Post#299 » by Klomp » Sun Feb 23, 2020 11:12 am
There are a few thoughts I've had lately around how the team will continue building its rotation.
First of all, I think it's important to look at what the team wants from position groups. A lot has been made of the 1-3-1 system this year. However, I think you have to recognize that the 3 wing positions are not created equally. You could not slot Malik Beasley in at "PF", just like you couldn't slot Juancho Hernangomez in at "SG" even though they both can be characterized as one of the three wings in the system. If it makes you feel better to separate the three wings into two SG/SFs and one SF/PF, go ahead but I believe the premise is still the same.
I also believe that the team can get away with 1 of the 3 wings on the floor not being great shooters. I don't think they'd want multiple non-shooters on the court at the same time, but I don't believe shooting is a prerequisite for any player they look to add. If there is one position you could say it's important, I would argue it's at the "PF", though I think again that can depend on who's sharing the court with him at SG/SF (Johnson was having a career year in 3-point shooting at just 35% when the trade happened). I think at PF, the team really values defensive movement skills along with its floor spacing, which is the big reason why I've never felt Spellman, Reid or Dieng have been legitimate options for the team at the position.
I think most of the roster turnover this offseason will come at SG/SF. Beasley is the surest bet to return (unless another major trade happens), but beyond him are a lot of question marks. I think they will keep one of Okogie and Culver, but I believe one of them will be gone. I can't say for certain which one, as that could depend largely on trade value and opportunity. Culver is a bigger contract which may make it more enticing for them to want to move him, but it could also help sway teams to go for the value add in Okogie. I would also add that I believe Nowell will be likely to return. No reason to get rid of a young talent like that on a cheap, team-friendly deal, even if the path to regular playing time doesn't seem as clear. Martin could stick around on a 1+3, but with the roster crunch tightening I could see him moving on as well. I know we got Crabbe partly for his Bird rights, but he's underwhelmed somewhat so I could see the team pass on re-signing him unless it was a minimum deal.
Behind Russell, I believe they will try to bring back McLaughlin on a 1+3 deal. It's possible they bring in someone to compete with him, but I don't really see a big need to when Russell will soak up so many of the minutes there. Similar story with Reid behind Towns.
I think the PF group is an interesting one to watch this summer. First off, I should mention that I view Layman at PF in this system (call the position group SF/PF if you would like). I think Hernangomez has a good chance to be back, and I think the team really likes what Johnson brings to the table plus I think he likes it here. Vanderbilt is a young project who can be groomed to be a future piece of the puzzle as well. So all that tells me there's a chance we don't see much turnover in this group. With Johnson's longterm status up in the air, I wouldn't rule out bringing in a young guy to develop but I could see this group keeping the status quo here going into next season.
I've mentioned this before, but I like how Rosas seems to target young guys entering restricted free agency from good teams. These are guys looking for an opportunity to prove themselves. Many of them understand they won't get that opportunity with their current teams, and the teams recognize they might not be able to afford them anymore after restricted free agency. So both sides go into it looking to find a better opportunity. This is how we got Jake Layman on a good deal last summer and then obviously getting the two guys in the Denver trade. I know I just said I could see the PF group stay status quo, but one player who could fit this mold and would seemingly be a system fit is DJ Wilson from Milwaukee. Next season will be the last on his rookie deal. I don't necessarily see them re-signing him, but he did show in limited opportunities last season that he could be a solid player in this league. In some ways, has some size and skill set similarities to James Johnson. Another couple of Milwaukee guys who I think could be intriguing are Sterling Brown and Pat Connaughton, though Connaughton is unrestricted this summer.
A lot of questions still to be answered, but I believe in the Rosas vision and how he's executed up to this point. I'm excited to see how this roster continues to develop.
tsherkin wrote:The important thing to take away here is that Klomp is wrong.
Esohny wrote:Why are you asking Klomp? "He's" actually a bot that posts random blurbs from a database.
Klomp wrote:I'm putting the tired in retired mod at the moment