Doctor MJ wrote:Dr Positivity wrote:With such a stacked pool I’m probably not going to vote for Lucas. His career fell apart obviously after a few years
I think it's really important to note that he becomes an all-star again 6 years after the championship. and he kept playing for another half decade afterward retiring at 35. He's no Kareem of course, but there are lots of guys who careers actually did fall apart after only a few years and never did anything else after that. Lucas isn't that. Quite honestly, I don't know if there's much reason to think he was worse at 30 than he was in his heyday.
My bad, for some reason I thought he got derailed by off court issues in the 80s, but I can’t find much (maybe someone mentioned the Lucas name and drugs together and I mixed it up). I still think his career after the Blazers is only ok though.
Doctor MJ wrote:I think maybe the most interesting thing about the late '70s Sonics is that we know exactly what made them go from bad to good and when it happened:
Lenny Wilkens took over as coach midseason, promoted Dennis Johnson and Jack Sikma, and the team went from a 5-17 team to one that almost won the championship that exact year, and did win it the next year with Johnson & Sikma as the 2 big minute guys. Gus Williams was a new arrival this year but had been featured from the beginning of the season. He was a major part of that much-worse-than-the-previous-year that resulted in the coaching change.
I’m not sure holding the team’s 5-17 start against Gus because he was playing more minutes is totally fair. There may be a reason why this Bob Hopkins guy’s head coaching career lasted 22 games and was playing Johnson and Sikma like 10 minutes a game at the start of the year (Wtf?). Gus holdout year also looks favourable for him as they went from 56 W to 34 wins (DJ for Westphal trade as well) and then back to 52. They also got worse when he left the second time (42 wins to 31 with a really bad point differential)
There's also the matter that the Sonics were winning with defense, and basically all of the major Sonics are showered with defensive praise except Williams - with DJ of course getting tons of a defensive adulation. Williams role was to be the scorer. He did so with an efficiency that left a lot to be desired.
While this is true, you still need to score enough to win, and a player who put up 27ppg in the playoffs and 29ppg in the finals and was an elite speed guy breaking down the defense was going to be valuable for them. His efficiency is fine in my opinion, starting in 79 he was more efficient than DJ and Sikma.
From 78-80 they get progressive better on offense, and it would make sense to me if Gus value compare to DJ and Sikma increases. By 78 I would probably go with the latter 2, but by 80 he is starting to have a pretty big gap in stats like WS and BPM and is putting up the 22ppg, and the team is more offensively minded than before (8th offense, 3rd defense). DJ and him have about the same accolades with 2nd team All-NBA and a few fractional MVP votes good for 5th/7th. 79 is probably somewhere in the middle but he does well in the playoffs. It’s also possible that the 1980 Sonics team is actually the best team, they just ran into the Lakers. I’m definitely unconvinced the 78 team is any more impressive than them.
Back to Lucas being the #2 on the Blazers: I don't think it's crazy to argue that someone else had the 2nd most on-court value of the Blazers, but aside from the off-court value, what is clear is that the Blazers won the title relying primarily on Walton & Lucas. Lucas played the most in the regular season by a significant margin, and his MPG only went up in the playoffs (where Walton's MPG went way up and surpassed him).
My only issue with Lucas is that if you look at the way the Blazers succeeded which was passing and off the ball IQ, I would say the guy who took the most shots on the team on a mediocre % while being one of the worst passers of the rotation guys, probably had less to do with creating that style of play than other players. I suggested Gross may have a shot to be more valuable because a wing secondary playmaker who plays defense and seems to be one of those always in the right spots glue guy reputations, seems like it would be one of the things that makes that team what it was (Walton’s very Walton like article about him
https://www.espn.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=walton_bill&id=3782004). Then again in accolades it wasn’t very close so it may be a reach, and Lucas is good on defense and two and makes 2 All-D teams. I’m not sure if being the #1 intimidating physicality guy in the league guarantees you’re a good defender and I wouldn’t be surprised if some voters caped for that alone, but I don’t have enough reason to doubt it either. I will also add that Lucas did had good stats in the Blazers 77 run in both passing and TS%.