Joey Wheeler wrote:On a very superficial level, yes the mid 2000 Pistons were close to having an identical profile. But the Bad Boys pretty much ran through their competition: in 1989, only Jordan took games off them; in 1990, again only Jordan put up any competition again, they came within an inch of sweeping the finals for the 2nd year in a row. Meanwhile the Pistons in the 2000s were struggling against mediocre Nets and Pacers teams and needed a Wade injury to barely squeak past the Heat in 2005. They were hardly dominant.
Just feel like some of this needs a bit more clarification.
So, yes, the 1989/1990 Pistons (as well as the 1988 Pistons) were really strong teams.
However, I'd note that your ballparking of team value seems a tad misconstrued.
For example, the Pistons were struggling against "mediocre Nets and Pacers teams and needed a Wade injury to barely squeak past the Heat in 2005."
I would like to note that -
a) The Nets weren't an
amazing team, but the Pistons w/Rasheed only played the Nets in 2004. They won 52 and 49 games the previous two seasons (with point differentials equivalent to a 53 and 56 win team respectively) and that's with Kenyon Martin and Jason Kidd missing a decent chunk of time each (and both were all stars that year). They were a low 50s level team with their full lineup.
b) The Pacers lost to the Pistons in 6 games when they won 61 games in 2004, and 2005 was kind of a mess for the Pacers thanks to the Malice fiasco. They lost Artest, but O'Neal, Jackson, Tinsley and Reggie all also missed a BIG chunk of time combined, and yet they still won 44 games. All these guys bar Artest played every game vs the Pistons in the playoffs. I don't know how to fully assess that season, but it's hardly a stretch to think they may have been better than a 44 win team by the playoffs when their entire starting lineup missed a crazy amount of time, and all of them bar Artest were back.
c) Saying they struggled against these teams, but talking up how the Pistons swept the Lakers in 89 after the Lakers swept their way through the West seems heavily flawed, because the Pistons won games 1 and 2 at home (game 2 barely, with Magic missing half the game) and then Magic played 5 minutes the remainder of the series... it's not a stretch to think that a freaking 63 win team could beat that team with an injured Magic at home, and even games 3 and 4 were pretty close without Magic. The Pistons in '05 played a 59 win team with Wade missing game 6 (and appropriately, they destroyed them) and then beat them again in game 7. It's not an apples to apples comparison at all, and yet, the Heat series is a disappointment from Wade's injury and THREE close wins with Magic being injured is heroic. This just absolutely does not compute. And to add to this, none of the teams they played en route to the Lakers won 50 games.
As a corollary to this, the Pistons beat a 38 win Wizards in 1988 in the series decider, whilst also winning game 2 by a solitary point. It's not implausible that they
lose that series. I mean, I don't think this is a good assessment of teams/players myself, but they hardly dominated the Wizards (a 38 win team) and didn't really do much better against a team worse than the Nets/Pacers teams that you downplayed earlier.
The Pistons beat the 2004 Lakers in the playoffs, that's a good win for sure; the Bad Boys ended the Celtics run in the East, swept a Lakers team in the Finals that had just swept their way through the Western Conference and delayed the Bulls ascension by at least 2 years. This seems like distinctly more impressive competition.
The Bulls ascension was partially delayed because the Bulls weren't the same Bulls that they were in the 90s and they swept the Lakers in a bunch of close games in which Magic was injured. They beat the Celtics ONCE where Larry Bird had bone spurs and had the horror series of his life and that's not because of Isiah's rugged defence on Bird. This is the
worst part about the Isiah narrative - not only because it blatantly assumes that beating a good team somehow "validates" the best player on that team, but because saying that he beat Bird, Magic and Jordan is an emphatic attempt at implying that he beat the Lakers, Celtics and Bulls at their best. The only one I'd even claim were
remotely at their best was the Celtics in 1988.
But, under this assumption, where we assume that the Lakers/Celtics are "stacked" teams (and often, the Bulls are also considered to have been a stacked team, although I certainly wouldn't have argued them as elite support prior to 1991), what does Isiah's team winning even prove? That he's better than Magic/Bird? Because if that's not the conclusion we're trying to reach, then saying that Isiah's team beat a stacked team means absolutely
nothing. There's no point in propping up Isiah by being the best player on a stacked team beating a stacked team (with Magic/Bird) and then not concluding that he's better than them, but then ignoring this same methodology when looking at other teams.
I don't see any precedent for a team as dominant as the Pistons were against such strong competition without a top 5ish player. Is it impossible that it was the case? No, but it's certainly extremely unlikely that the guy around whom such a juggernaut was built was actually not that good...
Does that mean that we should just
assume Isiah is a super-elite, top 3 PG of all time? There's also no precedent for a player being ranked in the top 15-20 players ever whist having no case for being ranked this high in terms of box score stats, MVP voting or All-NBA voting.
Given that he had good offensive support, the Pistons were only a +3.6 relative ORTG team in the playoffs from 1988-1990 IIRC. For a championship team, that's surprisingly low across 12 series (bear in mind that ORTGs are often higher in the playoffs as a result of teams playing their best offensive players more). The team's offence obviously contributed, but to a far lesser degree than most other championship level teams, and defence was the primary driver. For example, in these three seasons, the Pistons ranked 11/16, 4/16 and 8/16 in playoff ORTG even though their average opponent was -0.4 on defence (i.e. basically league average, and one would expect the average playoff team to be above average on defence).
FWIW, given the quality of opposing defences (and that Pistons defence was
magnificent) that's actually... oddly disappointing. For example, CP3 had a healthy, strong team in the playoffs three years (2008, 2014 and 2015) and in these 6 series, his team's relative ORTG was +8.5. In the
worst of these series, he had +5.5 vs the Spurs in 2008. And in all 3 series in which he was eliminated, he was a net positive on the floor (+2.9, +10.7 and +5.5). All of these ratings were higher than the net ratings his team had in each series. And in the 3 series he won, he... had a net positive in all series too, and the team had worse scoring margins with him off the floor.
What I'm getting at here, is that Isiah is getting a bulk of credit because his team won, without even parsing out
why the team won. Overall motivation? Sure, that works. Defence? His team was absolutely absurd on defence and yes, he contributed, but he was certainly far from the defensive anchor. Offensively? His team results aren't anything to write home about, and the only year his team was good offensively in the playoffs during that 3 year run (1989) he had a TS% of 48.1, which was 4.5% lower than the second worst on the team.
And automatically, when we actually parse out team impact into offence and defence, Isiah's case as an offensive mastermind comes into question. Dumars was an above average efficiency guy, an elite shooter, and a fairly good passer/playmaker in his own right. The team had consistently good offensive rebounding (one of their strengths) and they had a guy who is in contention with Moses Malone as the best offensive rebounder on that team. Bill Laimbeer was an efficient, lower volume guy and an excellent shooter for a big man (i.e. spaces the floor, helps create room for Isiah to drive). Vinnie Johnson... I think was kind of overrated so I won't prop him up. Aguirre was an all star in 1988 on the virtue of his elite scoring game, and even though he played fewer minutes, he was clearly a nice offensive piece. Is this team
so far beneath what Chris Paul had even in his losing years (3 years in which his team outscored the opposing team with him on the floor, mind you)? DeAndre was leading the league in FG% and elite at offensive rebounds... that's
exactly what Rodman did in 1989. Griffin and Redick are good offensive players, but is their combination so far ahead of what Laimbeer/Dumars/Aguirre were? Dumars and Griffin actually have a lot of analogues - both strong creators, both slightly above league average efficiency, but Dumars was a better shooter. Redick is a fantastic shooter, but I don't think his combined offensive product surpasses what Laimbeer and Aguirre combined to provide (bear in mind that after the top 4, the Clippers also played guys like Rivers/inefficient chucker Crawford etc notable minutes and the 5th guy simply not being a liability is also very helpful).
So, the statistics at the time for Isiah would imply that he's an elite shot creator for himself, an excellent passer, but an inefficient scorer on his own. And having a +3.6 playoff ORTG in 12 series (a decent sample) with a level of offensive support that on average, is probably quite similar to what CP3 had, would infer that at the very least, he should be coming up with comparable ORTGs. But, he didn't. And even if you're higher on Blake, he had an ORTG of +4.6 in the Jazz series in 2017 (where Gobert missed time, but Blake missed more time) and an ORTG of +8.0 when Blake was injured against Memphis in 2013. And vs the Jazz, yes, CP3 once again had a positive net rating, but his team had a negative net rating and lost the series vs the Jazz when he was off the court.
This is an example of where the problem lies - yes, CP3 is injury prone, but with what is arguably comparable offensive support, he led playoff offences that
blew away what Isiah led on his teams, and with clearly lesser support in certain years, there are hints that he could have led comparable offences.
By simply looking at
overall team results and crediting Isiah as their offensive fulcrum, we're ignoring valuable information that actually assesses
offensive team play with Isiah as an offensive fulcrum.
I'll add a bit more - In 1991 (which was similar to 1990 in terms of regular season efficacy), Isiah missed 34 games, but even in the 30 something games he played prior to injury, the Pistons ORTG was very slightly
lower than in the following games - the team eFG% and TOV% remained roughly the same, free throw rate dropped (probably due to Isiah's creation) and ORB% skyrocketed (probably because a drive-heavy guard takes up room underneath the rim, and forces better rebounders out - Laimbeer's ORB% went from 5.5 to 9.5 in his absence as a result).
Once again, even though this isn't a definitive sample, and beneath Isiah at his peak, in a season with numbers almost
identical to 1990, Isiah's creation is partially offset by the fact that he wasn't an efficient scorer himself. This story ties in
perfectly with how I interpreted Isiah's play before even looking at the sample - he's an excellent shot creator for both himself and his teammates, but the downfall of creating shots for himself is that his own inefficiency tended to limit the actual offensive ceiling of his teams.
So, when we look at Isiah's team success, are we simply looking at team success and then saying, "Isiah is the biggest offensive piece and emotional leader, ergo, he is the xth best player ever?" A lot of this logic fails to consider that he wasn't the offensive fulcrum of an elite offensive team during this period, and this is
necessary for this sort of discussion if we're using team play as a proxy for individual greatness.
And yet you've seen it. More than that, you've seen multiple times I'm sure; it's not a fringe opinion at all, but one shared by a lot of people. There's too many people holding the opposite view for "Curry is clearly better" to be used as a blanket statement in this discussion. If people are ranking Isiah just behind Magic or Magic and Oscar, then Curry being better is part of what needs to be proved in order to refute that.
Yes, and those people would be wrong. And it's not often that I say that - usually I'm fairly lax over people ranking one player over another, as long as a general range can reasonably be justified. But there is no reasonable justification for Isiah over Curry.
* Box score production? Curry blows Isiah away and it's not even worth bothering to post anything here.
* Impact stats? We don't have much in the realm of impact for Isiah, but Curry literally ranks #1 in 5 year RAPM in the 2015-2019 stretch and the 2016-2020 stretch (for which there's very little in 2020) and only LeBron and CP3 are close to him.
* Skillset - Isiah is a better defender, sure (although it's probably overblown, because Curry is a very smart team defender with exceptional hands). Curry is also an elite shot creator and the best shooter in NBA history.
* Team success? The Warriors won 67 games and a title in 2015, and 73 games (an NBA record) in 2016. They lost an incredibly close series to the Cavs, sure. But on the way, they beat an OKC team (a healthy SRS of +9.7) that beat a 67 win San Antonio team (healthy SRS of +11.7). It's a historically elite top 4 teams in the NBA that season and the Cavs are underrepresented in SRS because of Kyrie's injury and LeBron's regular season coasting. And even though they got Durant for the next couple of seasons, they won the title in both of those anyway.
* Accolades - Isiah peaked at 5th in MVP. Curry has two of those, and is the only unanimous MVP in award history.
* Arbitrarily beating other great players - Curry was 1st team All NBA in 2015, and beat the rest of the teams featuring 1st team All NBA players that year on the way (and yes, if people can say, "Isiah beat Magic", then I can say this).
* Being a leader - Curry's universally regarded as one of the most lovable and nice guys in the NBA. Isiah had problems with Dantley (whom was well liked in the Detroit locker room - Dumars has vocalised his disappointment here) and had problems with many other elite players in NBA history for various reasons, e.g. freezing Jordan out due to jealousy (not proven, but accused). Durant joined the Warriors after breaking the NBA win record partially BECAUSE of their style of play and tightly knit culture, of which Curry is the centrepiece.
* Sacrificing for the team - Curry sacrificed his touches in order to accommodate Durant.
* Versatility - Curry played primarily on-ball when winning his first title, and the previous year (on a very strong GS team in the ragtag west). He plays considerably off-ball now... and is probably the best off-ball offensive player in history (Larry Bird is the only one I'd even consider here).
Some of these, I don't even particularly care about, but Isiah still has no case. What
possible argument does Isiah even have over Curry?