2020 NBA Draft

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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1421 » by No-Man » Wed Jan 1, 2020 1:00 am

The-Power wrote:
Fischella wrote:Haliburton barely gets to the rim though, 27% is pitiful still for a lead-Guard

The last thing I want to imply is that Haliburton is a flawless scorer or without clear holes in his game. So I agree, it is a concern along with free throw rate, thin frame and the pull-up jumper.

Still, that number itself does not really concern me. For starters, it has gone up from 22% last year. So Haliburton increased his usage while simultaneously increasing the share of shots at the rim. That's a very good time. Moreover, 27% really isn't pitiful at all in comparison. Cole Anthony is at 22%, Anthony Edwards 28%, Mannion at 14% (!), Tre Jones at 30%. D'Angelo Russell was at 22%. Nothing wrong with 27% for a lead Guard at all.

Now, I don't know about the accuracy of these numbers; I don't know the non-transition numbers and I'm aware that is doesn't take into account overall usage, driving ability etc. But if you find find 27% pitiful and a concern then you should be really concerned about Mannion, and not as high on Anthony and Edwards either.

Fischella wrote:I buy 0 into being personable or the FIBA stuff really, that kinda makes judgement murkier to me and brings up playing favourites.

I think FIBA play is a valuable piece of information. You play next to other top prospects and if you are entrusted with a considerable role and you find a way to impact the game with a lower than usual usage, that's definitely a plus.

Regarding personality, I understand the hesitation. Still, I would contend that personality should be a considerable factor in the scouting process because it is relevant. It concerns work ethic, willingness to adapt, to integrate, commitment to team basketball, priority on winning etc. Now, we can only see bits and pieces, so it's tough to judge from afar and shouldn't be our main focus. But if I have prospects in the same tier, I definitely try to look at these kind of things because I firmly believe that they matter.

Doesn't help that I'm still burned from the Josh Jackson fiasco.

Fischella wrote:Regarding the archetype, we have plenty of proof to know that it is problematic now, and honestly we did before Lonzo.

Care to elaborate a bit on which players you have in mind?

I know that I'm super skeptical of athletic scoring PGs with a suspect jumper or poor-shooting lead Guards in general (in recent years for instance Mudiay, Duval, Fox and Smith that I was much lower on than many) but I wouldn't put Haliburton in that group. So what players are you looking at when you say that we have plenty of proof that his archetype is problematic before Lonzo? Genuinely curious.

I am concerned about Mannion and Anthony but they are pull-up GODs, Hali ain't, and yeah Ant is not a driver but he is deriving value elsewhere, awesome shot-making flashes

27% is bad, and yeah, guys improve, that's good and bad, he is more advanced, settled and physically developed than freshman, only natural that he is putting up better numbers year to year.

You are reading too much into a few quotes, that ain't personality, I could be bullshitting you with those rather easy, as far as FIBA, youth Tnmts generally involve worse talent than NCAA comp, they are another data point but far from important imho.

Which player I got in mind? well, Rubio, Delon Wright, Satoransky, Lonzo, Shaun Liv, obv late career J-Kidd, they can be useful no doubt, but they tend to be overrated re-draft and their impact is more as rotation players than studs

Mudiay, Duval and Smith had all terrible IQ, plus suspect shooting obv, Fox was better there and was a transition demon with solid shooting skills if you knew were to look (upon improving core strength, I was low on Fox but he was a fine PG), I am not denying Hali's value, but def beware on overrating that archetype, it is fine BUT, does not derive top5 value, basically ever

Alocén belongs in that same archetype, he may go early to mid 2nd and he is not much worse than Hali
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1422 » by No-Man » Wed Jan 1, 2020 1:01 am

The-Power wrote:Daniel Oturu just had a 20/20 game. I like him but can't quite decide how to rank him. Thoughts? Where do you rank him among other bigs in this class?

He is pretty bad, slow reactor, not physical, he really puts stats up but meh, I am not a fan whatsoever
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1423 » by The-Power » Wed Jan 1, 2020 1:23 am

Fischella wrote:You are reading too much into a few quotes, that ain't personality, I could be bullshitting you with those rather easy, as far as FIBA, youth Tnmts generally involve worse talent than NCAA comp, they are another data point but far from important imho.

What am I reading into it? I mean, yeah, I don't think he lied that he already re-worked his initially much more broken shot or that his trainer tells this story when Haliburton was always looking to leave. I don't expect him to say that he knows that he has to adapt when in reality he refuses to even try it out. Why would I suspect bullsh*t in these cases? And I really didn't infer much more from that, I never pretended to know this guy based on these interviews. Just that there seems to be some encouraging stuff that matters to me.

Re: FIBA competition. Yes, the talent level is worse. But what does that have to do with my argument? My point was that he stood out from a definitely talented US team and that his coaches entrusted him with a vital role within the team that he dealt with successfully. This is a positive to me. None of that has anything to do with how good the opponents are, really. And none of that ultimately decides where I rank him – it's just another piece of information I take into account especially considering that we only have limited pieces of information on most prospects to begin with.

Fischella wrote:Which player I got in mind? well, Rubio, Delon Wright, Satoransky, Lonzo, Shaun Liv, obv late career J-Kidd, they can be useful no doubt, but they tend to be overrated re-draft and their impact is more as rotation players than studs

Fair enough. I just don't think players like Wright or Livingston had his playmaking acumen; not sure about a young Satoransky. To me, his playmaking – and especially his quick decision-making along with creativity – is his biggest strength. So I would consider only high-level playmakers as being part of his archetype.

I agree that he doesn't seem to have an elite ceiling, though. We might still disagree on his upside and how valuable it is to draft this kind of player (a clear positive on offense, capable on defense, versatile and easy to integrate) with high picks. Note that my personal big boards are based on what I expect them to be in the NBA relative to their draft peers; it does not necessarily mean that I wouldn't take greater risks and shoot for the fences for a higher risk/higher reward type of player if I was actually asked to make draft decisions.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1424 » by clyde21 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 6:19 am

i agree Hali's ceiling isn't what you want out of a top5ish pick, but sometimes you just want the guy that you know can you give something in some capacity, everything on top becomes icing on the cake, it honestly just comes down the other options you have that high.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1425 » by Mulhollanddrive » Wed Jan 1, 2020 11:25 am

Just getting into this draft class.

I think there's a bit of fools gold at the elite end (Edwards, Wiseman, Ball, Anthony).

They seem to have more flaws to me than the next tier of more rounded skill based players.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1426 » by No-Man » Wed Jan 1, 2020 2:36 pm

If I had to pick only one team as the best plausible/logical match for top7 consensus-ish prospects it'd go like this

Anthony Edwards, Atlanta
LaMelo Ball, Cleveland
Cole Anthony, Washington
Nico Mannion, NY
Deni Avdija, Golden St.

James Wiseman, Charlotte
Tyrese Haliburton, Memphis

I do not have Wiseman and Haliburton there, a tad below, but still

Tyrese Maxey, Onyeka Okongwu would be mine, and I'd pick Memphis or Minnesota for Maxey and Charlotte, like with Wiseman, for Okongwu
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1427 » by clyde21 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 6:53 pm

i hate all these guys for the Warriors, I'd much rather trade down and take Lewis/Green or even RJ.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1428 » by Chi town » Wed Jan 1, 2020 7:48 pm

What is the take on these INT players?

Hayes?

Avdija?
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1429 » by clyde21 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 8:25 pm

T1
RJ HAMPTON
SCOTTIE LEWIS
ANTHONY EDWARDS
JOSH GREEN

T2
NICO MANNION
JAMES WISEMAN
TYRESE HALIBURTON
OCHAI AGBAJI
TRE JONES
JADEN MCDANIELS
LAMELO BALL
COLE ANTHONY

T3
PAUL REED
TYLER BEY
OBI TOPPIN
ONYEKA OKONGWU
DANIEL OTURU
DENI AVDIJA
LEANDRO BOLMARO
JARED BUTLER
THEO MALEDON
KILLIAN HAYES
TYRESE MAXEY
ISAIAH JOE

adjusted for players I think are returning too.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1430 » by Duke4life831 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 8:28 pm

clyde21 wrote:i hate all these guys for the Warriors, I'd much rather trade down and take Lewis/Green or even RJ.


Agreed 100%. There are really only 3 outcomes Id be excited about for the Warriors from this draft. Trade down for Lewis or Green, or pair that pick with DLO to trade for a current star player.

Im not in love with really anyone in this draft for a Warriors fit, except for the two raw athletic wings (Lewis/Green).
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1431 » by clyde21 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 8:43 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:
clyde21 wrote:i hate all these guys for the Warriors, I'd much rather trade down and take Lewis/Green or even RJ.


Agreed 100%. There are really only 3 outcomes Id be excited about for the Warriors from this draft. Trade down for Lewis or Green, or pair that pick with DLO to trade for a current star player.

Im not in love with really anyone in this draft for a Warriors fit, except for the two raw athletic wings (Lewis/Green).


yea, I'll take the extra asset too, maybe a 21 first on top of it, easy choice IMO but I don't trust Myers at all at this point.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1432 » by CP War Hawks » Wed Jan 1, 2020 9:30 pm

Fischella wrote:If I had to pick only one team as the best plausible/logical match for top7 consensus-ish prospects it'd go like this

Anthony Edwards, Atlanta
LaMelo Ball, Cleveland
Cole Anthony, Washington
Nico Mannion, NY
Deni Avdija, Golden St.

James Wiseman, Charlotte
Tyrese Haliburton, Memphis

I do not have Wiseman and Haliburton there, a tad below, but still

Tyrese Maxey, Onyeka Okongwu would be mine, and I'd pick Memphis or Minnesota for Maxey and Charlotte, like with Wiseman, for Okongwu


I love AE next to Trae. A plus defender with strong penetrating and finishing ability is what I want. Some second ball handling chemistry for a ball dominant Trae.

I didn't realize TH was getting top 5 consideration which is crazy to me. Terrible draft for the tankers. I'd expected him to have a projection to where Herro was selected or somewhere around 10-15.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1433 » by No-Man » Wed Jan 1, 2020 9:53 pm

Edwards is not a strong penetrator man, nor a plus defender at the moment, has tools to be good on D though
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1434 » by clyde21 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 10:13 pm

LaMelo is a porous fit in Atlanta, not sure why that's even being discussed, if they go PG it really should be Hali, that's the only guy that makes sense for them...even Edwards doesn't make a lot of sense IMO

Atlanta should really trade down and get some guys that can play right away, maybe trade down to late lotto and grab a Reed or Bey, or maybe even Tre to run the back up unit when Trae sits

but they don't need anymore top 5 picks or projects, time to start putting coherent teams together.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1435 » by No-Man » Wed Jan 1, 2020 10:29 pm

You do not draft Bey or Reed that high lol

And Atlanta def needs another premium talent
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1436 » by clyde21 » Wed Jan 1, 2020 10:30 pm

not if that 'premium talent' is a bad fit, LaMelo isn't guy you take regardless of fit, he's not that good.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1437 » by MemphisX » Thu Jan 2, 2020 6:03 am

I think Atlanta needs to realize they are 2-3 years away unless they are going to over pay some vets this offseason.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1438 » by MemphisX » Thu Jan 2, 2020 6:31 am

Fischella wrote:If I had to pick only one team as the best plausible/logical match for top7 consensus-ish prospects it'd go like this

Anthony Edwards, Atlanta
LaMelo Ball, Cleveland
Cole Anthony, Washington
Nico Mannion, NY
Deni Avdija, Golden St.

James Wiseman, Charlotte
Tyrese Haliburton, Memphis

I do not have Wiseman and Haliburton there, a tad below, but still

Tyrese Maxey, Onyeka Okongwu would be mine, and I'd pick Memphis or Minnesota for Maxey and Charlotte, like with Wiseman, for Okongwu


In Memphis, there is a big need for a strong physical defensive wing. I think Okoro is the perfect fit in Memphis. I also like Romeo Weems maybe in the 2nd.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1439 » by clyde21 » Thu Jan 2, 2020 6:34 am

strong chance Okoro stays in school IMO but yea, he'd be a good fit in Memphis, but you only keep the pick if it's top 6 I think and that's a bit rich for Okoro.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft 

Post#1440 » by No-Man » Thu Jan 2, 2020 7:27 am

Okoro is not staying, guaranteed 1st rounder

But I'd not pick him that high, he could be a total 0 on offense, and the lowest pick Memphis may have is 6th, I am not taking that risk that high

If you trade down sure

I think Memphis strongest need is another wing player who can actually be a dynamic offensive player, basically a star on the wing

Weems is an obvious stay in school

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