dice wrote:MrSparkle wrote:dice wrote:not by a country mile. a lot of players who aren't great 3 pt shooters get in the zone from time to time
in other words, outside of his 6/6 hot streak, he was 6/22 for the rest of the series. he shrugged to say "i dunno, magic, guess it's just one of those games"
it makes sense on no level that MJ didn't care about becoming an great 3 pt shooter. great players want to be great in every facet of the game. there's a reason why he shot the 3 at a much higher rate for 2 seasons, and it's not because he suddenly decided to challenge himself or found a reason to care. it was because they moved the line in
i do think he would have been a marginally better 3 pt shooter had he grown up in this era, but there's a chance that he would actually have been a worse all-around player because he would have been putting more focus on an area that was not his strength, thus taking time/plays away from the things that made him special
The line went back further in 97/98.
Ray Allen: 1.6/4.5
Stockton: 0.6/1.4
Kerr: 1.1/2.6
Jordan: 0.4/1.5
Based on those attempts, those first three are mediocre 3P shooters in today’s NBA.
Shaq Harrison shot 0.4/1.0 this past year — I guess that puts him in Kerr’s and Stockton’s company? Sorry but low volume 3P stats from the 90s don’t tell you squat.
classic strawman argument. you brought up an argument that nobody else did just so you could tear it down
nobody said anything about kerr, stockton and allen. but if you don't think they were way better 3 pt shooters than MJ, and would be today as well, i don't know what to tell you
To say Jordan wouldn’t have been able to adjust to the league’s trend, and add a deadly high-volume 3P shot to the rest of his game, it makes no sense to me.
he couldn't even be deadly on LOW volume! he was given the 3 pt shot whenever he wanted it, surely worked on it, yet wasn't particularly good at it
Kerr and Stockton would be shooting 5x as many 3Ps.
no, they absolutely would not. because they were spot-up point guards. they were not shooting guards who were very active off the ball running around screens trying to get open and they did not have the capability of creating their own shots
george hill career per 100 possessions: 21p 6a 2to 38.5% 3pt, 6 3pt attempts
steve kerr career per 100 possessions: 18p 5a 2to 45.5% 3pt, 5 3pt attempts
steve kerr would have been a better shooting version of george hill, whose volume is only slightly higher. kerr took 3 pt attempts at every opportunity because he was a specialist. that would not change today other than perhaps increased ball movement would find him slightly more attempts
the main reason 3 pt attempts are much higher today is that players who in prior eras were NOT 3 pt specialists are now shooting them. including big men and perimeter guys who would have been mid-range specialists in the past
It's not a straw man argument. The argument is that the great players of the 90s shot much less 3Ps than they do today. You are using statistics to argue that Jordan would not have been able to adapt to shooting the 3-ball as well as other stars in today's game, and I'm playing the hypothetical game.
There was less incentive to shoot the shot, less volume, thus the statistics are entirely unrepresentative of how good the players were as 3P shooters. I've also long argued that today's 3P stat is unreliable, simply most players don't exceed 4 attempts per game, meaning 1 measly shot made can be the difference of 25%.
And even as such, if you go by the stats, Jordan ranked #34 in 3P% in 92/93 (respectable 35% on 2.9 attempts), and FWIW, only 47 players qualified (probably needed at least 50 makes or something):
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_1993_per_game.html This was the year
before they moved the line closer.
Durant ranked #86 last year in 3P% (with a respectable 35% on 5 shots per game). The reason I make the comparison is because both are high-usage ball-handlers who also shared the rock with high-usage ball-handlers. Durant is considered one of the game's best 3P shooters, and he was only good for #86 while playing with the best 3P backcourt of all-time.
Jordan was #11 in 3P% come 95/96. Sure the line was closer, but it was also closer for everybody else in the league. Also, I don't see anyone dismissing Euro or NCAA 3P shooters for having a closer line.
97/98 was the outlier season where he shot a worse percentage from the arc (24% on 1.5 attempts), but you can also consider several things: as the Last Dance is reminding us, the team was pretty dysfunctional at the top of the season with Pippen sitting out half the season. He was basically playing point (and leading the team in scoring, and defending star wings). Zoom forward to the 98 playoffs, and MJ is the 3rd best 3P option on the Bulls:
Kerr - 0.9/2.0 (46%)
Kukoc - 1.1/2.9 (38%)
Jordan - 0.6/2.0 (30%)
The argument is complicated because you're hypothetically saying that Jordan couldn't keep up with today's 3P demands, but all the data shows that he kept up with the 3P demands of his eras, and would likely continue meeting that demand in today's era. Obviously not on Curry's level, but on Lebron's or Durant's level.
You can't say that Jordan's shrug game was a magic lucky night. It was a high-volume night, which was uncharacteristic. Otherwise, he shot a very solid 39% for the entire 92 playoffs (0.8/2.0), which is basically in line with the better 3P shooters of that year. A few guys had better percents on way less sample size (Reggie shot a blistering 64% on 3.7 attempts... getting swept in 3 games).
If Ben Simmons or Dennis Rodman made 6 3Ps, I would consider that a magical night. I'd have no problem taking 1992 Jordan and gambling $100 that if you challenged him to make 6 threes, he'd make them in a game today. When he did it back then, it was crazy cause it just wasn't accepted that you take that many bombs from the arc, especially in a playoff game where teams played more conservative. I have a hard time thinking that MJ was shrugging cause he was making a shot he'd normally never have the confidence to make.