Jedzz wrote:Klomp wrote:If you think every player is guaranteed to become a lower-percentage shooter in all categories than what he was in college, by all means stay away away from Maxey because if college 3-point shooting is the only way to measure if someone will become a good NBA 3-point shooter, you're right that Maxey's probably doomed.
I don't believe college 3-point shooting is indicative of much though. As you said, even Okogie went from being a good college 3-point shooter to being crap from long range in the NBA. So obviously there's not a straight line that's able to be drawn.
Why are you just focusing on 3pt shooting? I just showed you he's lower than these other two in many other things. The only thing he's proven better at in college is Def rating and he's basically equal there with Haliburton. He's lower in % on both 3s and 2s and FT, He's shorter, with less wingspan. Frankly he would have to become enormously better offensively and maintain it just to get near what JMac just showed us. At least Haliburton is already off the charts shooting and brings a good def rating with him.
As Okogie and Culver as examples go, they show it's likely there will be a drop in numbers while jumping to the higher level. I would propose this is typical and is a large reason for so many players not making it long term. Doesn't mean either of these two or new guys can't start slow and then become better. But in those cases, like our two cases now, your team needs to not force them into massive minute roles. With Maxey, if it was just 3pt shooting we could all just be hopeful. But the only thing offensively that looked at all consistent is the FT shooting. What else did?
His college defensive rating is one thing. But his size will likely nullify some of that a little. Okogie is a 113 both years so far. If Maxey doesn't get any taller he may put a lot into it and still not amount to much defensively. In two years people might admit he's the same as JMac defensively, we'll see. But I suppose if someone drafts him high, the talk with be high for a while regardless. I don't see 6-4 Dunn changing game outcomes for Chicago out of pure defense. Remember that top5 pick? Guy can't be relied on to shoot. We need to stop making those choices and risking it when better proven shooters might be available.
I like Halliburton and wingspan, but he shoots the ball differently everytime, and he is not creator.
