Trader_Joe wrote:Catchall wrote:Just a reminder that last year's flu season in the U.S. had 35.5 million infections, 16.5 million medical visits, 490,600 patients hospitalized, and 34,200 deaths. It was considered an average or slightly below-average flu season.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.htmlOkay, carry on.
I don't remember countries like Italy not being able to cope with the flu and the medical needs associated with it last year, do you?
NYC is on a worse trajectory, but earlier on than Italy.
It is likely that last year's flu infections in the U.S. were largely spread throughout the country. Whereas, Covid infections thusfar are concentrated in just a few hotspots--almost 70% in NY, CA and WA.
The way things are tracking, New York may end up with more than 50% of the country's total Covid infections. If a high percentage of those cases require hospitalization, it might overwhelm their local hospitals.
Strong measures need to be taken in New York, Seattle and the Bay Area. However, current data would suggest that shutting down local economies and asking people to isolate themselves is an overreaction in at least 30 of 50 states. Hopefully, that won't continue more than another week or two if the data doesn't change too dramatically.
https://covidtracking.com/data/