shangrila wrote:shrink wrote:Streakers33 wrote:But what is stopping the Knicks from just tossing clippers and mavs picks at us and keeping Mitchell. Im thinking with all those future firsts, they can sell to their fan base that they have a good core to add to.
Would you turn down:
2020 CLIP FRP
2021 CLIP FRP
2021 DALLAS FRP
2023 DALLAS FRP
2022 NYC FRP.
The 2020 LAC pick is #27. The 2021 is a pick swap, and that’s top 4 protected. With Doncic doing this well, this young, it’s hard to see the DAL picks better than in the 20’s, and the 2023 pick is top 10 protected anyway. It’s not that these picks have no value, but most have limited upside, and how many rotation/bench players does one team need?
The 2022 NY pick has value. But like I said, if they wanted to pull Mitchell and Barrett and still get the #1 overall pick, they’d need to be talking about their own pick, either lightly or unprotected. I just said 2021, which would be worth more.
The other thing ai should mention is that those picks just aren’t as valuable to MIN or GSW specifically. MIN wants to work on KAT’s timeline, and a rookie in 2022 that needs training isn’t perfect. GSW would like a young center that can help them win now. If NYK insisted on keeping Mitchell, they’d probably need to add a fourth team to use those picks to come up with a similar fit to Mitchell. Mitchell is a good player, but he doesn’t fit everywhere - he would fit in GSW, in my opinion.
That's a ton of draft capital though. If you swap out that '22 Knicks pick for even a protected one next year...I don't know, I'd be tempted. Dallas is a Luka ankle turn away from being a lottery team and having more 1sts is better than not. I mean, we just turned one into Beasley and Hernangomez so even later ones can have real value.
To me, the HOU pick (24?) demonstrates how UNvaluable non-lotto picks are. We gave one up to audition those two guys for half a season. Both are RFA’s, and while we got Bird rights, if they get offers that are higher than we want to match, then we gave the pick up for nothing.
The problem with non-lotto picks is their estimated value is a role player. Sure, someone always gets lucky and finds a Star with a late pick, but far more don’t even become rotation players. For example, I’m perfectly happy that we got Josh Okogie with .. what .. the #20? ..and he’s done fine for us. However, if we needed to replace Okogie, do you think it would be difficult to find someone of comparable overall skill? Lottery picks have high value because you have a much better chance of getting stars, locked up for several years. Most teams can’t get stars in free agency, but they can find players to fill a rotation there. How many slices of bread would it take before you traded someone your only steak?


















