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OT: COVID-19 thread #2

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Dresden
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#721 » by Dresden » Fri May 1, 2020 11:23 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Dresden wrote:There is also an ethical consideration to this. If everyone is paying taxes, it is extremely unfair for one taxpayer to get left in the cold by the govt., while the next taxpayer gets fully funded.


LIfe isn't fair in how our government distributes tax dollars in any other situation in our economy. The benefits for everyone vary extremely widely.

Their goal should be to maximize impact of the dollars they spend not to be fair. I'm not suggesting that they are accomplishing that goal, but in a theoretical debate I'd rather save 1 million jobs than 900k jobs even if what I did was less fair to some individuals compared to others.

If you absolute need X to keep a business alive and there are 3 of them, and you only have 2X, it's better to give two businesses X and the other 0 than to give all of them 2/3rds of X and watch all 3 fold. Again, not saying it's that cut and dry or that this is the scenario going out, but it's definitely a possible scenario that exists.

More likely than anything else, they are stuck with a lot of logistical problems where they can't get all of the correct information in place in time and its easier and faster to give everyone what they apply for than to wait longer for all applications, analyze them, then come up with some shared pool to give everyone.

I think while almost all of your arguments work well in theory, they also all discount completely the practicality of the government trying to run this entirely new program without any existing protocols and get the money out in a matter of weeks. Again, not saying they made all the right decisions, just that its not easy to organize, process, and distribute something this big and this new really fast.


I agree that some of the problems were a result of how fast this was pushed through. Banks didn't get instructions until Thursday evening, and were expected to start accepting applications the following morning. There was definitely a trade off made between having everything in place when it began, and getting it going to people could start getting their money.

However, there's also this: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/22/business/sba-loans-ppp-coronavirus.html

Banks Gave Richest Clients ‘Concierge Treatment’ for Pandemic Aid

"Some businesses seeking coronavirus loans got to avoid flaky online portals or backed-up queues. Many other small businesses couldn’t get their loan requests submitted before the money dried up."

The reporters detail how banks have a two tier system of services set up- those for your average business customer, which the vast majority fall into, and another class for their wealthiest and largest customers. When it came time to process the loans, banks (naturally) favored their big clients, who get their loans processed and out the door and over to the SBA ahead of the little guys.

That should never have been allowed. And it would have been easy to instruct banks that they have to treat all their clients equally, and process the applications in the order they were received. Not according to how much money you have in your account. Things like this are what drive the income gap wider and wider.

I'd also argue that the fact that other govt. programs aren't always fair in who gets the benefits should not serve as excuse for why this program couldn't be administered in a more fair and equal manner.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#722 » by Dresden » Fri May 1, 2020 11:26 pm

transplant wrote:I'm an avid golfer. Played for the first time since early-March. Though there are all sorts of restrictions here in Illinois that made it kinda weird, it was a beautiful day and it was close enough to normal fun to call it wonderful.


It's going to feel great to get back out on the course again! Probably will play some terrible golf, but like they say "even a bad day on the course is better than a good day in the office"!
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#723 » by Chi town » Fri May 1, 2020 11:31 pm

transplant wrote:I'm an avid golfer. Played for the first time since early-March. Though there are all sorts of restrictions here in Illinois that made it kinda weird, it was a beautiful day and it was close enough to normal fun to call it wonderful.


They open up courses here in SF on Monday. You better believe I’ve got a tee time.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#724 » by dice » Fri May 1, 2020 11:40 pm

MrSparkle wrote:And these grocery runs, oh my. It is incredible how many people simply don’t care. Touching things, browsing their phones, touching things, touching their phone, slowly trodding around. No care for the 6-ft rule.

for whatever reason, it's much worse at walmart

at the grocery store the other day, an older employee had her mask around her neck and was having a conversation standing face to face w/ a customer who was wearing a mask. guess she thought that protected her

i wouldn't be surprised if the masks make things worse due to the false sense of security and reduced social distancing

Sometimes employees remind people, but really? You can’t make a market run or walk outside without heeding literally 3 suggestions? Maintain space, don’t touch things unless you need to, keep your fingers off your face. It’s crazy.

i try not to take something off the shelf unless i intend to buy it. and i'm usually not taking the item in the front because there's a good chance a lot of hands have been on it

I’m walking my dog avoiding puddles and some jogger out of nowhere with no mask sweating bullets sprints right past me without moving off the side walk. Literally got a whiff of his sweat and could feel his hot humid self, and that was with my mask on. I suppose I could’ve yanked my dog into the grass but wouldn’t it have been easier for him to cut around?

yeah, there are some real jerk joggers. i assume that some of them think that passing someone rapidly sharply reduces the risk of transmission

The average person is simply a space cadet with lack of consideration.

i think the ignoramuses are in the minority, but they sure do stand out. i still occasionally see groups of teenagers hanging out like nothing is different...but now they have masks around their necks
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#725 » by Ccwatercraft » Fri May 1, 2020 11:41 pm

[instagram][/instagram]
transplant wrote:I'm an avid golfer. Played for the first time since early-March. Though there are all sorts of restrictions here in Illinois that made it kinda weird, it was a beautiful day and it was close enough to normal fun to call it wonderful.


Never lost Golf in FL. But 1 person to a cart, no rakes. No flag removal.

Not a big hassle to be honest but once away from the clubhouse there is plenty of social distancing "violations" I was pretty well behaved for about 10 days but honestly got tired of the staying home and have gradually worked back to normal living. Still doing split shifts at work but it's really because I like working from home.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#726 » by dice » Sat May 2, 2020 12:02 am

Dresden wrote:Now our president has not only taken the bait, he's swallowed the hook, too, on this one. I like the fact that he claims he's not allowed to offer the proof. It sounds a lot like when he said he'd love to show us his tax returns, but his attorneys wouldn't let him, because he's under audit:

"President Trump said Thursday that he had seen evidence to prove that the coronavirus pandemic had spread from a laboratory in Wuhan, China, but he declined to detail what that evidence was.

“I’m not allowed to tell you that,” he said at a White House news conference at which he repeatedly accused China’s government of being negligent in its response to the virus, while leaving open the possibility it was intentionally spread."

and climate change is a chinese hoax. also, ted cruz's father was a pro-castro pal of lee harvey oswald. and obama may have been born in kenya. and the clintons may have murdered vince foster...and jeffrey epstein. and syrian refugees might be ISIS members. and scalia may have been murdered. and vaccines may cause autism. and muslims in new jersey were cheering on 9/11. and there's nothing wrong w/ asbestos. and the access hollywood tape was phony (he came up with that one well after it was made public). and joe scarborough murdered an intern. and obama wiretapped his phone. and millions of illegal immigrants cost him the popular vote. and democrats inflated the death toll in puerto rico. and windmills cause cancer. and biden corruptly assisted his son in ukraine...who may be hiding hillary's email server (which doesn't physically exist). and crowdstrike framed russia for election interference, etc. ad nauseum

"people are saying..."
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#727 » by dice » Sat May 2, 2020 12:06 am

Image

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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#728 » by dice » Sat May 2, 2020 12:17 am

Ccwatercraft wrote:[instagram][/instagram]
transplant wrote:I'm an avid golfer. Played for the first time since early-March. Though there are all sorts of restrictions here in Illinois that made it kinda weird, it was a beautiful day and it was close enough to normal fun to call it wonderful.


Never lost Golf in FL. But 1 person to a cart, no rakes. No flag removal.

Not a big hassle to be honest but once away from the clubhouse there is plenty of social distancing "violations" I was pretty well behaved for about 10 days but honestly got tired of the staying home and have gradually worked back to normal living. Still doing split shifts at work but it's really because I like working from home.

ball washing? on course restrooms/fountains/refreshment carts?

in illinois, no carts. lugging one's bag around and walking the course is a disincentive to golfing for a whole lotta people
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#729 » by Chi town » Sat May 2, 2020 12:18 am

Anti body testing EVERYONE should really help us see where we are. South Korea now reports reinfection doesn’t happen.

https://apple.news/Ahw5KUP8wQD280zHJStjvuA
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#730 » by dice » Sat May 2, 2020 1:41 am

trump, while refusing to order american industries to produce ventilators, as was in his power, received a random tweet from some engineer in late march saying that he could provide them. this individual was quickly recommended to the state of NY by VP pence's coronavirus task force. they paid the guy triple the retail cost for a total of $69 mil. he didn't deliver:

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/495455-engineer-that-got-69m-contract-after-tweeting-trump-never-provided
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#731 » by Nikola » Sat May 2, 2020 4:12 am

dice wrote:trump, while refusing to order american industries to produce ventilators, as was in his power, received a random tweet from some engineer in late march saying that he could provide them. this individual was quickly recommended to the state of NY by VP pence's coronavirus task force. they paid the guy triple the retail cost for a total of $69 mil. he didn't deliver:

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/495455-engineer-that-got-69m-contract-after-tweeting-trump-never-provided

The carelessness of the money being printed for this crisis is out of control.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#732 » by dice » Sat May 2, 2020 4:28 am

Nikola wrote:
dice wrote:trump, while refusing to order american industries to produce ventilators, as was in his power, received a random tweet from some engineer in late march saying that he could provide them. this individual was quickly recommended to the state of NY by VP pence's coronavirus task force. they paid the guy triple the retail cost for a total of $69 mil. he didn't deliver:

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/495455-engineer-that-got-69m-contract-after-tweeting-trump-never-provided

The carelessness of the money being printed for this crisis is out of control.

has to be done, unfortunately

in the case of the state of new york, no money will be printed unless they get assistance from the feds
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#733 » by Dresden » Sat May 2, 2020 6:02 am

Chi town wrote:
transplant wrote:I'm an avid golfer. Played for the first time since early-March. Though there are all sorts of restrictions here in Illinois that made it kinda weird, it was a beautiful day and it was close enough to normal fun to call it wonderful.


They open up courses here in SF on Monday. You better believe I’ve got a tee time.



Don't you have to work or something?? I'm not going to be able to get away from work until at least Thursday, most likely the weekend, with everyone else.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#734 » by Dresden » Sat May 2, 2020 6:11 am

dice wrote:Image

Image


the one real saving grace of this whole thing, SO FAR, has been that the Southern Hemisphere has not been hit nearly as hard as some thought it would be. Africa, India, SE Asia, Latin America, the Middle East- those areas have a lot of poor people, very poor health systems (with some exceptions), and have densely populated cities with very poor sanitation and educational levels. Conditions just ripe for a pandemic to cause suffering of biblical proportions.

But for whatever reasons- the weather, early govt. lockdowns, people being outside more- it hasn't happened yet. I know we aren't out of the woods by a long stretch, but it's encouraging that those areas haven't blown up to this point.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#735 » by dice » Sat May 2, 2020 6:48 am

Dresden wrote:
dice wrote:Image

Image


the one real saving grace of this whole thing, SO FAR, has been that the Southern Hemisphere has not been hit nearly as hard as some thought it would be. Africa, India, SE Asia, Latin America, the Middle East- those areas have a lot of poor people, very poor health systems (with some exceptions), and have densely populated cities with very poor sanitation and educational levels. Conditions just ripe for a pandemic to cause suffering of biblical proportions.

But for whatever reasons- the weather, early govt. lockdowns, people being outside more- it hasn't happened yet. I know we aren't out of the woods by a long stretch, but it's encouraging that those areas haven't blown up to this point.

yeah, just hope many of their governments are not woefully under-reporting. some of them surely are
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#736 » by Nikola » Sat May 2, 2020 11:58 am

dice wrote:
Nikola wrote:
dice wrote:trump, while refusing to order american industries to produce ventilators, as was in his power, received a random tweet from some engineer in late march saying that he could provide them. this individual was quickly recommended to the state of NY by VP pence's coronavirus task force. they paid the guy triple the retail cost for a total of $69 mil. he didn't deliver:

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/495455-engineer-that-got-69m-contract-after-tweeting-trump-never-provided

The carelessness of the money being printed for this crisis is out of control.

has to be done, unfortunately

in the case of the state of new york, no money will be printed unless they get assistance from the feds

It does not need to be done so haphazardly though. Why do people who are still working get $1200? Even if they gave it back why would the LA Lakers get 7M. It would take minutes to find more examples. The government didn't feel the need to spend a little time on this?
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#737 » by Ccwatercraft » Sat May 2, 2020 1:27 pm

Nikola wrote:
dice wrote:
Nikola wrote:The carelessness of the money being printed for this crisis is out of control.

has to be done, unfortunately

in the case of the state of new york, no money will be printed unless they get assistance from the feds

It does not need to be done so haphazardly though. Why do people who are still working get $1200? Even if they gave it back why would the LA Lakers get 7M. It would take minutes to find more examples. The government didn't feel the need to spend a little time on this?


I'll take a stab at that.

The more time the govt spends on stuff like this usually means more pork, not a cleaner, leaner stimulus.

The lakers were massively profitable before this yes, but they didnt suffer when the season ended abruptly? the Lakers loss was legit, it's just bad optics.

I have been employed along with my spouse through this, but by June were expecting a minimum of 900-1200 a month in income losses that could remain through 2021 or possibly result in losing a 30 year career unless a vaccine by year end is developed and has real success.

Just because there was no immediate job loss doesnt mean there aren't major long term financial impacts from the recession, lack of tourism, Etc.

So basically millions in similar situations profited in April from the stimulus but by years end might be losing that amount every month.

Were already cutting back now in anticipation of an ugly 3rd and 4th q, and an uglier 2021.

$1200 is a drop in the bucket
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#738 » by jmajew » Sat May 2, 2020 1:45 pm

I own a manufacturing company in the Chicago area. I got my PPP money very quickly because I have a strong relationship with my banker. However, the reason I have a strong relationship with my banker is because the bank has more to lose if I go out of business than if a small restaurant goes out of business. My business is much more capital intensive than a restaurant, hair salon, nail salon, etc. In my opinion it behooves the entire financial system to take care of a capital intensive business prior to a lot of these small businesses that have no real assets. If the bigger customers at banks go under they have a bigger chance of becoming insolvent themselves. So in order to actually help the small/less capital intensive businesses they had to make sure their bigger customers are solvent. If I were to go under the bank would loose a lot. A business like mine is more important to the actual economy because I employ the people that go to restaurants, bars, etc. (I know this sounds self serving, but I believe this is the way the economy works.) Now that I am propped up they can focus on the other businesses.

Do I think the government went about how to help the economy in the proper method? No I do not, and don't feel like typing a 10,000 word dissertation on what should have happened. I want to say this though. The PPP is not as good for many small businesses as they would have thought. It is going to be very hard to get it all forgiven, it will be almost impossible for a restaurant to. Whatever you get forgiven is considered taxable income, unless you lose more money for the year than you get forgiven. They gave you 2.5 months worth of money but you also only have 8 weeks to spend it in order to get forgiven. It is very hard to spend that much. Whatever is not forgiven can only be used for certain items. The money that is not forgiven you have to pay back in 2 years at 1% interest rate. That could be a large chunk of money for these small businesses to be paying back even when they reopen because sales will most likely still be down.

Its a tough world we are living in. It sucks, but we have to stay positive.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#739 » by Nikola » Sat May 2, 2020 2:02 pm

Ccwatercraft wrote:
Nikola wrote:
dice wrote:has to be done, unfortunately

in the case of the state of new york, no money will be printed unless they get assistance from the feds

It does not need to be done so haphazardly though. Why do people who are still working get $1200? Even if they gave it back why would the LA Lakers get 7M. It would take minutes to find more examples. The government didn't feel the need to spend a little time on this?


I'll take a stab at that.

The more time the govt spends on stuff like this usually means more pork, not a cleaner, leaner stimulus.

The lakers were massively profitable before this yes, but they didnt suffer when the season ended abruptly? the Lakers loss was legit, it's just bad optics.

No it is not legit. The NBA could operate at a fraction of it's current revenue. The owners can cover a couple months of expenses very easily. And it's a game there is no need for a taxpayer bailout.

I have been employed along with my spouse through this, but by June were expecting a minimum of 900-1200 a month in income losses that could remain through 2021 or possibly result in losing a 30 year career unless a vaccine by year end is developed and has real success.

Just because there was no immediate job loss doesn't mean there aren't major long term financial impacts from the recession, lack of tourism, Etc.

So basically millions in similar situations profited in April from the stimulus but by years end might be losing that amount every month.

Were already cutting back now in anticipation of an ugly 3rd and 4th q, and an uglier 2021.

$1200 is a drop in the bucket

I will say if they are going to throw money around just giving it to the people is not the worst. But why not wait and see what the actual need is. Money cannot be printed indefinitely without ill effects.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 thread #2 

Post#740 » by Chi town » Sat May 2, 2020 2:56 pm

Dresden wrote:
Chi town wrote:
transplant wrote:I'm an avid golfer. Played for the first time since early-March. Though there are all sorts of restrictions here in Illinois that made it kinda weird, it was a beautiful day and it was close enough to normal fun to call it wonderful.


They open up courses here in SF on Monday. You better believe I’ve got a tee time.



Don't you have to work or something?? I'm not going to be able to get away from work until at least Thursday, most likely the weekend, with everyone else.


Working from home. Playing at sunrise. I’m honestly thinking about taking 3 days off and just walking 36 each day. I’ve been working 70hr weeks and helping w the homeschooling of our 3 kids. Over it.

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