Pointgod wrote:Stannis wrote:robillionaire wrote:Progressives got blamed for 2016 and the groundwork is already being laid out to blame us for 2020 as well no matter what we do. It’s like being in an abusive relationship.
I have to agree with this.
The clear sign is progressives being blamed for not going out to vote for Bernie in the primaries (which is fair), but then blamed/will be blamed if they don't vote for the Democrat in the General Election (not fair).
The DNC is already trying to find their scapegoat (Bernie and his supporters) if Biden fumbles in November. Because apparently if you don't pick the **** that smells better, you are a Trump supporter.
The writing is on the wall.
This isn’t finger pointing it’s just math. Hillary Clinton lost one 2016 by 100,000 votes on in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. The Green Party got more votes in those 3 states than Hillary lost by. I’m pretty sure that more Bernie supporters who voted in the Primary stayed home than Hillary lost by. Of course there’s the Obama Trump voters and the millions who voted for Obama in 2012 then sat out 2016. If anyone of these 4 groups had gone for Hillary in the numbers needed to win you wouldn’t be suffering through that national nightmare that’s the piece of trash in the whitehouse. I think the Obama Trump voters are a lost cause, and assuming that the reason the Obama 2012 voters didn’t show up is due to voter suppression, it’s only logical to point to the people that voted for a Democrat in the primaries but then either went Green Party or stayed home could have tipped the scales considering that Trump offered them nothing policy wise and they voted Democrat in the primaries.
Now to 2020. There are four groups outside of the Democratic base(I include Progressives in here) that Democrats need to target. Obama Trump voters, Obama 2012 voters that sat out, new voters and the group that doesn’t get enough attention, Romney Clinton voters. Increasing turn out and getting enough votes will deliver Democrats the Presidency in 2020. I think Obama Trump voters aren’t as reliable so I don’t expect much there, Sanders has managed to turn out new voters and what he should be doing is mobilizing those voters and the Progressive base to vote for Biden with the rationale that Progressive policies are more likely to pass if Democrats control all 3 branches of congress. This lifts the floor for the Democrats, but if they can get back Obama Trump voters, increase the voters that sat out in 2012 and increase their share of Romney Clinton voters swing states then there’s no way Trump can win, but even just two of these groups voting in large enough numbers will eek out a win.
Yeah, Gore's margin of defeat in corrupt, hanging-chad Florida was exceeded by the number of votes cast for Ralph Nader in the state. It did cost him the election.
The math is certainly real and doesn't require anticipatory finger-pointing to make the case that any abstentions or votes cast in Swing states for anyone other than the Democratic nominee may in effect tip the election and thus be throwing critical support to Trump and the GOP.
If you're registered in NY it probably will have no effect on the election, just like a vote for Nader in NY did not affect Gore's chances. If you're registered in a swing state, then it does matter. There are at best very few people here that fit that criteria.
I happen to be in a swing state (for now), but I'm pretty sure I will no longer be living in Florida by November. I will probably will hold off on registering in a new state and will still cast my mail-in ballot in Florida though because I know it will matter.