mke_design wrote:coolhandluke121 wrote:I think Giannis made up his mind to stay in Milwaukee a long time ago and just wants to make sure the owners don't get cheap. He also seems like the type of guy who would say that everyone on the team deserves a chance to redeem themselves. I think he likes being the only superstar.
It does seem plausible that he would not extend this fall/winter just because the bargaining terms are so unsettled. I expect them to smooth out the cap, which would make it easier to run business as usual instead of completely screwing over players who are due for new deals in the next year or two. But revenue will clearly be down and is likely to affect the super-max numbers at least a little, even with some adjustments, so I could see a 1+1 deal coming.
He would be leaving around 10 million dollars on the table if he waited.
This is not at all a given. Revenue will be way down and if they follow the CBA strictly, that means the cap will be way down because it depends on revenue. Committing to an extension starting at 35% of an artificially low cap would be problematic, especially if he wants to lock in several years, because every year after that would also be anchored to a fluke low 2020 number while other guys signing supermaxes in future season would be getting much more (assuming revenue recovers eventually).
They might amend the CBA and smooth all that out in emergency negotiations, but that's not a given. Negotiations are going to be nuts. There could easily be a lockout. I wouldn't trust any numbers you read because nobody knows what the cap will actually be at this point. Those numbers are based on projections that became irrelevant the moment Gobert tested positive. If the cap does go down temporarily, waiting until it goes back up would more than make up for playing under his current contract next season.
Wut we've got here is... faaailure... to communakate.