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Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII

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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1181 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 6, 2020 2:20 pm

Ruzious wrote:
DCZards wrote:
payitforward wrote:You know who we can say with confidence is a better basketball player than Ben Simmons? It's a short list: Giannis, LeBron, Jimmy Butler, & maybe Luka Doncic. That's about it.

Should we trade Brad Beal for Ben Simmons if such a deal is available? Of course!

I'm sure we have different ranking systems :D ...but here's some players I'd probably take over Simmons (other than those you mentioned): AD, Steph, Jokic, Lillard, Harden...and probably Paul George, Kyrie and Siakim.

Simmons is a great two-way player, but it's been clear the last two seasons that his offensive game doesn't translate well to the playoffs...and probably won't until he becomes a better shooter.

No that hasn't been clear at all - especially since he was 22 last season, and he made 62% of his FG's as his team won the 1st round in 5 and then barely lost in 7 to the eventual NBA champions.

Look... I'm sure 99% of fans would take Steph, for example, over Ben Simmons. & of course Steph is a great, great player. But, mostly a reaction like Zards' reaction is about overall careers. Thinking of names of great players moreso than thinking of who does what right now.

Steph will turn 32 in just a few weeks. He's injured & has played 112 minutes this year. He's still tremendous but if you look at the arc of his overall numbers, you can see that he's on the descending part of the usual career curve of a player.

That's not a criticism! E.g. do we know that Ben Simmons will wind up having as great a career as Steph Curry? No, we don't know that -- how could we? But I can't acquire Steph's whole career! Right now, Simmons is better.

Rinse & repeat for Harden & Paul George.

The best argument could be made for Anthony Davis. Last year, for example, he was off the charts great -- a better season than Ben Simmons. Fine. Put him on the list w/ the other 4 guys I mentioned. Doesn't change my point.

The other players on Zards' list aren't at that level. Of course they're all tremendous players all the same. Lillard is something of an oddball in that he's always been really good, & lately he seems to be getting better & better.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1182 » by nate33 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 2:35 pm

Dark Faze wrote:iggy just got 30 over 2 years from miami lol

did he just set the floor for bertans?

Not really. The 2nd year is a team option - one which Miami will surely decline in order to be a player in 2021 free agency. It's just a headline to make Iggy's agent look good.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1183 » by nate33 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 2:37 pm

SUPERBALLMAN wrote:What do you all think about Myles Turner ? Supposedly Pacers are looking for offers...

Age 23 very good defensively, rim protector, can shoot the 3, and signed to 2023.

So, I came up with this...

https://basketball.realgm.com/tradechecker/saved_trade/7285061

Bryant, Wagner, TBJ, McRae

So the deal works as far as the money... We are giving up alot, but I figure Bryant/Wagner are replaced with Turner, and TBJ is the real asset lost. But when you view his upside as a 6th man type, and consider we have Bonga, I think in a deal like this he is expendable, while having value to get the deal done. McRae is a throw in to help their bench this year and in the playoffs, they are 29th in three-pointers made per game this season.

So I'm thinking this package has enough young talent to get it done, while keeping our 1st round pick.

Would give us a lineup next season...

Turner, Hachimura/Bertans, Bonga, Beal, Wall


https://www.nbcsports.com/washington/wizards/nba-trade-deadline-myles-turner-or-john-collins-would-be-ideal-fits-wizards

Way too much for Turner. I might have considered it a year ago when Turner was emerging as an elite defender and an improving offensive player, but he has regressed big time this year. Also, his lack of rebounding would compound what is already a dire weakness of this ball club.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1184 » by nate33 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 2:37 pm

payitforward wrote:
SUPERBALLMAN wrote:What do you all think about Myles Turner ? Supposedly Pacers are looking for offers...

Age 23 very good defensively, rim protector, can shoot the 3, and signed to 2023.

So, I came up with this...

https://basketball.realgm.com/tradechecker/saved_trade/7285061

Bryant, Wagner, TBJ, McRae

...

Good God!! That's horrible.

Just for starters, I wouldn't trade TBJ straight up for Myles Turner. Honestly, I wouldn't trade Bryant straight up for him!

Before you raise your eyebrows, have you actually looked at the numbers Myles Turner puts up? Above all, have you noticed that he's dropped through a hole this season? How much do you want to play a Center who gets 8.33 rebounds per 40 minutes?

I might trade Bryant straight up for him, but for the most part, I agree with this take.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1185 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 6, 2020 3:19 pm

gambitx777 wrote:... for turner... Bryant and Ian and a pick would be fair. ...

No way. Especially not a R1 pick, which I assume is what you mean -- maybe this year's?

I wouldn't give a lottery pick straight up for Myles Turner. I wouldn't give Bryant straight up for him.

Plus, when you factor salary into the equation it really becomes ridiculous -- Turner is making $18m/year through June 2023. He's not worth that, & we can't afford the commitment anyway.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1186 » by DCZards » Thu Feb 6, 2020 3:42 pm

Ruzious wrote:
DCZards wrote:
payitforward wrote:You know who we can say with confidence is a better basketball player than Ben Simmons? It's a short list: Giannis, LeBron, Jimmy Butler, & maybe Luka Doncic. That's about it.

Should we trade Brad Beal for Ben Simmon if such a deal is available? Of course!

I'm sure we have different ranking systems :D ...but here's some players I'd probably take over Simmons (other than those you mentioned): AD, Steph, Jokic, Lillard, Harden...and probably Paul George, Kyrie and Siakim.

Simmons is a great two-way player, but it's been clear the last two seasons that his offensive game doesn't translate well to the playoffs...and probably won't until he becomes a better shooter.

No that hasn't been clear at all - especially since he was 22 last season, and he made 62% of his FG's as his team won the 1st round in 5 and then barely lost in 7 to the eventual NBA champions.


Two words: Jimmy Butler.

During the playoffs teams limit your ability to get downhill on offense or score in the open court, which is what Ben excels at. It's more of a halfcourt game during the playoffs...and team's back off of Ben because they don't have to worry about his perimeter shooting.

So the Sixers put the ball in Butler's hands on offense during last season's playoff--not Ben's--and that's the main reason they succeeded.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1187 » by gambitx777 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 4:44 pm

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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1188 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 6, 2020 4:50 pm

Well... it would be foolish to underestimate Butler's contribution to Philly's success last year. But his being good doesn't preclude Ben's being good.

I think that's kind of the main point.

A lot of folks here do exhibit some desire for Simmons not to be good. Not you exclusively or even you especially, Zards, not by any means. But, you among them I do think. I don't get that, unless it's to avoid someone being on a list of guards better than Brad or John.

Ben Simmons is a very unusual NBA player, no doubt. But, how incredibly good he is just jumps out at you when you watch him -- & when you look at the numbers it's there too.

This is a guy who basically averaged a triple double per 40 minutes last year! 20 points (@ a 58.6 TS%), 10 rebounds, & 9 assists.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1189 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 6, 2020 4:53 pm

gambitx777 wrote:
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Whew!! May it be so. I was afraid they'd give up one of their young players or else a pick.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1190 » by Ruzious » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:03 pm

DCZards wrote:
Ruzious wrote:
DCZards wrote:I'm sure we have different ranking systems :D ...but here's some players I'd probably take over Simmons (other than those you mentioned): AD, Steph, Jokic, Lillard, Harden...and probably Paul George, Kyrie and Siakim.

Simmons is a great two-way player, but it's been clear the last two seasons that his offensive game doesn't translate well to the playoffs...and probably won't until he becomes a better shooter.

No that hasn't been clear at all - especially since he was 22 last season, and he made 62% of his FG's as his team won the 1st round in 5 and then barely lost in 7 to the eventual NBA champions.


Two words: Jimmy Butler.

During the playoffs teams limit your ability to get downhill on offense or score in the open court, which is what Ben excels at. It's more of a halfcourt game during the playoffs...and team's back off of Ben because they don't have to worry about his perimeter shooting.

So the Sixers put the ball in Butler's hands on offense during last season's playoff--not Ben's--and that's the main reason they succeeded.

No, Jimmy Butler is a player who plays with the ball in his hands as much as most PG's, and he was the more experienced player - as well as being one of the most alpha male types in the NBA - so it was hardly a surprise that they went to Butler more. I don't know how many times I have to bring this up, but Giannis sucks as a jump shooter, too, and he's the most effective player in the NBA. And Simmons belongs in the same conversation as Giannis when Giannis was Simmons' age.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1191 » by trast66 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:30 pm

Per Woj Miami has agreed to trade Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters and James Johnson to Memphis for Andre Iguodala, Solomon Hill and Jae Crowder, league sources tell ESPN. No picks in the deal.

Not sure about this for MEM. I would hope they have some plan to not let Waiters near the team even though he has another year on contract. As far as Justise Winslow, very disappointing career so far, but he can certainly help on defense as he switches everywhere.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1192 » by gambitx777 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:39 pm

I'm sure the league as a whole call the bluff on not buying him out so justice Winslow was the youngest best player they got offered for Iggy, still time for them to get a three team done with OKC but word is Sam is asking way too much.
trast66 wrote:Per Woj Miami has agreed to trade Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters and James Johnson to Memphis for Andre Iguodala, Solomon Hill and Jae Crowder, league sources tell ESPN. No picks in the deal.

Not sure about this for MEM. I would hope they have some plan to not let Waiters near the team even though he has another year on contract. As far as Justise Winslow, very disappointing career so far, but he can certainly help on defense as he switches everywhere.


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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1193 » by gambitx777 » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:42 pm

I think once it came out that he wasn't happy.the league could smell buy out in the water so, when that happened I'm sure Tommy said I'll take my chances with a phone call after he gets a buy out.
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Whew!! May it be so. I was afraid they'd give up one of their young players or else a pick.


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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1194 » by doclinkin » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:50 pm

nate33 wrote:Way too much for Turner. I might have considered it a year ago when Turner was emerging as an elite defender and an improving offensive player, but he has regressed big time this year. Also, his lack of rebounding would compound what is already a dire weakness of this ball club.


Turner is an undervalued prospect right now. His numbers took a hit with the Pacers committing hard to Sabonis as a star player for them. If you check 82games.com you see that last year Turner and Sabonis were platooning in the front court. This year they share the duties and Turner's totals and rate for rebounding have taken a hit. Their games lack synergy since both play best in the low post. Last year's numbers are more representative of what he can do as a frontline center. For value you can always look for good players sharing a spot with an All-star. Yeah I wouldn't overpay for him, but if I could work out a decent deal that lands Myles, I'm for it.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1195 » by DCZards » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:56 pm

I hope I’m not coming off as a Ben Simmons hater. Because I’m not. Ben is an immensely talented player—on both ends of the court. I’d take him on my team. But I’m not willing to overlook the fact that he also has a glaring weakness that complicates things—his shooting.

(And, please, let’s stop comparing Ben to Giannis. The Greek Freak has NEVER been as bad--and as hesitant--a perimeter shooter as Ben.)

You have to be willing and capable of building a team around Ben that takes into account that, not only is he a poor shooter, he’s reluctant to shoot.

I’m not the only who believes that playing with Simmons is a challenge. Here’s what Embiid said just yesterday:

“Like I’ve always said before, I don’t like shooting threes,” he said on Oct. 4. “But this year since we’re going to have Ben [Simmons] willing to take those threes, maybe it’s going to put my game more inside. I’m hoping that he will shoot them, so I do my job, what I do inside.”

Simmons has, by and large, not been “willing to take those threes,” making only two. Embiid was asked Wednesday if he’d like Simmons to shoot more from the outside, and whether that could help Embiid’s game.

“It could,” he said. “It's whatever he feels comfortable doing. Obviously that will help, but like I always tell him, whatever he feels comfortable doing, do it. We’re all going to try to keep helping, but he's been doing his thing."
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1196 » by wall_glizzy » Thu Feb 6, 2020 5:57 pm

doclinkin wrote:Turner is an undervalued prospect right now. His numbers took a hit with the Pacers committing hard to Sabonis as a star player for them. If you check 82games.com you see that last year Turner and Sabonis were platooning in the front court. This year they share the duties and Turner's totals and rate for rebounding have taken a hit. Their games lack synergy since both play best in the low post. Last year's numbers are more representative of what he can do as a frontline center. For value you can always look for good players sharing a spot with an All-star. Yeah I wouldn't overpay for him, but if I could work out a decent deal that lands Myles, I'm for it.


Yeah, I still like Turner. His rebounding numbers are a good bit better in the minutes he plays sans Sabonis, and one would assume that he takes at least a small hit on ORB% for spending so much time on the perimeter. In a vacuum, I'd be pretty interested in giving him a try, but unfortunately that contract is a killer.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1197 » by queridiculo » Thu Feb 6, 2020 6:07 pm

payitforward wrote:A lot of folks here do exhibit some desire for Simmons not to be good. Not you exclusively or even you especially, Zards, not by any means. But, you among them I do think. I don't get that, unless it's to avoid someone being on a list of guards better than Brad or John.

Ben Simmons is a very unusual NBA player, no doubt. But, how incredibly good he is just jumps out at you when you watch him -- & when you look at the numbers it's there too.

This is a guy who basically averaged a triple double per 40 minutes last year! 20 points (@ a 58.6 TS%), 10 rebounds, & 9 assists.


Au contraire, there seems to be agreement over Simmons being a good player, it's just that some, with you being the foremost cheerleader, are elevating him to great status as if it is a given that he will ever overcome his most glaring weakness.

Simmons advanced stats look great on the surface (they look even better when you use per 40 stats to inflate his impact :lol:) but do they stand up to scrutiny?

If you watch the 76ers play you will notice that teams have a tendency to play drop coverage on Simmons a lot.

Teams don't mind that they play to his strengths by giving him the space he needs to operate and are willing to surrender the occasional layup, because chances are, more often than not he won't be a factor on offense for a sustained amount of time.

To that point, Simmons averaged 8.5 field goal attempts in the series against the Raptors, because that's what happens in the playoffs, one dimensional players are found out and neutralized with the quickness.

Simmons will be 24 this year, still a few years away from his prime, but there's a really good chance that what we're seeing now is as good as it gets offensively.

There's no way that I bet the farm on Simmons and flush two all-time great Wizards down the toilet just because he looks like the next sexy thing.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1198 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 6, 2020 6:18 pm

I didn't mean to damn Myles Turner -- he's gifted & young. But, he is overpaid -- which makes it virtually impossible to, as doc puts it, "work out a decent deal."

Even if you look at last year's numbers rather than this year's, it's instructive to compare him & Bryant. Per 40 minutes, Bryant got more defensive rebounds, more offensive rebounds, had more assists, turned it over less, & committed fewer fouls. Turner was a bit better on steals, & he blocked more shots than Bryant. Overall, Bryant had a very decided advantage on all this stuff, however.

Then, when you turn to scoring... it's not even close. Bryant scored 1.75 more points per 40 minutes -- but he did it at a much, much higher TS% -- 67.4% vs. 56.7%

There is no doubt that Turner is the superior defender, but it would be difficult to make up the extremely large gap these numbers illustrate.

Not to mention how hard it is to justify paying Turner an extra $10m a year for being less effective.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1199 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 6, 2020 6:49 pm

queridiculo wrote:
payitforward wrote:A lot of folks here do exhibit some desire for Simmons not to be good. Not you exclusively or even you especially, Zards, not by any means. But, you among them I do think. I don't get that, unless it's to avoid someone being on a list of guards better than Brad or John.

Ben Simmons is a very unusual NBA player, no doubt. But, how incredibly good he is just jumps out at you when you watch him -- & when you look at the numbers it's there too.

This is a guy who basically averaged a triple double per 40 minutes last year! 20 points (@ a 58.6 TS%), 10 rebounds, & 9 assists.


Au contraire, there seems to be agreement over Simmons being a good player, it's just that some, with you being the foremost cheerleader, are elevating him to great status as if it is a given that he will ever overcome his most glaring weakness.

Simmons advanced stats look great on the surface (they look even better when you use per 40 stats to inflate his impact. :)

Do they inflate everyone's stats, my friend? Or just Ben Simmons' stats? Or, rather, do you have a substantive critique of the practice, or is :) the best you can do?

Or, are you suggesting that averaging 20+ points, 10+ rebounds, & 9 assists per 40 minutes is some kind of sham? Anybody can do it? For example... well... do you have one?

I didn't think so.

I compare everyone to everyone using per 40 minute stats. OF COURSE I DO. So does every sensible analyst of every level of basketball. It falls under the useful category of comparing apples to apples. I'm sure you know the phrase. I mean the reason for it. If I say the Wizards have 17 wins, I need to know 17 wins in how many games. Otherwise the number has no meaning.

Now, if you compare two guys one of whom doesn't play much, then it's not useful -- the sample size for that low-minute guy is too small for his numbers to tell you anything. But, I wasn't doing that, as you know. I compared Simmons to other players, working with large sample sizes for all the players under consideration. Or are you hah hah hah accusing me of fudging something?

As to "au contraire," si vous preferez, nous pouvons continuer en francais. C'est une langue que vous parlez, n'est ce pas? Mois, j'ai habité la France pendant quelques annees, et c'est pour ca que je peux vous offrir cette choix.

Forgive me my tone, will you. It's just that you called me a "cheerleader." You often post with great good sense.

queridiculo wrote:but do... (his numbers) stand up to scrutiny?

If you watch the 76ers play you will notice that teams have a tendency to play drop coverage on Simmons a lot.

Teams don't mind that they play to his strengths by giving him the space he needs to operate and are willing to surrender the occasional layup, because chances are, more often than not he won't be a factor on offense for a sustained amount of time.

To that point, Simmons averaged 8.5 field goal attempts in the series against the Raptors, because that's what happens in the playoffs, one dimensional players are found out and neutralized with the quickness.

Simmons will be 24 this year, still a few years away from his prime, but there's a really good chance that what we're seeing now is as good as it gets offensively.

There's no way that I bet the farm on Simmons and flush two all-time great Wizards down the toilet just because he looks like the next sexy thing.

The question whether his numbers stand up to scrutiny is inane, obviously. You want to give his rebounds to someone else? His team doesn't get a possession when he gets one those unscrutinized boards?

The fact that opponents will give him an open jumper in order to adopt a defensive position that is more effective against other things he might do (e.g. by putting the ball on the floor) is sensible on their part, obviously, but has no other meaning since in fact Simmons scores anyway & posts a high TS% to boot. It's not wise for you to mention it, however, as it detracts from, rather than supports, your point. We don't differentiate in game scores among different ways of putting the ball in the bucket; we just give the win to the team with more points.

Speaking of "the win," as I write the Sizers are 31-20 -- which projects to 50 wins, more than produced in 11 seasons by the "two all-time great Wizards" you think I want to "flush down the toilet."

Both Brad & John are wonderful players. I'm a fan. But Ben Simmons isn't "the next sexy thing" (who do you think you're talking to, son?). He's just a better player than either of them. Much better. Not to mention that, as you mention, he "will be 24 this year, still a few years away from his prime."
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII 

Post#1200 » by WallToWall » Thu Feb 6, 2020 6:59 pm

Any rumbling? Anything? Will we make a move?

Starting to look like we stay put...
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