blazers next 12 games

Dzon Dilindzer · Post #1 » by **Dzon Dilindzer** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 3:25 pm

its a super tough schedule, 9 of these 12 games are against playoff teams, spurs are playing much better lately and as of now, they are our main rival for that last spot in the playoffs (unless okc regresses), pelicans just got zion back and will be very good, memphis is also looking nice with their young guys like ja morant, jjj, dillon brooks, clarke etc

i think it could make or break our season and all-star break is after the memphis game and thats when nurk will be back

Wizenheimer · Post #2 » by **Wizenheimer** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 5:36 pm

the next 11 games is probably the most brutal stretch of game this season. 9 games against playoff teams, and since Nov 27, Portland is 1-10 against playoff teams (I'm not counting the game against Toronto), and that one win was against Houston who had/has been playing like crap and was on the 2nd night of a back-to-back

Blazers could go 2-9 over the next 11. Maybe 3-8. If they are 21-35 by the break, they'd have to go 20-6 over the rest of the season to just hit 41 wins and a .500 record. If they go 4-7 over the next 11, they'd still have to go 18-8 to hit .500

now, those last 26 games of the year is a really easy schedule. 11 on the road and 15 at home. Only 9 of the 26 games are against playoff teams. Nurkic should be back after the break so Portland won't have to go with Melo or Hezonja at C. Portland is set up to make a good run after the break. But they are likely to be in a pretty deep hole

Epicurus · Post #3 » by **Epicurus** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 6:28 pm

The Blazers will lose all those games. The Moda Center will be destroyed by a large meteor. Portland will be overrun by Polar bears and penguins. The Pacific Ocean bordering Oregon will dissolve into sand dunes. I mean if doomsday predictions are an indicator of sophistication, then why not go all out.

BlazersBroncos · Post #4 » by **BlazersBroncos** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 6:43 pm

The Blazers will lose all those games. The Moda Center will be destroyed by a large meteor. Portland will be overrun by Polar bears and penguins. The Pacific Ocean bordering Oregon will dissolve into sand dunes. I mean if doomsday predictions are an indicator of sophistication, then why not go all out.

Its not a doomsday prediction to say this team pretty much sucks and will likely be cemented out of the playoffs after these next dozen games. Its a reasonable one.

Also your doomsday machinations sound trippy as hell. Sign me up.

d-train · Post #5 » by **d-train** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 7:35 pm

The next 11 games are just the next 11 games. We have 37 games left this season and the playoffs.

Injuries have created our team's difficiencies so far this season. The health status of the team can improve or get worse. We don't know what the future holds.

We have improved the remainder of our team excluding the playmaking, rebounding, inside scoring, and defense provided by Nurkic and Collins. When Nurkic and Collins return, the Blazers might have their best team in 2 decades.

Dzon Dilindzer · Post #6 » by **Dzon Dilindzer** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 7:42 pm

we knew how would this team look, at least starting five: dame-cj mccollum-hood-collins-nurk

with rodney injured, im wondering if blazers would be a better team with carmelo instead of rodney... sure, hes not a small forward, but i wonder if he can deliver there... im guessing this will be our starting five next season, if carmelo stays

but it might be better to use him off the bench with anfernee as our main scoring options

Epicurus · Post #7 » by **Epicurus** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:27 pm

BlazersBroncos wrote:
The Blazers will lose all those games. The Moda Center will be destroyed by a large meteor. Portland will be overrun by Polar bears and penguins. The Pacific Ocean bordering Oregon will dissolve into sand dunes. I mean if doomsday predictions are an indicator of sophistication, then why not go all out.

Its not a doomsday prediction to say this team pretty much sucks and will likely be cemented out of the playoffs after these next dozen games. Its a reasonable one.

Also your doomsday machinations sound trippy as hell. Sign me up.

The difference between NBA teams is marginal. Just about every team stat shows the difference between the median team and top team is not very great and that between the bottom team and the median team is also not very great. Besides which, and shouldn't need to be mentioned this season to any Blazer fan, health in game matters. Ignoring factors is not that reasonable, in my view. Even suckitude is conditioned by comparative health and even who bring what that night. I guess that is why the games are played.

zzaj · Post #8 » by **zzaj** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:51 pm

Epicurus wrote:
BlazersBroncos wrote:
The Blazers will lose all those games. The Moda Center will be destroyed by a large meteor. Portland will be overrun by Polar bears and penguins. The Pacific Ocean bordering Oregon will dissolve into sand dunes. I mean if doomsday predictions are an indicator of sophistication, then why not go all out.

Its not a doomsday prediction to say this team pretty much sucks and will likely be cemented out of the playoffs after these next dozen games. Its a reasonable one.

Also your doomsday machinations sound trippy as hell. Sign me up.
The difference between NBA teams is marginal. Just about every team stat shows the difference between the median team and top team is not very great and that between the bottom team and the median team is also not very great. Besides which, and shouldn't need to be mentioned this season to any Blazer fan, health in game matters. Ignoring factors is not that reasonable, in my view. Even suckitude is conditioned by comparative health and even who bring what that night. I guess that is why the games are played.

The only team stat that actually counts toward anything in the end is W/L record. And right now the difference in percentage in the West is 21% vs. 79% (10/36 vs. 35/9). That's about as un-marginal a difference as you can get.

Is relative health a factor? Of course. It's the reason why pre-season predictions are just about useless and relative health is one of the main factors in determining the NBA champion.

This next stretch of games is going to codify the season. IMO, either the Blazers find a way to win a few that they shouldn't or they lose big time and kiss any question of the POs goodbye.

I see no reason to believe the team can go say, 2-9 over the next 11 games and then suddenly turn that around and win 20 of the next 24..."easy" schedule, CJ/Nurkic back or no.

Epicurus · Post #9 » by **Epicurus** » Thu Jan 23, 2020 10:02 pm

Yes, a dichotomous variable differs from intervals, ratios, and other non-dichotomous variables. Thanks for pointing that out.

BigtimeNBAfan · Post #10 » by **BigtimeNBAfan** » Mon Jan 27, 2020 9:05 pm

Honestly the Blazers aren't going to make the playoffs this year. They just aren't consistent and their bench is atrocious. Lillard has been unbelievable, Whiteside has done his job and Melo has actually been a little better than expected. McCollum has regressed and the rest of the team just isn't good.

Waynearchetype · Post #11 » by **Waynearchetype** » Tue Jan 28, 2020 2:15 pm

Hard to be consistent when you have so many injured players. I'm hoping after Dame gets named to All Star Game he sits for the season. Throw in the towel, try to get a good pick and build towards next year.
Although I'm expecting Vulcan to chase those sweet sweet playoff ticket dollars instead of invest in the future.

Post #12 » by **DaVoiceMaster** » Tue Jan 28, 2020 3:17 pm

I'm going 8-2 over the next 10 games and the Blazers jump back into the playoff race with their eyes set on catching OKC. Who's with me!!! WooT!

Post #13 » by **DeBlazerRiddem** » Tue Jan 28, 2020 5:35 pm

DaVoiceMaster wrote:I'm going 8-2 over the next 10 games and the Blazers jump back into the playoff race with their eyes set on catching OKC. Who's with me!!! WooT!

A team will Lillard will never not try to make the playoffs. Maybe once we are mathematically eliminated but if there is even a chance to get back in it then Dame is going to try.

Dame isn't going to sit, he is going to push himself harder and harder until literally there is no hope because next year is never guaranteed either.

And that is why we love the guy.

JasonStern · Post #14 » by **JasonStern** » Wed Jan 29, 2020 2:48 am

Waynearchetype wrote:Although I'm expecting Vulcan to chase those sweet sweet playoff ticket dollars instead of invest in the future.

trading long-term assets to avoid luxury tax is a bigger concern IMO.

Post #15 » by **DaVoiceMaster** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 6:35 am

DaVoiceMaster wrote:I'm going 8-2 over the next 10 games and the Blazers jump back into the playoff race with their eyes set on catching OKC. Who's with me!!! WooT!

Blazers are 5-2. If they win the next three games, which are winnable, my prediction will be correct. Of course, had they won at Utah the other night, they could be 6-1 right now. Sigh

Dzon Dilindzer · Post #16 » by **Dzon Dilindzer** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 11:38 am

DaVoiceMaster wrote:
DaVoiceMaster wrote:I'm going 8-2 over the next 10 games and the Blazers jump back into the playoff race with their eyes set on catching OKC. Who's with me!!! WooT!

Blazers are 5-2. If they win the next three games, which are winnable, my prediction will be correct. Of course, had they won at Utah the other night, they could be 6-1 right now. Sigh

blazers are 6-3 over these 12 games so far

i think we will split games with pelicans and that one at grizzlies will be huge, it could go either way

i think blazers end up with 7-5 record and with a loss at grizzlies

Post #17 » by **DaVoiceMaster** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:17 pm

I didn't count the first 2 games as they were already played before I responded so I still have a chance at 8-2.