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2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th!

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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#981 » by Leslie Forman » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:30 pm

coldfish wrote:Trade up for Edwards or trade out of the pick. Wendell + #4 for #1. Who says no?

Minnesota, unfortunately. Wendell is an awful fit with Towns. Unless someone like Brad Beal or Ben Simmons is available I think they're just gonna stick with picking the one high ceiling guy in this draft.

I've resorted to looking deep for possible Lowry/VanVleet/Dragic sleeper point guards. This is probably going to follow most awful drafts and end up with its best player being, like, the 19th pick.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#982 » by PlayerUp » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:07 pm

Leslie Forman wrote:This is probably going to follow most awful drafts and end up with its best player being, like, the 19th pick.


Probably? Statistically the odds of this happening are next to nothing. The best players are at the top. If teams are letting the best player slip to #19 then they aren't doing a good job with their scouting.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#983 » by drosereturn » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:30 pm

Leslie Forman wrote:
coldfish wrote:Trade up for Edwards or trade out of the pick. Wendell + #4 for #1. Who says no?

Minnesota, unfortunately. Wendell is an awful fit with Towns. Unless someone like Brad Beal or Ben Simmons is available I think they're just gonna stick with picking the one high ceiling guy in this draft.

I've resorted to looking deep for possible Lowry/VanVleet/Dragic sleeper point guards. This is probably going to follow most awful drafts and end up with its best player being, like, the 19th pick.


Like why the hell is Wendell's trade value so horrible? Man I cannot believe a promising 2nd yr from Duke is not even worth moving up 3 spots in the weakest draft OF ALL TIME. Just such a horrible pick at the time giving me nightmare till this day when Mikal was there.

This Bulls roster is a joke. You trade everyone and you cant even get Ben Simmons. No wonder they cant make any trades bc all their players from Lavine to Felicio stink. And your not even getting number 1 picks despite being horrible so your just stuck 10th seed treadmill team like the Hornets for eternity.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#984 » by Leslie Forman » Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:49 pm

I think I'm jumping on the Paul Reed bandwagon. His tape jumps out at you in a way I don't think anyone else's but Edwards's does. His shooting form is janky as hell but apparently everyone in this draft has a janky shot so whatevs. I suspect he will shoot up into the teens eventually because he has absolutely no business being stuck in the second round.

PlayerUp wrote:Probably? Statistically the odds of this happening are next to nothing. The best players are at the top.

Every draft has some surprise sleepers, but all-time awful drafts in the low info high school/one-and-done era that don't have a clear stud or two at the top (like this one) are ripe for some random unheralded guy to end up being the best player, because the rest of the class is so weak. Hence you end up with 2000 and 2013.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#985 » by PlayerUp » Mon Aug 24, 2020 11:16 pm

Leslie Forman wrote:Every draft has some surprise sleepers, but all-time awful drafts in the low info high school/one-and-done era that don't have a clear stud or two at the top (like this one) are ripe for some random unheralded guy to end up being the best player, because the rest of the class is so weak. Hence you end up with 2000 and 2013.


I actually think this draft could end up being similar to 2014. Lots of busts in the lottery and talented prospects in the late 1st and early 2nd round.

Too many undevelopment freshman, international and quality sophomores in this draft to be as weak as 2013 and 2000. You're right that there will be sleepers. Could be alot of them as well.

If AK isn't sold on any of these prospects and likes someone later, trading down is ultimately the route we should go.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#986 » by weneeda2guard » Mon Aug 24, 2020 11:21 pm

I'm sold on obi toppin
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#987 » by PlayerUp » Mon Aug 24, 2020 11:42 pm

weneeda2guard wrote:I'm sold on obi toppin


Initially his age seems like a turnoff but it shouldn't be. He's a sophomore and a late bloomer that is just now rounding out his skillsets figuring it out. It's one thing if you're a senior at his age just graduating but he started late.

Obi Toppin is quite possibly our best bet to be a #1 option among the lottery picks. High motor, strong, athletic. May have the "it" factor. We should not discount him because of his age and other flaws in his game.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#988 » by dice » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:04 am

PlayerUp wrote:
Leslie Forman wrote:This is probably going to follow most awful drafts and end up with its best player being, like, the 19th pick.


Probably? Statistically the odds of this happening are next to nothing.

happens quite a lot in drafts where there's not surefire talent (most drafts). drafting is much more of a crap shoot than you seem to think. best player in draft according to career VORP:

2018 doncic (3)
2017 mitchell (13)
2016 simmons (1)
2015 KAT (1)
2014 jokic (41)
2013 giannis (15)
2012 AD (1)
2011 kawhi (15)
2010 PG (10)
2009 harden (3)
2008 westbrook (4)
2007 durant (2)
2006 lowry (24)
2005 cp3 (4)
2004 iggy hop (9)
2003 lebron (1)
2002 boozer (35)
2001 pau (3)
2000 redd (43)

beyond lebron has there even been good HOF bet coming out of the draft in the last 20 years? AD?
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#989 » by dice » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:11 am

nbadraft.net user consensus (343 contributors):

1 wolves anthony edwards
2 warriors james wiseman
3 hornets lamelo ball
4 bulls deni avdija
5 cavs obi toppin
6 hawks cole anthony
7 pistons tyrese haliburton
8 knicks onyeka okongwu
9 wizards killian hayes

91 most recent contributors have somewhat different order:

4 bulls toppin
5 cavs avdija
6 hawks okongwu
7 pistons hayes
8 knicks haliburton
9 wizards okoro

13 pelicans anthony

can't find a large sample "expert" consensus
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#990 » by GimmeDat » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:35 am

_txchilibowl_ wrote:
Jordan Syndrome wrote:
Spoiler:
Showtime23 wrote:
no wisemans height, wingspan, athleticism is at worst a top 3 pick in this draft.
its not like his jumper is broken to the point he will be limited to Whiteside/Capella.
Center position you need as much athleticism as possible to overpower your opponent like a Shaq/Howard enforcer.
Just look at our own Gafford. Him having elite athleticism is what makes him distinguishes from someone like Carter who is so slow and overweight he is getting useless. But Gafford alone is enough and Wiseman is several times better version of him with range that can extend to the 3.

Obviously, a lot will depend on which team he will get drafted to. He will be a stud if he gets taught by Dray but I still want Chicago to nab him if Edwards and Ball are gone.


I think you should be careful with engaging with people who believe they can analyze a high school player with any sort of accuracy as "GimmeDat" does. I am sure the guy knows a lot more about specific prospects than I do but if someone posting on the internet is able to make claims of a guy widely regarded as a top-5 pick as "Arguably 4th best big man in the draft" means the guy is either a genius and should be hired by an NBA Team yesterday, or is very emotional about players in this draft and likely shouldn't be engaged with in meaningful discussion regarding the draft. Food for thought.

I think the best thing the Bulls can do with the pick is use it as a cornerstone trade for Embiid or Simmons. As soon as Philly hires a new GM the Bulls need to be on the phone with a strong offer, something like #4, 2022 Unprotected 1st, Lauri and Otto for Embiid.



If GimmeDat is saying it I'm listening closely. He's been one of the best draft evaluators we've had on this board for a while....


Appreciate that.

I'm not personally claiming to have seen heaps of him before the college level - I've seen a few games, nothing more.. but it is stuff that is line with the small sample we did see at college, and in line with a lot better evaluators that I follow on different platforms that feel the same way about him.

Declaring him 'arguably the 4th best big in the draft' isn't as crazy as it sounds. Here as some examples of evaluators that I regard highly, and their boards. Take note of both Poku and Wiseman -

Spoiler:
Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20


You don't have to hold those opinions with any weight if you don't know those individuals, but at least know I'm not alone in my opinion. It's also worth noting that there are others they don't have Poku in the lottery at all either - he is definitely more divisive.. but then again, a number of the above don't have Wiseman top 10, either. The last tweet there is from Spencer, who is from the Knicks board and arguably the most well regarded draft analyst on the realgm boards. He's worked with NBA franchises.

I'm not trying to come across as some draft savant, just expressing my own opinion, take it for what you will. I think he's somewhere in that crop of Okongwu, Wiseman, Toppin and himself as the top 4 bigs in this draft. Hopefully that explains why I think Wiseman is *arguably* the 4th best big in the draft.

Showtime23 wrote:no wisemans height, wingspan, athleticism is at worst a top 3 pick in this draft.
its not like his jumper is broken to the point he will be limited to Whiteside/Capella.
Center position you need as much athleticism as possible to overpower your opponent like a Shaq/Howard enforcer.
Just look at our own Gafford. Him having elite athleticism is what makes him distinguishes from someone like Carter who is so slow and overweight he is getting useless. But Gafford alone is not enough and Wiseman is several times better version of him with range that can extend to the 3. Theres not a single wing/guard prospect thats simply better than Wiseman when they are unproven as well.

Obviously, a lot will depend on which team he will get drafted to. He will be a stud if he gets taught by Dray but I still want Chicago to nab him if Edwards and Ball are gone.


I think your comparison is a good example of where our player evaluation differs, because I find WCJ to be a far superior player to Gafford.

There's far more to the C position than being tall, athletic and long. Gafford is close to elite in all those respects, and he is a backup C. If you just want a guy to rim run and protect the paint, those guys are actually relatively dime a dozen. Obviously Wiseman has some projection as a shooter, which is good, but it's not an outlier skill of his.

It's also about how you use those physical tools - these are some less than ideal examples -

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I'm not trying to say Wiseman won't be a good NBA player, but I do think he's overrated.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#991 » by TheSuzerain » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:48 am

Yeah **** like that is alarming.

You almost want the less skilled guy who knows his role at center rather than the "skilled big" who shoots a decent chunk of shots on turnarounds and stuff in the mid range.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#992 » by ILOVEIT » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:49 am

GimmeDat wrote:
_txchilibowl_ wrote:
Jordan Syndrome wrote:
Spoiler:


I think you should be careful with engaging with people who believe they can analyze a high school player with any sort of accuracy as "GimmeDat" does. I am sure the guy knows a lot more about specific prospects than I do but if someone posting on the internet is able to make claims of a guy widely regarded as a top-5 pick as "Arguably 4th best big man in the draft" means the guy is either a genius and should be hired by an NBA Team yesterday, or is very emotional about players in this draft and likely shouldn't be engaged with in meaningful discussion regarding the draft. Food for thought.

I think the best thing the Bulls can do with the pick is use it as a cornerstone trade for Embiid or Simmons. As soon as Philly hires a new GM the Bulls need to be on the phone with a strong offer, something like #4, 2022 Unprotected 1st, Lauri and Otto for Embiid.



If GimmeDat is saying it I'm listening closely. He's been one of the best draft evaluators we've had on this board for a while....


Appreciate that.

I'm not personally claiming to have seen heaps of him before the college level - I've seen a few games, nothing more.. but it is stuff that is line with the small sample we did see at college, and in line with a lot better evaluators that I follow on different platforms that feel the same way about him.

Declaring him 'arguably the 4th best big in the draft' isn't as crazy as it sounds. Here as some examples of evaluators that I regard highly, and their boards. Take note of both Poku and Wiseman -

Spoiler:
Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20


You don't have to hold those opinions with any weight if you don't know those individuals, but at least know I'm not alone in my opinion. It's also worth noting that there are others they don't have Poku in the lottery at all either - he is definitely more divisive.. but then again, a number of the above don't have Wiseman top 10, either. The last tweet there is from Spencer, who is from the Knicks board and arguably the most well regarded draft analyst on the realgm boards. He's worked with NBA franchises.

I'm not trying to come across as some draft savant, just expressing my own opinion, take it for what you will. I think he's somewhere in that crop of Okongwu, Wiseman, Toppin and himself as the top 4 bigs in this draft. Hopefully that explains why I think Wiseman is *arguably* the 4th best big in the draft.

Showtime23 wrote:no wisemans height, wingspan, athleticism is at worst a top 3 pick in this draft.
its not like his jumper is broken to the point he will be limited to Whiteside/Capella.
Center position you need as much athleticism as possible to overpower your opponent like a Shaq/Howard enforcer.
Just look at our own Gafford. Him having elite athleticism is what makes him distinguishes from someone like Carter who is so slow and overweight he is getting useless. But Gafford alone is not enough and Wiseman is several times better version of him with range that can extend to the 3. Theres not a single wing/guard prospect thats simply better than Wiseman when they are unproven as well.

Obviously, a lot will depend on which team he will get drafted to. He will be a stud if he gets taught by Dray but I still want Chicago to nab him if Edwards and Ball are gone.


I think your comparison is a good example of where our player evaluation differs, because I find WCJ to be a far superior player to Gafford.

There's far more to the C position than being tall, athletic and long. Gafford is close to elite in all those respects, and he is a backup C. If you just want a guy to rim run and protect the paint, those guys are actually relatively dime a dozen. Obviously Wiseman has some projection as a shooter, which is good, but it's not an outlier skill of his.

It's also about how you use those physical tools - these are some less than ideal examples -

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I'm not trying to say Wiseman won't be a good NBA player, but I do think he's overrated.


Warrior fan...come in peace :) It's really good to show the lowlights instead of just the highlights. Wiseman could be the next David Robinson...OR...the next Anthony Randolph lol

We are mostly thinking Wiseman but I'm big on Deni....I think the NBA has put much less importance on the big guy. Teams like Utah, Denver, heck even Philly this year, are sort of anchored in the past and have a limit on how far they can go with a big guy going one on one for a few minutes...and can't defend the outside.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#993 » by Chi town » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:58 am

TheSuzerain wrote:Yeah **** like that is alarming.

You almost want the less skilled guy who knows his role at center rather than the "skilled big" who shoots a decent chunk of shots on turnarounds and stuff in the mid range.


This is why I like Gafford.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#994 » by MrFortune3 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:28 am

sco wrote:
MrFortune3 wrote:
kulaz3000 wrote:Not a fan of Wiseman either.

We already have a player who can do what Wiseman can do in Gafford.


Wiseman is a different breed than anything we have on the roster. Disliking Wiseman is one thing, saying something like this is just disingenuous.

Statistically, using a high pick on a big man in the top 5 picks in recent years has shown not to be a good pick. IMO, Wiseman's appeal is that he's shown less last season, and most didn't like what they saw from others. So it's like saying "I know these other guys' aren't stars, I haven't seen you, so I must like you better - despite the fact that you showed nothing special."

I will say kudos to Wiseman for getting the most value out of not playing.


The appeal isn't that he showed less, it's that he was a stud in HS and similar to MPJ from the last draft did not get a chance to showcase everything so he be molded with the right staff.

Far as the recent top 5 picks being used on big men, it depends on the team like with anyone player.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#995 » by cjbulls » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:46 am

GimmeDat wrote:
_txchilibowl_ wrote:
Jordan Syndrome wrote:
Spoiler:


I think you should be careful with engaging with people who believe they can analyze a high school player with any sort of accuracy as "GimmeDat" does. I am sure the guy knows a lot more about specific prospects than I do but if someone posting on the internet is able to make claims of a guy widely regarded as a top-5 pick as "Arguably 4th best big man in the draft" means the guy is either a genius and should be hired by an NBA Team yesterday, or is very emotional about players in this draft and likely shouldn't be engaged with in meaningful discussion regarding the draft. Food for thought.

I think the best thing the Bulls can do with the pick is use it as a cornerstone trade for Embiid or Simmons. As soon as Philly hires a new GM the Bulls need to be on the phone with a strong offer, something like #4, 2022 Unprotected 1st, Lauri and Otto for Embiid.



If GimmeDat is saying it I'm listening closely. He's been one of the best draft evaluators we've had on this board for a while....


Appreciate that.

I'm not personally claiming to have seen heaps of him before the college level - I've seen a few games, nothing more.. but it is stuff that is line with the small sample we did see at college, and in line with a lot better evaluators that I follow on different platforms that feel the same way about him.

Declaring him 'arguably the 4th best big in the draft' isn't as crazy as it sounds. Here as some examples of evaluators that I regard highly, and their boards. Take note of both Poku and Wiseman -

Spoiler:
Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20


You don't have to hold those opinions with any weight if you don't know those individuals, but at least know I'm not alone in my opinion. It's also worth noting that there are others they don't have Poku in the lottery at all either - he is definitely more divisive.. but then again, a number of the above don't have Wiseman top 10, either. The last tweet there is from Spencer, who is from the Knicks board and arguably the most well regarded draft analyst on the realgm boards. He's worked with NBA franchises.

I'm not trying to come across as some draft savant, just expressing my own opinion, take it for what you will. I think he's somewhere in that crop of Okongwu, Wiseman, Toppin and himself as the top 4 bigs in this draft. Hopefully that explains why I think Wiseman is *arguably* the 4th best big in the draft.

Showtime23 wrote:no wisemans height, wingspan, athleticism is at worst a top 3 pick in this draft.
its not like his jumper is broken to the point he will be limited to Whiteside/Capella.
Center position you need as much athleticism as possible to overpower your opponent like a Shaq/Howard enforcer.
Just look at our own Gafford. Him having elite athleticism is what makes him distinguishes from someone like Carter who is so slow and overweight he is getting useless. But Gafford alone is not enough and Wiseman is several times better version of him with range that can extend to the 3. Theres not a single wing/guard prospect thats simply better than Wiseman when they are unproven as well.

Obviously, a lot will depend on which team he will get drafted to. He will be a stud if he gets taught by Dray but I still want Chicago to nab him if Edwards and Ball are gone.


I think your comparison is a good example of where our player evaluation differs, because I find WCJ to be a far superior player to Gafford.

There's far more to the C position than being tall, athletic and long. Gafford is close to elite in all those respects, and he is a backup C. If you just want a guy to rim run and protect the paint, those guys are actually relatively dime a dozen. Obviously Wiseman has some projection as a shooter, which is good, but it's not an outlier skill of his.

It's also about how you use those physical tools - these are some less than ideal examples -

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I'm not trying to say Wiseman won't be a good NBA player, but I do think he's overrated.


I mean, if this is the worst you have on an 18 yo center playing their first collegiate games, I'm not sure if you proved your point. Surely we aren't going to nitpick a couple of hand selected bad decisions? And yes, I am one who hates when people post mix tapes as well.

I'm not a big Wiseman fan, but I see the appeal of picking him. He arguably has the highest upside of any player in the draft, despite being a center.I always thought the general rule of thumb for bad drafts is to just take the highest upside player because you're likely to miss no matter who you pick.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#996 » by weneeda2guard » Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:09 am

PlayerUp wrote:
weneeda2guard wrote:I'm sold on obi toppin


Initially his age seems like a turnoff but it shouldn't be. He's a sophomore and a late bloomer that is just now rounding out his skillsets figuring it out. It's one thing if you're a senior at his age just graduating but he started late.

Obi Toppin is quite possibly our best bet to be a #1 option among the lottery picks. High motor, strong, athletic. May have the "it" factor. We should not discount him because of his age and other flaws in his game.

I really believe if he was given the opportunity to perform in March madness he would have played himself into a top 2 pick. We need to find the steal in the draftnajd and I think he might be it. I see the work ethic as he played himself into a top draft pick he has a back to the basket game he can score from outside he plays above the rim and as you said he has that it factor. I think he legit might be the one a few years from now teams will be asking why did they pass him up.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#997 » by GimmeDat » Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:12 am

cjbulls wrote:
I mean, if this is the worst you have on an 18 yo center playing their first collegiate games, I'm not sure if you proved your point. Surely we aren't going to nitpick a couple of hand selected bad decisions? And yes, I am one who hates when people post mix tapes as well.

I'm not a big Wiseman fan, but I see the appeal of picking him. He arguably has the highest upside of any player in the draft, despite being a center.I always thought the general rule of thumb for bad drafts is to just take the highest upside player because you're likely to miss no matter who you pick.


Those clips aren't my arguments against Wiseman. There's a bunch of knocks - he's not very good laterally, his awareness/help on D isn't very good, not a good passer and can't create shots for himself really. If you want a detailed breakdown, this is an amazing article from the same guy, Spencer -

https://www.thestepien.com/2020/01/24/james-wiseman-scouting-report/

If we go back to my initial comparison with Poku, it's hard not to think that Poku has higher upside. He's listed at 7 foot, apparently he's grown another inch and a half since then, he's further along as a catch and shoot player and has shown the ability to shoot off basically guard actions, off movement, pulling up, etc... his passing is some of the best we've seen from a big basically ever, has great 'stocks' and is a solid rebounder.

It's more of a risk in terms of him putting on the strength to defend and score adequately in the paint, but he's probably a 4 full-time, plus his base is actually solid, he's just got a stick thin upper body right now.. but he's also the youngest player in the draft.

Look at these statistical pre-draft comparisons -

Image

If swinging for ultimate upside is the goal, Poku's the guy, imo. Will he go top 10? Highly unlikely. Should he? I think, probably.

I think there's this conflation between being massive/doing exciting blocks/dunks equaling high upside that is making everyone think Wiseman has a high upside. Wiseman is a damn gazelle down the court, and can dunk the **** out of the ball when he gets to load up. But I dare say Poku's actual fluidity of movement and coordination for his size are similarly freakish in terms of athleticism.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#998 » by PaKii94 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:13 am

cjbulls wrote:
GimmeDat wrote:
_txchilibowl_ wrote:

If GimmeDat is saying it I'm listening closely. He's been one of the best draft evaluators we've had on this board for a while....


Appreciate that.

I'm not personally claiming to have seen heaps of him before the college level - I've seen a few games, nothing more.. but it is stuff that is line with the small sample we did see at college, and in line with a lot better evaluators that I follow on different platforms that feel the same way about him.

Declaring him 'arguably the 4th best big in the draft' isn't as crazy as it sounds. Here as some examples of evaluators that I regard highly, and their boards. Take note of both Poku and Wiseman -

Spoiler:
Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20


You don't have to hold those opinions with any weight if you don't know those individuals, but at least know I'm not alone in my opinion. It's also worth noting that there are others they don't have Poku in the lottery at all either - he is definitely more divisive.. but then again, a number of the above don't have Wiseman top 10, either. The last tweet there is from Spencer, who is from the Knicks board and arguably the most well regarded draft analyst on the realgm boards. He's worked with NBA franchises.

I'm not trying to come across as some draft savant, just expressing my own opinion, take it for what you will. I think he's somewhere in that crop of Okongwu, Wiseman, Toppin and himself as the top 4 bigs in this draft. Hopefully that explains why I think Wiseman is *arguably* the 4th best big in the draft.

Showtime23 wrote:no wisemans height, wingspan, athleticism is at worst a top 3 pick in this draft.
its not like his jumper is broken to the point he will be limited to Whiteside/Capella.
Center position you need as much athleticism as possible to overpower your opponent like a Shaq/Howard enforcer.
Just look at our own Gafford. Him having elite athleticism is what makes him distinguishes from someone like Carter who is so slow and overweight he is getting useless. But Gafford alone is not enough and Wiseman is several times better version of him with range that can extend to the 3. Theres not a single wing/guard prospect thats simply better than Wiseman when they are unproven as well.

Obviously, a lot will depend on which team he will get drafted to. He will be a stud if he gets taught by Dray but I still want Chicago to nab him if Edwards and Ball are gone.


I think your comparison is a good example of where our player evaluation differs, because I find WCJ to be a far superior player to Gafford.

There's far more to the C position than being tall, athletic and long. Gafford is close to elite in all those respects, and he is a backup C. If you just want a guy to rim run and protect the paint, those guys are actually relatively dime a dozen. Obviously Wiseman has some projection as a shooter, which is good, but it's not an outlier skill of his.

It's also about how you use those physical tools - these are some less than ideal examples -

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I'm not trying to say Wiseman won't be a good NBA player, but I do think he's overrated.


I mean, if this is the worst you have on an 18 yo center playing their first collegiate games, I'm not sure if you proved your point. Surely we aren't going to nitpick a couple of hand selected bad decisions? And yes, I am one who hates when people post mix tapes as well.

I'm not a big Wiseman fan, but I see the appeal of picking him. He arguably has the highest upside of any player in the draft, despite being a center.I always thought the general rule of thumb for bad drafts is to just take the highest upside player because you're likely to miss no matter who you pick.


Small sample size is what we have for either way. You can't discount the bad just to focus on the good. The truly winning players heavily balance to the "right" play a lot more often even in college
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#999 » by cjbulls » Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:21 am

PaKii94 wrote:
cjbulls wrote:
GimmeDat wrote:
Appreciate that.

I'm not personally claiming to have seen heaps of him before the college level - I've seen a few games, nothing more.. but it is stuff that is line with the small sample we did see at college, and in line with a lot better evaluators that I follow on different platforms that feel the same way about him.

Declaring him 'arguably the 4th best big in the draft' isn't as crazy as it sounds. Here as some examples of evaluators that I regard highly, and their boards. Take note of both Poku and Wiseman -

Spoiler:
Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20


You don't have to hold those opinions with any weight if you don't know those individuals, but at least know I'm not alone in my opinion. It's also worth noting that there are others they don't have Poku in the lottery at all either - he is definitely more divisive.. but then again, a number of the above don't have Wiseman top 10, either. The last tweet there is from Spencer, who is from the Knicks board and arguably the most well regarded draft analyst on the realgm boards. He's worked with NBA franchises.

I'm not trying to come across as some draft savant, just expressing my own opinion, take it for what you will. I think he's somewhere in that crop of Okongwu, Wiseman, Toppin and himself as the top 4 bigs in this draft. Hopefully that explains why I think Wiseman is *arguably* the 4th best big in the draft.



I think your comparison is a good example of where our player evaluation differs, because I find WCJ to be a far superior player to Gafford.

There's far more to the C position than being tall, athletic and long. Gafford is close to elite in all those respects, and he is a backup C. If you just want a guy to rim run and protect the paint, those guys are actually relatively dime a dozen. Obviously Wiseman has some projection as a shooter, which is good, but it's not an outlier skill of his.

It's also about how you use those physical tools - these are some less than ideal examples -

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Read on Twitter
?s=20

I'm not trying to say Wiseman won't be a good NBA player, but I do think he's overrated.


I mean, if this is the worst you have on an 18 yo center playing their first collegiate games, I'm not sure if you proved your point. Surely we aren't going to nitpick a couple of hand selected bad decisions? And yes, I am one who hates when people post mix tapes as well.

I'm not a big Wiseman fan, but I see the appeal of picking him. He arguably has the highest upside of any player in the draft, despite being a center.I always thought the general rule of thumb for bad drafts is to just take the highest upside player because you're likely to miss no matter who you pick.


Small sample size is what we have for either way. You can't discount the bad just to focus on the good. The truly winning players heavily balance to the "right" play a lot more often even in college


I'm not saying to ignore it. I'm saying a couple of clips with a bad finish amount to nothing. I might as well throw in a clip of him making a 3 and call him Steph Curry. The reality is in VERY limited time he had a 76% TS%. So choosing a clip of him missing a shot from one of those games isn't a realistic representation of the situation.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Thread: Bulls pick 4th! 

Post#1000 » by PaKii94 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:23 am

cjbulls wrote:
PaKii94 wrote:
cjbulls wrote:
I mean, if this is the worst you have on an 18 yo center playing their first collegiate games, I'm not sure if you proved your point. Surely we aren't going to nitpick a couple of hand selected bad decisions? And yes, I am one who hates when people post mix tapes as well.

I'm not a big Wiseman fan, but I see the appeal of picking him. He arguably has the highest upside of any player in the draft, despite being a center.I always thought the general rule of thumb for bad drafts is to just take the highest upside player because you're likely to miss no matter who you pick.


Small sample size is what we have for either way. You can't discount the bad just to focus on the good. The truly winning players heavily balance to the "right" play a lot more often even in college


I'm not saying to ignore it. I'm saying a couple of clips with a bad finish amount to nothing. I might as well throw in a clip of him making a 3 and call him Steph Curry. The reality is in VERY limited time he had a 76% TS%. So choosing a clip of him missing a shot from one of those games isn't a realistic representation of the situation.


It's not if he made the shot or not. It's the shot selection process. You would want him to bully the smaller players. Instead he fadeaways

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