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OT: Democratic Primary Thread

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Who are you voting for?

Poll ended at Sat Mar 14, 2020 11:48 pm

Joe Biden - I have no idea why, and I also forgot what year it is
18
28%
Bernie Sanders - I am an intelligent human being, and understand Sanders is our last hope and America needs him
38
58%
Tulsi Gabbard (Dropped Out) - Ringo Starr is also my favorite Beatle
9
14%
 
Total votes: 65

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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#481 » by duetta » Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:17 pm

B8RcDeMktfxC wrote:
duetta wrote: Even I didn't realized how much of Warren's support came from women who were not automatically moving over to Sanders (as I was not).

Interesting. Did you not read the results of 2016 and see how much of Clinton's support came from women wanting a woman?


I always supported Elizabeth because I wanted a smart, sophisticated advocate for a bottom-up economy, as opposed to an inflexible ideologue. My impression was that a lot of Warren's support was from highly educated voters. not just 'women' wanting a woman.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#482 » by B8RcDeMktfxC » Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:19 pm

HarthorneWingo wrote:
B8RcDeMktfxC wrote:
duetta wrote: Even I didn't realized how much of Warren's support came from women who were not automatically moving over to Sanders (as I was not).

Interesting. Did you not read the results of 2016 and see how much of Clinton's support came from women wanting a woman?


Warren tried for that demographic when brought on Hillary's apparent B-staffers to run her campaign. That's when we got the "Bernie is a sexist," "Bernie called me a liar," and "the Bernie bros are pasting snake emojis on my twitter feed." That all blew up in her face and she literally plummeted in the polls.

Yep - and imo, (but, ldo,ymmv), that was a terrible decision, and a "betrayal of" (I mean .. not really .. just a politically inept decision with regards to) the (Dem primary) voters to which she should have been aspiring (such as they were).

Nevertheless, Clinton did garner soccer mom support. (And lost in other demographics, possibly consequentially/relatedly.)
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#483 » by B8RcDeMktfxC » Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:23 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:
B8RcDeMktfxC wrote:
Clyde_Style wrote:I happen to be in a swing state (for now), but I'm pretty sure I will no longer be living in Florida by November. I will probably will hold off on registering in a new state and will still cast my mail-in ballot in Florida though because I know it will matter.

Woah. Really? I wouldn't be "pretty sure" you'd be able to take a plane out of Florida at the time of your choice by November, let alone moving residence.

But good luck with your moving plans.

I, theoretically, will be moving from country A to country B towards the end of April and from country B to country C at the start of July or start of August.

I think there is essentially a 0% chance I will be permitted (let alone able) to make either of those moves.


No biggie, no planes needed. It looks like I'll drive to the Northeast this Summer and never look back. Fck Florida

GlGl. :D

Where are you coming and going?

Not gonna quite answer that, but starting in a West European country and "C" is not the USA.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#484 » by Kampuchea » Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:37 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:
No biggie, no planes needed. It looks like I'll drive to the Northeast this Summer and never look back. Fck Florida

Where are you coming and going?


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I was looking at Miami for potential relocation, my parents live near Vero beach. What do you dislike about Florida? Too many rednecks? Just go to the Miami
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#485 » by B8RcDeMktfxC » Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:53 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:god knows what names I'd be called. I think I've been as tolerant as possible and I will continue to try to be, but I have my limits.

Thank you for your service. As executively responsible for the FrankGang we have loved your committment (aside from some irresponsible dank doubty moments.).

You have, it seems, literally been trapped Live In An American Time Spiral



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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#486 » by Stannis » Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:16 am

Clyde_Style wrote:I don't know why you guys are consistently saying you're offended, etc. when you're calling someone like myself entitled which you're using as a pejorative. I don't need to know EXACTLY how many voters would shift in those situations to say the Math is Real.

Here's the numbers

Nader received 97,421 votes in Florida

Bush won Florida's electoral votes by a margin of only 537 votes out of almost six million cast

So yeah, voting for Nader did swing the election.

I get that. But why does the DNC feel entitled to those votes? To the point where they blame those voters for past elections.

Citizens vote for who they want. If they live in a swing state and still vote third party, clearly they don't think the DNC runner is any better than the Rep runner.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#487 » by Clyde_Style » Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:48 am

Stannis wrote:
Clyde_Style wrote:I don't know why you guys are consistently saying you're offended, etc. when you're calling someone like myself entitled which you're using as a pejorative. I don't need to know EXACTLY how many voters would shift in those situations to say the Math is Real.

Here's the numbers

Nader received 97,421 votes in Florida

Bush won Florida's electoral votes by a margin of only 537 votes out of almost six million cast

So yeah, voting for Nader did swing the election.

I get that. But why does the DNC feel entitled to those votes? To the point where they blame those voters for past elections.

Citizens vote for who they want. If they live in a swing state and still vote third party, clearly they don't think the DNC runner is any better than the Rep runner.


Stan my man, I don't harbor strong opinions about the DNC to be perfectly honest. I just go by how the actual votes go and thus far even with the DNC heavily favoriting Clinton and now Biden, I have yet to see anything that makes me believe they could or did functionally rig either nomination that deprived Bernie of the win.

There are always numerous factors, but I try to stick to what the voters say to apprise the situation, because I think that's where the truth is found when it pertains directly to what our choice is in November. I think it is fair to say Bernie didn't get the votes and not over-litigate it.

I also think the DNC is not a highly functional political organization in the way the GOP is in their sheer Machiavellianism. The DNC is not whom I look to for guidance of any kind and I fully expect them to have house favorites.

One aspect of the DNC complaints though that I take some exception to is that they only play dirty. They may to some degree, but overall I also think you cannot run for the nomination of any party without agreeing to the terms of engagement they set down. That's why I've said Bernie could always have run as an independent, but he chooses to fight for the D nomination.

That's a choice and basically it is their rules he has to abide by. Yes, it may not seem fair, but he had another option and he took theirs. If he really does have a third of the population or better and he got all of those donations, I don't see how you can argue against him having run as an independent. In fact, I have to ask why he didn't, because with hindsight I think he may have a better shot at the presidency outside of the democratic machine.

I will confess that if Elizabeth were in Bernie's shoes I would be wavering right now about her conceding the nomination too, but that would only be because Joe is old and you never now what could happen. But Bernie is old and he had a heart attack so I think both of them are a crap shoot health-wise.

But if Joe stays healthy, I don't know what benefit Bernie will derive from staying in as I think politics is a game of leverage and I was saying his leverage diminishes over time. You may think he will be able to press his case and push the dialogue more to the left, but I actually think those concessions come mostly from back door deals, not virtual salons the rest of the way.

So I don't begrudge Bernie staying in, because its a wager on Joe vs Bernie's health and I get that. But if they don't get sick, I think it is a political miscalculation and I say that in a friendly way, not in order to contrive a way to get rid of Bernie.

I really have no issue with exercising the right to vote by voting independent in November. I only take exception to accusations of intolerance hurled at pragmatists who more actually not moderate, but feel compelled to align with them due to the circumstances.

This is the thing about what I see as the binary choice of Trump vs. No Trump. The unfortunate by-product of this is the a priori consideration necessarily is going to make lots of policies and issues take a backseat. To me it is not all that different than Hitler vs. No Hitler. I see the fate of the world hanging in the balance thus it matters where the swing votes go.

And that in no way marginalizes our political objectives. IMO it certainly means survival vs. arguing over wasted dreams, because if we don't survive there won't be any dreams left. The veneer that hides class warfare is completely gone now.

Whereas some Bernie supporters see that warfare coming from the moderate Democratic factions, I'm saying yeah, but the slavery and destruction that will be wielded by a consolidated GOP is on an order of magnitude that will make any corrupt Democrats seem like a picnic by comparison.

The difference is that massive not by virtue of the Democrats being paragons of virtue. This is solely because the GOP is so unrestrainedly evil that if they go unchecked there will be nothing left for any of us to build upon in five years.

That I'm struggling to convey that even a status quo is better than annihilation is baffling to me, but here we are. I just don't appreciate being told I'm condescending for saying the mature choice is survival, then reconstruction. I'm being patient, because survival requires me to be so we can come out of this united, not bearing grudges and facing a political, environmental and cultural apocalypse after we get out of this virus mess and hold the elections.

And because there's some really crazy stuff in here being said I will add, NO, Biden is not going to destroy the country. He is not evil. He may have facilitated some bad choices and supported the wrong people being he has been in positions of influence before. He is flawed, but he is going to serve in the capacity as President in a manner that helps the country settle down, international relations to get reordered, environmental issues to be addressed, the current mad corruption to be prosecuted, women's rights to be preserved. We can work with that and carry on. No such option will exist if Trump wins so I will continue to say a vote in any swing state for anyone but the D nominee is a vote for tyranny.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#488 » by Clyde_Style » Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:55 am

B8RcDeMktfxC wrote:
Clyde_Style wrote:god knows what names I'd be called. I think I've been as tolerant as possible and I will continue to try to be, but I have my limits.

Thank you for your service. As executively responsible for the FrankGang we have loved your committment (aside from some irresponsible dank doubty moments.).

You have, it seems, literally been trapped Live In An American Time Spiral



(and ~2 weeks of OrangeManBad posting)

-----------------

Consequently, you have been traded to the SpencerDinwiddieGroup for future consideration in a cryptocurrency to be decided.

Your new mantra, fortuitiously, syncs, with the previous postings:



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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#489 » by Pointgod » Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:13 am

Stannis wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
This isn’t finger pointing it’s just math. Hillary Clinton lost one 2016 by 100,000 votes on in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. The Green Party got more votes in those 3 states than Hillary lost by. I’m pretty sure that more Bernie supporters who voted in the Primary stayed home than Hillary lost by.



Clyde_Style wrote:The math is certainly real and doesn't require anticipatory finger-pointing to make the case that any abstentions or votes cast in Swing states for anyone other than the Democratic nominee may in effect tip the election and thus be throwing critical support to Trump and the GOP.


This is what I'm talking about. DNC feels entitled these 3rd party votes or voters who stay at home.

Fact of the matter is, if Jill Stein voters didn't vote for her, they probably would have voted for some other third party candidate.

And the GOP could say the same thing if they lost states by close margin, e.g. "If people didn't vote for Gary Johnson, we would have won those states". It's really a never ending line of thinking, considering more than half the eligible voters don't actually vote.


If I’m not mistaken in 2016, Jill Stein got record numbers of votes for a Green Party candidate. Those votes had to come from somewhere. I’m going to guess that the Green Party all of a sudden develop a strategy to generate historic turnout. A lot of those voters were probably disaffected Sanders supporters or likely Democratic voters given the right circumstances. So it’s not so much the DNC feels entitled to the votes but rather hey 80-90% of our policies and goals overlap, why throw away your vote on the Green Party candidate, which is for all intensive purposes helps Trump, and get 0% of what you want.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#490 » by Clyde_Style » Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:20 am

Pointgod wrote:
Stannis wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
This isn’t finger pointing it’s just math. Hillary Clinton lost one 2016 by 100,000 votes on in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. The Green Party got more votes in those 3 states than Hillary lost by. I’m pretty sure that more Bernie supporters who voted in the Primary stayed home than Hillary lost by.



Clyde_Style wrote:The math is certainly real and doesn't require anticipatory finger-pointing to make the case that any abstentions or votes cast in Swing states for anyone other than the Democratic nominee may in effect tip the election and thus be throwing critical support to Trump and the GOP.


This is what I'm talking about. DNC feels entitled these 3rd party votes or voters who stay at home.

Fact of the matter is, if Jill Stein voters didn't vote for her, they probably would have voted for some other third party candidate.

And the GOP could say the same thing if they lost states by close margin, e.g. "If people didn't vote for Gary Johnson, we would have won those states". It's really a never ending line of thinking, considering more than half the eligible voters don't actually vote.


If I’m not mistaken in 2016, Jill Stein got record numbers of votes for a Green Party candidate. Those votes had to come from somewhere. I’m going to guess that the Green Party all of a sudden develop a strategy to generate historic turnout. A lot of those voters were probably disaffected Sanders supporters or likely Democratic voters given the right circumstances. So it’s not so much the DNC feels entitled to the votes but rather hey 80-90% of our policies and goals overlap, why throw away your vote on the Green Party candidate, which is for all intensive purposes helps Trump, and get 0% of what you want.


Weirdly enough, in 2016 a comprehensive comparison chart of candidate policy positions had Clinton and Stein matching at something like 95%.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#491 » by Capn'O » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:05 am

Not even close to Nader's 2000 total. There was a real chance to get the Green Party into the next public funding cycle in that election. He got nearly 3% of the vote.

Stein's presence was disruptive yes. Historic in no way. But the Green Party has always been its own little circle. They do not vote Dem.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#492 » by 3toheadmelo » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:31 am

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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#493 » by HarthorneWingo » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:45 pm

3toheadmelo wrote:
Read on Twitter

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Yo, have you seen Biden?
It looks like he’s hiding
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But that’s just old Joe.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#494 » by HarthorneWingo » Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:25 pm

Joe Biden's a "pussy grabber." When she reacted adversely, he said "C'mon man." :noway:

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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#495 » by HarthorneWingo » Thu Mar 26, 2020 9:32 pm

Read on Twitter


Read on Twitter


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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#496 » by B8RcDeMktfxC » Sat Mar 28, 2020 1:43 am

So ... Cuomo appears to be the favourite to win, based on exponential growth in future markets support.

Thoughts?
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#497 » by HarthorneWingo » Sat Mar 28, 2020 1:45 am

Joe Biden was a disaster again tonight on CNN where he had a one-hour "Town Hall" Q and A. At one point, he referred to Anderson Cooper as "Doctor." Here's one clip I found. I'm sure they'll be more forthcoming. Here, Joe is attempting to invite voters to call him directly if they want to talk about their problems with the coronavirus. Yep, just you and Joe.

Btw, that post from Tamara Ade sounds so familiar. I guess she's not too happy with Wade. :lol:


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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#498 » by B8RcDeMktfxC » Sat Mar 28, 2020 2:03 am

I don't believe he's going to make it through the convention. He'll have the votes - probably even a reasonable majority of the elected delegates, but I just don't see how he gets the nom ... unless they change his meds to whatever Trump is taking.
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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#499 » by Fat Kat » Sat Mar 28, 2020 1:34 pm

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Re: OT: Democratic Primary Thread 

Post#500 » by Jeffrey » Sat Mar 28, 2020 2:28 pm

Kampuchea wrote:
Clyde_Style wrote:
No biggie, no planes needed. It looks like I'll drive to the Northeast this Summer and never look back. Fck Florida

Where are you coming and going?


Image

I was looking at Miami for potential relocation, my parents live near Vero beach. What do you dislike about Florida? Too many rednecks? Just go to the Miami


Too many to list. Drink that Florida water and for some reason your IQ just drops or two steps away from a mental institution.

Miami is cool but every where else... it's next level crazy

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