KingDavid wrote:carnageta wrote:The Heat have played 32 games and are 24-8 on the season. How does that compare to previous years..? Let's take a peak!
2005-06: 19-13, final record: 52-30 (C)
2009-10: 17-15, final record: 47-35 (First-Round Exit)
2010-11: 23-9, final record: 58-24 (Lost In Finals)
2011-12: 25-7, final record: 46-20 (Lockout Season) (C)
2012-13: 23-9, final record: 66-16 (C)
2013-14: 24-8, final record: 54-28 (Lost In Finals)
2015-16: 19-13, final record: 48-34 (Lost In ECSF)
Win/lose wise, our performance thus far has been on par with the extraordinary big-3 teams of the early 2010's. To achieve 50 victories for the season, we must go 26-24 rest of the way (highly achievable). Barring any significant injuries to key players, I could see Miami finishing the year with about 55 wins (31-19 rest of the way).
We have the 3rd easiest remaining schedule. I don't see how we accrue about 20 more losses without injury. Maybe I'm naive.
The NBA season can often be a tale of 2 halves. Historically speaking, Spoelstra lead teams have actually performed better post all-star break to end the regular season, so that's another reason of optimism right there..
Is it unlikely we lose 20 games the rest of the way? I would say yes.
However, the season is a marathon and there is still a lot of basketball to be played. It is likely that we as a team will encounter many more cold shooting nights, many inconsistent performances from our young players, and likely a few DNP's from our core leaders for playoff preservation (Butler, Dragic, Bam).
We may not also be as lucky as we have been going forward..
Down 7 to the Nets with under 2 minutes remaining.. down 6 to the hawks with 59 seconds left.. both resulted in victories. Missed free throws against the Sixers (both games) followed by game-winning attempts that were missed (Horford, Tobias).. both resulted in victories. 24-8 could have easily been 20-12, and perhaps the forecast would then be bleaker than what you are predicting..