j4remi wrote:GONYK wrote:It's interesting that you bring up Bitecofer's analysis and the Lincoln Project, since she is on the board for the Lincoln Project and a strategist for them. She's also a huge admirer of Rick Wilson and doesn't hide it in the slightest.
I still haven't seen what the risk is here. It's a move that can potentially add voters, and doesn't really run a risk of taking any away. It's not like Kasich now gets to shape the platform or be a member of task forces. He won't even bring up policy.
He's just a familiar voice to a group of voters who would mortally wound Trump.
I don't think anyone is pretending that we're all the same party now, or that this is a long term alliance.
Bitcofer's involvement doesn't change a) her theory about how voters vote (ie: left votes left or stays home and vice versa for right)
I think this is debatable. There has been clear statistical movement of people who identify as Republican leaving Trump and declaring themselves as Biden voters this time around. Rachel herself said that there are more persuadable R's right now than her model accounted for in February. Of course, it took a horrendously managed pandemic, racial riots in the streets, and a Trump resorting to outright facism to make it happen. Either way, there is an opportunity this time around to activate voters who wouldn't normally vote for you, and it comes at no political risk. Why pass that up?
or b) the Bush administration members that are using it to regain footholds politically after they wielded political influence in a disastrous manner.
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As far as these guys pasts, I don't care. They know how to win elections, and that is all that matters IMO.
Well I wasn't aiming to convince you that Kasich is risky, idk if you read past the part you zeroed in on but I specifically closed out by saying Kasich's one of the few guys I think is actually a decent individual.
Oh man, don't let Wingy hear you say that
That's why I shifted to speaking on the risks of the Lincoln Project taking donations from more worthwhile endeavors.
As long as they are fighting Trump, their endeavor is as worthwhile as anyone else.
What do we tangibly have to point to that says it's not the same party? Beyond rhetoric we have the same power players that were wheeling and dealing in the 90's. That's not to say they won't be different, but is there an actual action that you think proves this is a new guard? Because they've kinda sucked at the Congressional level and Biden's got one actual bold proposal with the rest being incremental steps from the last platform (actually unless he moved on it, I'm pretty sure Hillary's Medicare expansion was bigger).
When I say "the same party", I meant Kasich Republicans and Dems.
If you are saying that the Dems now are the same party they were 8 years ago, we could have a debate about that. It doesn't really matter though, because it's what Primary voters cast their ballots for. There is of course nuance to that, but a clear choice was made.
So wherever Joe ends up, that's where we'll be until the political math of the situation dictates otherwise. I think he's moved left from where he started though.