Phish Tank wrote:Stannis wrote:There's this too though
?s=20
If Trump can get 20% of the black vote, I think it's over.
Trump getting 20% of the black vote means either:
1) Around-30-40% of black men support him (if true, then damn....)
2) Black women inched closer towards supporting him (he's at like 5% with black women though)
just speaking candidly of a few factors which I think could help Trump with some black voters.
-no change in life style especially inner cities (kind of that Kim Klacik approach) why not try something different?
-open borders and less strict immigration policies have had more disproportional effect on black communities employment
per the national bureau of economic research
One reason, the authors argue, is that black employment is more sensitive to an immigration influx than white employment. For white men, an immigration boost of 10 percent caused their employment rate to fall just 0.7 percentage points; for black men, it fell 2.4 percentage points.
-opposition to the BLM organization (not the BLM movement) too different animals here. BLM organization is very much against religion and the nuclear family. Faith for many of the minority community is a huge part of there lives. Marcellus Wiley has a strong stance on this subject (worth a watch for sure)
-as for black women a lot of policies including welfare (while had good intentions) have had some negative impacts in terms of being financially beneficial for both parents of a child NOT to live in the same household. Maybe women are more for family structure in this sense?
per the census bureau:
Broken down by race, however, the statistics show stark differences. The percentage of White children under 18 who live with both parents almost doubles that of Black children, according to the data. While 74.3 percent of all White children below the age of 18 live with both parents, only 38.7 percent of African-American minors can say the same.
Instead, more than one-third of all Black children in the United States under the age of 18 live with unmarried mothers—compared to 6.5 percent of White children. The figures reflect a general trend: During the 1960-2016 period, the percentage of children living with only their mother nearly tripled from 8 to 23 percent and the percentage of children living with only their father increased from 1 to 4 percent.'
Social scientists have long espoused the benefits for children who live in two-parent homes, including economic, educational, health and other advantages.
On the other side the police brutality issue is a huge hurdle for the right to overcome. As they have a very strong stance and support for police and law in general. This is not my specific opinion but from my personal experience they see right from right and wrong from wrong in a sense that if you live a criminal life you are more apt to be put in situations where the police can harm you. That is not a good approach and I am 100% on board for police reform. There is no doubt there is a bias in terms of how the police interact in general with black men specifically then white men. That ultimately has been a gap in terms of where conservatives haven't been able to bridge that gap from there viewpoint to those communities because they simply don't see on daily basis even the non deadly poor interactions like Dominic Smith on the Mets and Moe Harkless on the Knicks have pointed out. Which is simply unacceptable. White men for the most part don't have to go through that...and that ultimately is the crux of the issue IMO.
