Image ImageImage Image

Around The NBA: 2019-20 RESTART

Moderators: HomoSapien, Ice Man, dougthonus, Michael Jackson, Tommy Udo 6 , kulaz3000, fleet, DASMACKDOWN, GimmeDat, RedBulls23, AshyLarrysDiaper, coldfish, Payt10

MrSparkle
RealGM
Posts: 23,389
And1: 11,191
Joined: Jul 31, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1581 » by MrSparkle » Thu May 14, 2020 5:09 pm

dice wrote:
MrSparkle wrote:
dice wrote:classic strawman argument. you brought up an argument that nobody else did just so you could tear it down

nobody said anything about kerr, stockton and allen. but if you don't think they were way better 3 pt shooters than MJ, and would be today as well, i don't know what to tell you


he couldn't even be deadly on LOW volume! he was given the 3 pt shot whenever he wanted it, surely worked on it, yet wasn't particularly good at it


no, they absolutely would not. because they were spot-up point guards. they were not shooting guards who were very active off the ball running around screens trying to get open and they did not have the capability of creating their own shots

george hill career per 100 possessions: 21p 6a 2to 38.5% 3pt, 6 3pt attempts
steve kerr career per 100 possessions: 18p 5a 2to 45.5% 3pt, 5 3pt attempts

steve kerr would have been a better shooting version of george hill, whose volume is only slightly higher. kerr took 3 pt attempts at every opportunity because he was a specialist. that would not change today other than perhaps increased ball movement would find him slightly more attempts

the main reason 3 pt attempts are much higher today is that players who in prior eras were NOT 3 pt specialists are now shooting them. including big men and perimeter guys who would have been mid-range specialists in the past


It's not a straw man argument. The argument is that the great players of the 90s shot much less 3Ps than they do today.

and that's a fine argument. except that kerr and stockton would NOT be shooting many more 3s than they did

You are using statistics to argue that Jordan would not have been able to adapt to shooting the 3-ball as well as other stars in today's game

no i'm not. i'm using common sense. people are arguing that michael jordan in specific would be able to substantially raise both his volume as well as his PERCENTAGES in today's league. which is absurd. i mean, anything's possible, but it's simply not reasonable to think that jordan would abandon the rest of his scoring acumen to devote the amount of time necessary to become the kind of 3 pt shooter that teams take pains not to leave open

Jordan ranked #34 in 3P% in 92/93 (respectable 35% on 2.9 attempts), and FWIW, only 47 players qualified (probably needed at least 50 makes or something): https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_1993_per_game.html This was the year before they moved the line closer.

how does citing the fact that jordan was 34th out of 47 in percentage support your point?

Durant ranked #86 last year in 3P% (with a respectable 35% on 5 shots per game). The reason I make the comparison is because both are high-usage ball-handlers who also shared the rock with high-usage ball-handlers. Durant is considered one of the game's best 3P shooters, and he was only good for #86 while playing with the best 3P backcourt of all-time.

why are you cherry picking one of his worst seasons? he was 42% the previous season with the same teammates. he's 38% for his career on high volume

Jordan was #11 in 3P% come 95/96. Sure the line was closer, but it was also closer for everybody else in the league.

jordan was also really good with the mid-range shot. which is probably why he improved so much more than other 3 pt shooters those years. because the line was closer to his more natural range

and as someone who has excellent natural shooting range myself, i can tell you that when a person becomes accustomed to bombing away from a certain distance, moving in a bit doesn't necessarily help much

The argument is complicated because you're hypothetically saying that Jordan couldn't keep up with today's 3P demands, but all the data shows that he kept up with the 3P demands of his eras, and would likely continue meeting that demand in today's era. Obviously not on Curry's level, but on Lebron's or Durant's level.

lebron is not on durant's level. i agree that MJ would be on lebron's level, if not a bit better. lebron is at 34.4% for his career on 5.8 attempts per 100 possessions. jordan was 32.7% on 2.2 attempts

You can't say that Jordan's shrug game was a magic lucky night. It was a high-volume night, which was uncharacteristic.

what does it tell you when a guy shoots really well on uncharacteristically high volume? it tells you that he's in the zone. a zone that abandoned him after halftime. i've experienced being in the zone as well. and yes, it is magical. your brain chemistry goes into an altered state. your body feels more fluid. the basket seems twice as big. and then, *poof*, it's gone

If Ben Simmons or Dennis Rodman made 6 3Ps, I would consider that a magical night.



about as freakish as MJ making 6 in a row

a guy who makes 1/3 of his 3 pt attempts and who had as many attempts as jordan did in his career could be expected to make 6 in a row about 4 times in his career. just by sheer random luck. not even taking into account the "in the zone"/"feeling it" phenomenon, which happens to every shooter now and then

why are we pretending that MJ was trying real hard to make 3 pointers in the first half of one game in his career but didn't care if they went in for the remaining 1000+ games?


We’re gonna have to agree to disagree if you think Rodman making 3 in a row is equally freakish to Jordan making 6.

I’ll put my money on Jordan’s 6 , 7 days out of the week.
MrSparkle
RealGM
Posts: 23,389
And1: 11,191
Joined: Jul 31, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1582 » by MrSparkle » Thu May 14, 2020 5:22 pm

So as the NBA talks ideas for finishing the season, where does everyone stand?

1. Virtual Fans - yay or nay?

2. Condensed post-season (3, 5 or 7 game series, wild cards) or a total re-draw (1-and-done 30 team tournament after a few exhibitions)?

I honestly don’t really care what they do - will just be relieved to watch NBA action in the summer. My preference would be Kenny the Jet’s idea, making it the asterisk season it is and doing a 30-team March Madness style tourny. Benefit would be it could be contained to one month, and next season resumes on time. Normal post-season series will drag out, especially after a few reg. season warm-ups. Would have to imagine atleast 2 months.

I know Lebron and Giannis are probably really eager to do a normal post-season due to their #1 seeds, but with their depth chart and time to rest, I think Clippers will take the title pretty easily after this long lay-off. They basically needed Kawhi and George healthy in June, and with this unexpected load management, they are going to be the most talented 1-2 punch with role-players.

I don’t need virtual fans but it’s a pretty funny idea that would help excite the casual fan. I’m personally pretty stoked to seeing these guys compete without any fan pressure. Might be interesting as some guys‘ production flips- some may inadvertently become much better in the clutch, FT line, etc. with no fans in the stands, and others may lose intensity and effort.
MrSparkle
RealGM
Posts: 23,389
And1: 11,191
Joined: Jul 31, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1583 » by MrSparkle » Thu May 14, 2020 9:27 pm

Wow - cap might fall by $30m for next season. Otto is thanking the clouds for that player option.

Rough times for Dunn, Valentine and any other RFA. They might be best off taking the QO.

I don’t know if I can handle another year of PG log jam.
dice
RealGM
Posts: 44,080
And1: 13,019
Joined: Jun 30, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1584 » by dice » Fri May 15, 2020 1:57 am

MrSparkle wrote:
dice wrote:
MrSparkle wrote:
It's not a straw man argument. The argument is that the great players of the 90s shot much less 3Ps than they do today.

and that's a fine argument. except that kerr and stockton would NOT be shooting many more 3s than they did

You are using statistics to argue that Jordan would not have been able to adapt to shooting the 3-ball as well as other stars in today's game

no i'm not. i'm using common sense. people are arguing that michael jordan in specific would be able to substantially raise both his volume as well as his PERCENTAGES in today's league. which is absurd. i mean, anything's possible, but it's simply not reasonable to think that jordan would abandon the rest of his scoring acumen to devote the amount of time necessary to become the kind of 3 pt shooter that teams take pains not to leave open

Jordan ranked #34 in 3P% in 92/93 (respectable 35% on 2.9 attempts), and FWIW, only 47 players qualified (probably needed at least 50 makes or something): https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_1993_per_game.html This was the year before they moved the line closer.

how does citing the fact that jordan was 34th out of 47 in percentage support your point?

Durant ranked #86 last year in 3P% (with a respectable 35% on 5 shots per game). The reason I make the comparison is because both are high-usage ball-handlers who also shared the rock with high-usage ball-handlers. Durant is considered one of the game's best 3P shooters, and he was only good for #86 while playing with the best 3P backcourt of all-time.

why are you cherry picking one of his worst seasons? he was 42% the previous season with the same teammates. he's 38% for his career on high volume

Jordan was #11 in 3P% come 95/96. Sure the line was closer, but it was also closer for everybody else in the league.

jordan was also really good with the mid-range shot. which is probably why he improved so much more than other 3 pt shooters those years. because the line was closer to his more natural range

and as someone who has excellent natural shooting range myself, i can tell you that when a person becomes accustomed to bombing away from a certain distance, moving in a bit doesn't necessarily help much

The argument is complicated because you're hypothetically saying that Jordan couldn't keep up with today's 3P demands, but all the data shows that he kept up with the 3P demands of his eras, and would likely continue meeting that demand in today's era. Obviously not on Curry's level, but on Lebron's or Durant's level.

lebron is not on durant's level. i agree that MJ would be on lebron's level, if not a bit better. lebron is at 34.4% for his career on 5.8 attempts per 100 possessions. jordan was 32.7% on 2.2 attempts

You can't say that Jordan's shrug game was a magic lucky night. It was a high-volume night, which was uncharacteristic.

what does it tell you when a guy shoots really well on uncharacteristically high volume? it tells you that he's in the zone. a zone that abandoned him after halftime. i've experienced being in the zone as well. and yes, it is magical. your brain chemistry goes into an altered state. your body feels more fluid. the basket seems twice as big. and then, *poof*, it's gone

If Ben Simmons or Dennis Rodman made 6 3Ps, I would consider that a magical night.



about as freakish as MJ making 6 in a row

a guy who makes 1/3 of his 3 pt attempts and who had as many attempts as jordan did in his career could be expected to make 6 in a row about 4 times in his career. just by sheer random luck. not even taking into account the "in the zone"/"feeling it" phenomenon, which happens to every shooter now and then

why are we pretending that MJ was trying real hard to make 3 pointers in the first half of one game in his career but didn't care if they went in for the remaining 1000+ games?


We’re gonna have to agree to disagree if you think Rodman making 3 in a row is equally freakish to Jordan making 6.

I’ll put my money on Jordan’s 6 , 7 days out of the week.

either way, they're both freakish. which was my point. extrapolating a freakish occurrence to suggest that MJ could have been a consistently great 3 pt shooter doesn't make sense. again, using MJ's very modest career 3 pt %, he should have been EXPECTED to make 6 in a row a few times during his career. just by random variation. throw in the reality that players go on hot streaks that go beyond mere randomness and the expectation is even higher frequency of 6 in a row runs by average shooters

rodman went 0/1 from distance as a rookie. he missed his first 3 attempts over 45 games in his 2nd season. he then hit 5 of his next 7, a freakish occurrence, putting him at 45% for his career. nobody would take that very limited hot streak and assume that he could become a good 3 pt shooter. he missed his next 12

jordan made 6 in a row in the shrug game. in a single half. after going 5/16 over the entirety of the playoffs up to that point. freakish. then after that 6th make, he went 6/22 for the remainder of the series
God help Ukraine
God help those fleeing misery to come here
God help the Middle East
God help the climate
God help US health care
dice
RealGM
Posts: 44,080
And1: 13,019
Joined: Jun 30, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1585 » by dice » Fri May 15, 2020 5:41 am

so the salary cap might go from 115 mil to 95 mil for next season, which would put almost every team over the cap, including the bulls, who have 106 committed. and would both prevent free agents from signing w/ other teams and force most to sign small 1 yr deals w/ their current teams
God help Ukraine
God help those fleeing misery to come here
God help the Middle East
God help the climate
God help US health care
jmajew
Rookie
Posts: 1,194
And1: 356
Joined: Feb 12, 2009
         

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1586 » by jmajew » Fri May 15, 2020 11:38 am

dice wrote:so the salary cap might go from 115 mil to 95 mil for next season, which would put almost every team over the cap, including the bulls, who have 106 committed. and would both prevent free agents from signing w/ other teams and force most to sign small 1 yr deals w/ their current teams


I bet the players are now regretting their decision to take the big jump a few years ago instead of easing it in. The league may have been willing to do that here too.
MalagaBulls
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,067
And1: 2,223
Joined: Dec 15, 2013
Location: Malaga, Spain (Where the Sun shines 300 days a year))
         

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1587 » by MalagaBulls » Fri May 15, 2020 8:38 pm

Read on Twitter
terry
Senior
Posts: 693
And1: 276
Joined: Jul 16, 2010

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1588 » by terry » Fri May 15, 2020 10:33 pm

I read Adam Silver still wants to incorporate all 30 teams in play resumes.

What do you think about this.

They freeze the standings and current teams in the playoffs play as normal.

But for non-playoff teams, they play a separate tournament. Winner of the tournament gets 1st pick in the draft. If you made it to the championship, you get second pick, and so-on...
jmajew
Rookie
Posts: 1,194
And1: 356
Joined: Feb 12, 2009
         

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1589 » by jmajew » Sat May 16, 2020 1:52 pm

MrSparkle wrote:So as the NBA talks ideas for finishing the season, where does everyone stand?

1. Virtual Fans - yay or nay?

2. Condensed post-season (3, 5 or 7 game series, wild cards) or a total re-draw (1-and-done 30 team tournament after a few exhibitions)?

I honestly don’t really care what they do - will just be relieved to watch NBA action in the summer. My preference would be Kenny the Jet’s idea, making it the asterisk season it is and doing a 30-team March Madness style tourny. Benefit would be it could be contained to one month, and next season resumes on time. Normal post-season series will drag out, especially after a few reg. season warm-ups. Would have to imagine atleast 2 months.

I know Lebron and Giannis are probably really eager to do a normal post-season due to their #1 seeds, but with their depth chart and time to rest, I think Clippers will take the title pretty easily after this long lay-off. They basically needed Kawhi and George healthy in June, and with this unexpected load management, they are going to be the most talented 1-2 punch with role-players.

I don’t need virtual fans but it’s a pretty funny idea that would help excite the casual fan. I’m personally pretty stoked to seeing these guys compete without any fan pressure. Might be interesting as some guys‘ production flips- some may inadvertently become much better in the clutch, FT line, etc. with no fans in the stands, and others may lose intensity and effort.


I think the NBA should wait to start next Season until December. They will need to see if a second wave comes in the fall and the longer they wait the better the chances of having fans in the stadium. If they are waiting to December to start the season I'm all for finishing the season, then having 3 games series for the 1st round, 5 game series for 2nd round and conference finals. Then the finals be 7 games.
StunnerKO
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,017
And1: 3,143
Joined: Sep 25, 2017

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1590 » by StunnerKO » Sat May 16, 2020 5:46 pm

Read on Twitter
?s=21


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
User avatar
MrFortune3
General Manager
Posts: 8,694
And1: 3,278
Joined: Jul 03, 2010
         

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1591 » by MrFortune3 » Sun May 17, 2020 1:55 pm

jmajew wrote:
dice wrote:so the salary cap might go from 115 mil to 95 mil for next season, which would put almost every team over the cap, including the bulls, who have 106 committed. and would both prevent free agents from signing w/ other teams and force most to sign small 1 yr deals w/ their current teams


I bet the players are now regretting their decision to take the big jump a few years ago instead of easing it in. The league may have been willing to do that here too.


The cap would still fall quite a bit due to losses in revenue. From the China debacle earlier this season to the pandemic.
User avatar
jc23
RealGM
Posts: 27,457
And1: 12,249
Joined: May 31, 2010
Location: 1901 W.Madsion St
     

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1592 » by jc23 » Sun May 17, 2020 7:00 pm

Read on Twitter


haha
"Showing off is the fool's idea of glory"

-Bruce Lee
User avatar
rtblues
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,802
And1: 2,577
Joined: Jul 12, 2008

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1593 » by rtblues » Wed May 20, 2020 11:50 am

This proposed idea is interesting.
Report: Some NBA executives want amnesty clause to return
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nba/report-some-nba-executives-want-amnesty-clause-to-return/ar-BB14bMFR
Bye-bye Otto... ;-)
"I wouldn’t call it a rebuild; more of a retool.” - Gar Forman, June 2016
jmajew
Rookie
Posts: 1,194
And1: 356
Joined: Feb 12, 2009
         

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1594 » by jmajew » Thu May 21, 2020 2:11 pm

MrFortune3 wrote:
jmajew wrote:
dice wrote:so the salary cap might go from 115 mil to 95 mil for next season, which would put almost every team over the cap, including the bulls, who have 106 committed. and would both prevent free agents from signing w/ other teams and force most to sign small 1 yr deals w/ their current teams


I bet the players are now regretting their decision to take the big jump a few years ago instead of easing it in. The league may have been willing to do that here too.


The cap would still fall quite a bit due to losses in revenue. From the China debacle earlier this season to the pandemic.


I completely forgot about that. Morey has to be hated around the league.
User avatar
Southpaw
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,972
And1: 764
Joined: Jul 23, 2011
 

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1595 » by Southpaw » Fri May 22, 2020 12:32 pm

rtblues wrote:This proposed idea is interesting.
Report: Some NBA executives want amnesty clause to return
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nba/report-some-nba-executives-want-amnesty-clause-to-return/ar-BB14bMFR
Bye-bye Otto... ;-)

Yeah this could get interesting. A lot of star players could be amnestied (Love, Wall, Paul, Westbrook etc) who could shake up the league. Not to mention the solid roleplayers like Otto.
MrSparkle
RealGM
Posts: 23,389
And1: 11,191
Joined: Jul 31, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1596 » by MrSparkle » Fri May 22, 2020 1:00 pm

Southpaw wrote:
rtblues wrote:This proposed idea is interesting.
Report: Some NBA executives want amnesty clause to return
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nba/report-some-nba-executives-want-amnesty-clause-to-return/ar-BB14bMFR
Bye-bye Otto... ;-)

Yeah this could get interesting. A lot of star players could be amnestied (Love, Wall, Paul, Westbrook etc) who could shake up the league. Not to mention the solid roleplayers like Otto.


Another GM bailout.

I’d imagine Felicio gets the axe sooner than Otto. Unless the guy is headed to an early retirement, he’ll have expiring trade value and was pretty good in those 3 last games (albeit limited minutes).

I’m not sure how many guys get amnestied in the short-term. Wasn’t the catch that you still owe however much remaining salary the bidding team didn’t cover? With every team being over the cap, eating 2-3 years of huge salary is unlikely. I imagine most hold on to their clause for atleast 1 or 2 years (like Bulls with Boozer) and save it for when free agency opens up. Could be the difference of $50m.
wonderboy2
Analyst
Posts: 3,151
And1: 1,949
Joined: Jul 05, 2013

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1597 » by wonderboy2 » Fri May 22, 2020 1:37 pm

StunnerKO wrote:
Read on Twitter
?s=21


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Would’ve been a 100 times better signing then Sato.
samwana
RealGM
Posts: 10,019
And1: 2,620
Joined: Jul 24, 2002
Location: Munich (Germany)
 

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1598 » by samwana » Fri May 22, 2020 5:04 pm

wonderboy2 wrote:
StunnerKO wrote:
Read on Twitter
?s=21


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Would’ve been a 100 times better signing then Sato.
How is that even possible, didn't he retire before free agency started?

Sent from my POT-LX1 using RealGM mobile app
Chi town
RealGM
Posts: 29,427
And1: 9,099
Joined: Aug 10, 2004

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1599 » by Chi town » Fri May 22, 2020 5:43 pm

wonderboy2 wrote:
StunnerKO wrote:
Read on Twitter
?s=21


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Would’ve been a 100 times better signing then Sato.


Pax made it clear he was the target. When he retired he made a big mistake w Sato.
Chi town
RealGM
Posts: 29,427
And1: 9,099
Joined: Aug 10, 2004

Re: Around The NBA: 2019-20 Season #2 

Post#1600 » by Chi town » Fri May 22, 2020 5:45 pm

Crazy to see NBA planning I’m finishing out regular season and shortening next season. You’d think opposite w fans returning 2nd half of next full season... lots of wasted money there JMO.

Return to Chicago Bulls