The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6)

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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1661 » by dreamshake » Thu Sep 17, 2020 5:21 pm

DatAsh wrote:
dreamshake wrote:If magic shoes and doctors extend your career so much, where are all these modern players playing 20+ years?


"Magic shoes" seems like a hyperbolic exaggeration to try and ridicule the idea. Playing 20+ years isn't just about how little you decline during those years, it also requires you to be start at a high enough level so that the decline doesn't put you out of the league, and very few players start at a high enough level to make that a reality. An average player with GOAT longevity probably isn't good enough to make a team after 20+ years, even if his decline is GOAT level. Lebron is a rare breed.

dreamshake wrote:Come on man, this is ridiculous. Only 8 guys have ever played 20 seasons. Only Vince has played 22, and he was hobbling around scoring 5 pts a game by the end. Kareem isn't playing 26 seasons. If magic shoes and doctors extend your career so much, where are all these modern players playing 20+ years?


Given that 1970 Kareem played 20 seasons, I have no problem seeing 2003 Kareem playing 23 seasons. It seems biased/dishonest(not saying your doing this intentionally) imo to pretend that modern medicine, nutrition, surgery, pt, etc. don't increase player longevity. IMO, 2 seasons(22 total) is the absolute minimum you should add if you're looking at things in an unbiased manner. I've been doing this for awhile when comparing longevity, and I think it's a much better way to compare. I add 4 years for Russell, 3 for Kareem, and 2 for Jordan when comparing longevity to modern players. I also add years for special longevity limiting circumstances that wouldn't play out the same today, like Magic's AIDS scandal. Just the way I look at things, but I realize it might be controversial.

And yes, I also realize this a Lebron thread, so I expect pushback when I praise other players in comparison to him. It seems like praise of other players in this thread (in comparison to Lebron) is always met with harsh criticism, which is a shame, imo. As Lebron fans, it's important for us to be honest and acknowledge other players advantages. I'm not trying to criticize Lebron's longevity. He's undoubtedly got near GOAT level longevity at this point, and that combined with his peak/prime is why I have him as the best player of all time(with a large gap between him and Jordan/Kareem/Russell). I'm praising Kareem's longevity, not dissing Lebron's. Lebron might end up with better longevity than Kareem(I kinda expect it), but he's not there yet.


Well now you've walked it back from 6 years to 2 or 3 years, which is at least more reasonable. But I still think that if your theory was correct we'd have seen more modern players going over 20 years. Duncan, Dirk, Kobe, KG, etc. had access to modern shoes, medicine, nutrition, surgery, PRP injections, etc. and couldn't make it 23 seasons. It's not just a comparison to LBJ that I'm looking at - I think its unfair to those guys I listed who had great longevity to just add on an arbitrary amount of years to Kareem.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1662 » by O_6 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 5:34 pm

When Kareem was “Year 17” Kareem and still an All-NBA player and finished 5th in the MVP voting, it was a more historically unique feat than what LeBron is doing now.

Before Kareem did it in '86, 0 players in league history had played 17+ seasons. Since Kareem in ‘86, 69 players have played into their 17th season. 0 before him in the previous 40 years and 69 since in the past 34 years. Kareem staying relevant and effective so deep into his career was revolutionary. And he isn’t “just” the first to do it, he has still played more minutes from Year 17 onwards than any other player.

4x All-Star, 1 First Team All-NBA, 2 Rings as a Starter where he was the primary half-court scorer and rim protector on his teams. That’s what Kareem did from Year 17 onwards.

LeBron is clearly better in Year 17 than Kareem was at the same point, but I still can’t give him the longevity nod until he plays a little bit longer.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1663 » by limbo » Thu Sep 17, 2020 5:38 pm

Game is far more taxing on the joints nowadays than it was in the 70's... Knees are exploding left and right because of how much basketball these guys are playing and how much the game has evolved beyond running up and down and passing in the post for methodical hook shots... Go watch a 70's game, you'll see guys aren't flying around with insane speed doing intense start-stopping crossovers and bone-twisting maneuvers...
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1664 » by Heej » Thu Sep 17, 2020 5:54 pm

limbo wrote:Game is far more taxing on the joints nowadays than it was in the 70's... Knees are exploding left and right because of how much basketball these guys are playing and how much the game has evolved beyond running up and down and passing in the post for methodical hook shots... Go watch a 70's game, you'll see guys aren't flying around with insane speed doing intense start-stopping crossovers and bone-twisting maneuvers...

Yeaa I was gonna say lol regular season basketball in the 80s was pretty chill lol. They played like January LeBron all year all across the league. But I gotta say man, a big part of all the ligament injuries are cuz of PEDs imo. Muscles becoming too powerful for the ligaments to handle. And steroids dry them out on top of that.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1665 » by Joao Saraiva » Thu Sep 17, 2020 6:07 pm

Joey Wheeler wrote:
Joao Saraiva wrote:Well... with the Clippers being eliminated, it's now championship or bust. I think it's the time LBJ gets to a conference finals that I feel more like that.


What does the Clippers being eliminated have to do with anything? Are we still acting as if they were ever going to be a threat? Never seen a good but not really great team get this hyped for no reason, even after losing to another good but not great team in the Nuggets. It's almost a shame the Clippers didn't make the WCF so they could get swept and this nonsense ended.


Well they were seen as the biggest threat, just that. I've been saying all year I believe the Lakers were the #1 contender, followed by Clippers, Bucks and Rockets.

Given all the teams I thought were the biggest chalangers are gone... I see it as championship or bust. If somebody told me Denver would eliminate the Lakers or the Heat would beat em in the finals, or Boston I'd say I doubt that a lot.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1666 » by Heej » Thu Sep 17, 2020 6:27 pm

Heat have a crazy good shot vs the Lakers lol. I'm low-key afraid of them. They legit have the 3 best wing defenders LeBron would face all postseason on one team and the best defender AD has faced. Better coaching deeper roster, they're a scary matchup. I don't wanna see another Finals of Hackodala just fouling LeBron every possession lol
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1667 » by Joey Wheeler » Thu Sep 17, 2020 7:00 pm

Baski wrote:
Joey Wheeler wrote:
Joao Saraiva wrote:Well... with the Clippers being eliminated, it's now championship or bust. I think it's the time LBJ gets to a conference finals that I feel more like that.


What does the Clippers being eliminated have to do with anything? Are we still acting as if they were ever going to be a threat? Never seen a good but not really great team get this hyped for no reason, even after losing to another good but not great team in the Nuggets. It's almost a shame the Clippers didn't make the WCF so they could get swept and this nonsense ended.

Gotta hand it to you and AD man. You two called it from the get go.

I'm still uneasy about the Nuggets and the Heat/Celtics though, because it's so damn possible that the Lakers win. When was the last time a Lebron team had such a good shot at winning? 2015?


Thanks. I was shocked so many people favored the Clippers honestly, I think it's a mix of overrating Kawhi just because the Raptors won last year and especially not really grasping what it really means historically to pair Lebron and AD: that's not only easily the best duo in NBA history but even if you could pick from any players in history you'd struggle to make a duo as potent.

The answer is never btw, certainly not 2015. Rarely if ever has the best team in the NBA had such a margin over the second best team as the Lakers do this year. It'd be surprising to see them get challenged at all imo.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1668 » by 70sFan » Thu Sep 17, 2020 7:24 pm

Kareem is still the king of longevity to me. People look at 2020 LeBron vs 1986 Kareem and say that James is superior = James has better longevity, but you should factor that Kareem was on GOAT level basically since his rookie season. 1970-72 Kareem vs 2004-06 James is a sweep for Kareem.

It's also not true that James has been superstar for longer. 2008-20 is 13 years of playing at ATG level, Kareem has 1970-82 in comparison. Then you have is 2004-07 James vs 1983-86 Kareem and to be honest, I'm not sure I'd take James here.

Kareem in the first part of the 1980s was still legit superstar, especially in playoffs. In 1983-86 period he averaged 24/8/4/2 per75 on 60 TS% and was still the best isolation scorer in the league at that time. This part of his career is not only about longevity, Kareem was real MVP candidate then.

Of course, James has quite high chances of surpassing Jabbar's longevity but I don't think he's there right now.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1669 » by DatAsh » Thu Sep 17, 2020 7:53 pm

dreamshake wrote:Well now you've walked it back from 6 years to 2 or 3 years.


I haven't walked anything back. I never claimed to add 6 years for era based longevity adjustment. Like I said in my first post, I add 3 years, but 2 is the absolute minimum I think is fair.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1670 » by dreamshake » Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:08 pm

DatAsh wrote:
dreamshake wrote:Well now you've walked it back from 6 years to 2 or 3 years.


I haven't walked anything back. I never claimed to add 6 years for era based longevity adjustment. Like I said in my first post, I add 3 years, but 2 is the absolute minimum I think is fair.


What is this then?

DatAsh wrote:I would probably add 6 years to Kareem's longevity if you're doing an honest comparison of current Lebron's longevity to Kareem.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1671 » by Dupp » Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:21 pm

70sFan wrote:Kareem is still the king of longevity to me. People look at 2020 LeBron vs 1986 Kareem and say that James is superior = James has better longevity, but you should factor that Kareem was on GOAT level basically since his rookie season. 1970-72 Kareem vs 2004-06 James is a sweep for Kareem.

It's also not true that James has been superstar for longer. 2008-20 is 13 years of playing at ATG level, Kareem has 1970-82 in comparison. Then you have is 2004-07 James vs 1983-86 Kareem and to be honest, I'm not sure I'd take James here.

Kareem in the first part of the 1980s was still legit superstar, especially in playoffs. In 1983-86 period he averaged 24/8/4/2 per75 on 60 TS% and was still the best isolation scorer in the league at that time. This part of his career is not only about longevity, Kareem was real MVP candidate then.

Of course, James has quite high chances of surpassing Jabbar's longevity but I don't think he's there right now.



It is a huge factor Kareem being way better Sooner if you’re looking at mvp level longevity. I haven’t really gone through and counted up how many top tier seasons each guy has had. Lebrons at 12 off the top of my head.


All I know is these two guys are in a league of their own longevity wise.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1672 » by Dupp » Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:23 pm

Heej wrote:Heat have a crazy good shot vs the Lakers lol. I'm low-key afraid of them. They legit have the 3 best wing defenders LeBron would face all postseason on one team and the best defender AD has faced. Better coaching deeper roster, they're a scary matchup. I don't wanna see another Finals of Hackodala just fouling LeBron every possession lol



I said this a little while back that I was more concerned with the heat than Boston or the raps. They definitely match up the best against LA.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1673 » by Homer38 » Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:24 pm

We need to win against Denver first,but yeah the heat would be a huge challenge for the lakers offense.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1674 » by kayess » Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:41 am

Assuming they get there aren't the Celtics pretty scary too? Probably don't match up vs. the Lakers as well as the Heat but definitely higher ceiling
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1675 » by MisterHibachi » Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:52 am

kayess wrote:Assuming they get there aren't the Celtics pretty scary too? Probably don't match up vs. the Lakers as well as the Heat but definitely higher ceiling


They have zero rim protection. Bam is absolutely destroying them with rim runs this quarter, can't imagine what AD would do to them, not to mention LeBron's rim pressure. Plus they won't be able to hide Kemba against LeBron.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1676 » by Joey Wheeler » Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:58 am

kayess wrote:Assuming they get there aren't the Celtics pretty scary too? Probably don't match up vs. the Lakers as well as the Heat but definitely higher ceiling


Neither Celtics or Heat are scary. Finals will be a complete mismatch, could easily be a sweep. Only thing stopping the Lakers from winning the title is an injury to Lebron or AD.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1677 » by mademan » Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:05 am

Lebron got too many guys to pick on defensively against the Heat tho. Dragic/Robinson/Hero/Kelly O
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1678 » by Joey Wheeler » Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:09 am

Interesting question is whether the Lakers could win the title with one of Lebron/AD out injured. I think it's highly possible, the teams left are flawed and lack strong superstar power. I'd still favor the Lakers slightly in all potential series without AD; without Lebron, I'd give them 50/50 chances vs Celtics and Heat, maybe slight underdogs, and make them slight underdogs vs Denver.
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1679 » by SideshowBob » Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:39 am

Miami is 10-1 in this postseason.
But in his home dwelling...the hi-top faded warrior is revered. *Smack!* The sound of his palm blocking the basketball... the sound of thousands rising, roaring... the sound of "get that sugar honey iced tea outta here!"
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Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 6) 

Post#1680 » by MisterHibachi » Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:41 am

Miami is touuuugghhh.
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