season in any event.
The Magic will not have cap space
with or without him. That's even if they renounce him and all their free agents (DJ/MCW/Iwundu) and team options (Frazier).
There will be no realistic ways of replacing his production (shooting and secondary ball handler).
In-prime players who are efficient +15ppg guys while also being the secondary playmaker cost waaaaay more than the Mid Level Exception. The Magic would have to get lucky and find a diamond in the rough in a very ugly free agent class, or strike gold in what looks like a pick somewhere in the middle of the draft.
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I'm also not convinced that Fournier will opt out. According to Keith Smith's projected cap space, there are only a handful of teams that can offer Fournier more than what he's getting paid next year.
Unless trades change the market, its really in his best interest to opt in or negotiate an extension. Its also in best interest of the Magic to extend him as they don't have any realistic way to replace his skill set and production.
• Half of those teams are rebuilding. The likelihood that Fournier would sign on to a rebuild is low. That team would have to overpay him to make him look. The likelihood that a rebuilding team would be interested in doing that is also low. Because those teams are rebuilding, its much more likely they will be looking at the draft to fill a wing need -
if it exists.
ATLANTA ($78.0m) Wings: Kevin Heurter (rookie scale), Cam Reddish (rookie scale), Deandre Hunter (rookie scale), D Bembry (RFA/QO)
MEMPHIS ($52.7m)Wings: Grayson Allen (rookie scale), Dillon Brooks (rookie scale), Marco Guduric (rookie scale), Kyle Anderson (3y/$9m per)
CLEVELAND ($35.0m)Wings: Colin Sexton (rookie scale), Cedi Osman (4y/$8m per), Kevin Porter (rookie scale), Alphonse McKinney (rookie scale team option), Jordan Clarkson (UFA)
• Two other teams are somewhere in-between a rebuild and wanting to compete for playoffs.
NEW YORK ($47.2m)Wings: RJ Barret (rookie scale), Kevin Knox (rookie scale), Alonzo Trier (RFA/QO), Damian Dotson (RFA/QO), Marcus Morris (UFA)
CHARLOTTE ($24m)Wings: Nic Batum ($27m player option), Dwayne Bacon (RFA/QO), Malik Monk (rookie scale), Miles Bridges (rookie scale), PJ Washington (rookie scale), Cody Martin (rookie scale), Caleb Martin (rookie scale team option), Michael Kidd-Gilcrest (UFA)
• The remaining two teams with cap space would only be able to pay Fournier similar to what he would get if he picked up his option. The Magic can pay him more if they extend him.
PHOENIX ($16.4m)Wings: Devin Booker (4y/max contract), Kelly Oubre (1y/$14.3m), Mikal Bridges (rookie scale), Cameron Johnson (rookie scale)
PORTLAND ($17.5m)Wings: CJ McCollum (4y/max contract), Anfernee Simmons (rookie scale), Rodney Hood ($6m player option - IL), Kent Bazemore (UFA), Nassir Little (rookie scale)