70sFan wrote:post wrote:70sFan wrote:Sometimes eye-test is not enough. I'm huge defender of eye-test but it's very subjective. Besides, Hakeem was still only decent passer at his peak by eye-test and he's tough shot master a la Kobe, but not as efficient as other greats. Kareem was clearly better offensive player than him for example - better scorer and better passer.
Russell would give Rockets more passing, better rebounding and even better defense. I'm not sure if that would be enough to win the finals, but it's still more likely than Hakeem winning 11 rings. I mean it's not like Russell played with superstars - Cousy was washed up by 1960 and Jones/Havlicek in the mid-60s weren't better than someone like 1995 Drexler for example. You also underrate Hakeem's supporting cast - Thorpe was legit all-star level player and they have the best spacing in the league. This team was built around Hakeem's iso scoring. Russell's Celtics were built around Russell's defensive rebounding and transition game. Hakeem wasn't as good in transition as Russell, he was also more foul-prone and Celtics usually didn't have backup center (until Wayne Embry in late 60s). I don't agree that Hakeem would suit Celtics well.
by eye test i'm not sure there's a difference between peak hakeem and russell as a passer
hakeem's peak playoff true shooting percentage was higher than kareem's and his career playoff true shooting percentage is almost identical. kareem and hakeem had an almost identical per 36 minutes points per game in the playoffs. passing kareem might've had a slight advantage but by the eye test skill set scoring wise hakeem is unparalleled
based on eye test and some advanced stats i don't think russell was necessarily superior to hakeem on defense
cousy's most valuable asset was passing. in the 60, 61, and 62 playoffs cousy averaged well over his career playoff assists per 36 minutes. overall as a player he was far from washed up in the playoffs in 60
it's arguable havlicek and jones were better in the mid 60's than drexler in 96 playoffs. either way you'd rather have mid 60's havlicek and jones than 96 playoffs drexler and horry when hakeem was going for the 3 peat
otis thorpe was not an all star
eye test says hakeem had the speed, athleticism, and ball handling to do whatever russell could in transition
hakeem fouled .6 more per game in the playoffs than russell in his career. not a trivial difference, but not noteworthy
If you don't think there is a difference between them in terms of passing, then try to rewatch some games.
Hakeem averaged 57.3% TS in 1986-95 period and 56.4% in his peak offensive years (1993-95). Kareem averaged 62.0% TS in his peak offensive years (1977-80) and he averaged 57.0% in 1970-80 period in much less efficient league on average. So no, Hakeem isn't close to Kareem as a scorer. Nor as a passer. I know that many people have Kobe over James because of "eye-test" because Kobe is more flashy. Hakeem is more flashy, but he's not better post player than Kareem. Watch some 1977 or 1980 Kareem games, he was the most unstoppable bigman in NBA history.
What advanced stats do you have for Russell's defense? Win shares?
Cousy was also the worst volume scorer in NBA history in that period. He averaged 15.5 ppg on 33.5% FG and 39.9% TS. He wasn't a scrub, but he wasn't a star anymore and it can be argued that he was negative on offense overall.
Maybe they were better than Drexler, but Russell never had them when they were both better. Hondo started his breakthrough in 1968 when Sam Jones was already past his prime. Before Havlicek was good, but limited offensive player.
Otis Thorpe was an all-star in 1992. He averaged 16/10 on 59% TS and very good defense in Houston. How is that not an all-star production? You praise old Cousy and Heinsohn but Thorpe was likely better than either of them, even relative to their eras.
Eye test also shows that Hakeem didn't run in transition that much and I haven't seen him hitting open guys in transition. Hakeem had abilities to play that way, but he didn't have attitude for that.
Hakeem's fouls rate is 3.5 per36 minutes. Russell was at 2.6 per36, the difference of one foul per 36 is huge. Hakeem with Russell's 45 mpg in playoffs would average almost 4.4 fouls per game, that's a lot.
i've seen russell make nice passes. i've seen hakeem make nice passes. i never saw russell make a pass hakeem couldn't. i was never wowed by any of their passes. they were solid, nice passes finding the open cutter or passing out of a double team to jump shooters. the best pass i saw hakeem make is arguably better than the best pass i saw russell make
hakeem's 3 year playoff peak is not 93-95, it's 86-88 when his true shooting percentage was 62.2% and averaged per 36 minutes 25.2, 27.0, and 33.3 ppg. kareem's 3 year playoff peak is 76-79 when his true shooting percentage was 60.2 and averaged per 36 minutes 29.4, 21.8, and 22.4 ppg. so hakeem scored more and at a higher efficiency and the league average field goal percentage was only .9 percentage points higher in that 3 year stretch
no, hakeem beats every center i've ever seen in the offensive eye test. he had more skill that could counter whatever defenses threw at him
not win shares, points per game defense impact advanced stat
in the 62 and 63 playoffs cousy shot 1.3 percentage points higher from the field than his career playoff average. to knock him for that is flat out wrong and your numbers are wrong
i'll give you one example that russell had havlicek and jones when they were both better than drexler. i could give you others. in the 65-66 season, or the 66 playoffs in other words, jones averaged 24.8 ppg and havlicek averaged 23.6 ppg. in the 95 playoffs hakeem won a chip with drexler averaging 20.5 ppg
otis thorpe did not make the all star team the year hakeem won a chip with zero hofers. his ppg dropped from 17 when he made the all star team in 92 to 14 in the year hakeem won a chip with zero hofers. his playoff ppg dropped further from 14 to 11.3 in the playoffs in the zero hofer year. that's why otis thorpe is not an all star. so not only did hakeem not have a hofer when he beat the knicks for a chip, he didn't even have an all star
game 3 of the 95 nba finals. hakeem passes to horry in transition for a layup. hakeem scores 4 points in transition. that's just the game i most recently rewatched and it proves you wrong. he was mostly an iso scorer, but then again russell was mostly not that much of a scorer period
let's assume hakeem fouls more. he is also going to score more because he is more skilled. 1 more foul is not going to cause boston to lose when hakeem is going to score more than russell