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OT Bears 2019/20 season

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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#461 » by fleet » Sat Oct 3, 2020 12:48 pm

Spoiler:
dougthonus wrote:
fleet wrote:Hhhhhhh...

Sad read. Lots more at link.


To understand all that went into the 2017 quarterback draft and the resulting Trubisky era in Chicago, Bleacher Report spoke to sources who are connected to the Bears, Chiefs and Texans, as well as to evaluators around the league who studied the quarterbacks. The sources spoke on condition of anonymity given the classified nature of team evaluations and draft strategy


Though Pace finally had looped Fox into the Trubisky plan that morning, many in the organization didn't find out about it until the Bears traded four picks to move up to No. 2 and the phone call was made to Trubisky. A source familiar with the situation says Fox was not alone in his contrary opinion about the quarterbacks. The love for Trubisky was "not unanimous" among personnel and coaching staff.

Pace seemed to be fixated on the quarterback position and on Trubisky, to judge partly from what was seen as an unnecessary trade from No. 3 to No. 2.

"I don't know where they were getting their information [on needing to move up], but it was not great sources," said a source close to the team. "To give up four picks to move up one spot, that was another ridiculous thing. Especially on a team that didn't have great talent anyways. They [the 49ers] kind of duped [Chicago]."


Across the league, scouts, GMs and coaches were stunned by the Bears' move. "Everyone was like, 'Holy ****! They just took Mitch Trubisky No. 2?'" said a scout whose team drafted a quarterback that year. "There was no way we thought they were going to get Trubisky. That was so far removed from what we thought could be reality."

The shock was partly because Pace had kept his intentions quiet, but mostly it was because, for many teams, Trubisky was ranked as the third quarterback and a late first-round pick.

"I'm not sure anyone had Trubisky as high as the Bears did," said a scout who closely evaluated quarterbacks that year.

"The division is glad Chicago picked him," said an evaluator who worked in the NFC North at the time. His team graded Trubisky as a third-round pick.


"Deshaun was 1A and Patrick 1B," said an AFC scout. "[Trubisky] was in consideration; he just wasn't ranked with those guys. If you want to say third, then yeah, that's where he was."


"Trubisky third, and it wasn't even close," said the scout whose team drafted a QB that year. "We had so little to work with on Trubisky. I mean, he's a one-year starter, you know? And for much of his [college] career, he was beaten out by a guy who wasn't even going to play in the NFL. As much as they tried to say he was more prototypical than other guys, he was as much a project as they were.


One source who previously worked with the Bears during Trubisky's time doubts that he will ever be the franchise quarterback that his No. 2-pick status would suggest. His inexperience in big games in college didn’t prepare him well for the NFL, and his biggest weakness is difficult to coach: “It revolves around confidence, but really it is the mental part of the game,” the source says. “That’s ... where the other two were ahead of him in the process. The situation he is in being compared to the other two, it kind of compounded his issues. He got dealt a bad hand.”



So he went to ask a coach friend on UNC's offensive staff why the team wasn't starting Trubisky. What the hell are you guys doing playing Marquise Williams at QB when this kid is on your team?

"He was laughing, and he said something like, 'The guys just played for Marquise,'" the scout recalled. "He wasn't knowingly taking a shot at Trubisky, but I took a mental note that there is something missing with this guy. There is no way talent-wise that Trubisky shouldn't have been playing. And Marquise Williams kept him on the bench?"

"The Williams kid had the heart of the locker room and the pulse," the scout whose team drafted a QB that year remembered learning from his research on Trubisky. "The players rallied around him, which is part of the reason why he started those years over Mitch."

"When they described how he couldn't win the starting job from Marquise, you ask follow up questions about that," said the scout who evaluated quarterbacks closely. "Do the guys like him? Do the guys gravitate towards him? And once you start going down that road and asking those questions, it's something that is always in the back of your mind when you're evaluating him."


The "It" factor. Looking back at the 2017 draft and considering why so many player evaluators are saying today that the Bears' mistake was obvious back then, the "It" factor is what they say Watson and Mahomes had that Trubisky did not.

"Mahomes had a swagger confidence to him. Deshaun was kind of almost how Russell Wilson was, like this guy makes you feel something when you're talking to him," said the former AFC scout, echoing other sources.

What about Trubisky? "You just didn't get this feeling of a leader of men, a guy that just stood up and looked you in the eye. It's hard to put an actual word to it."



https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2911595-why-how-the-bears-trubisky-and-the-fateful-2017-nfl-draft



Some pieces of this are certainly interesting, but a lot of this sure feels like one of two things:
1: People morphing their opinions of four years ago to better match the reality of today.
2: Hunting down people who gave you the quotes you wanted for this article.

Just google 2017 NFL mock draft. The first 8 mock drafts I saw all had Mitch Trubisky as the #1 QB including CBS, ESPN, and SI.

He fell a low as #12 in several, and so I agree (and said at the time) trading up was ludicrous, but everyone acting now like they knew MaHomes or Watson were so great are full of crap. If those guys were predicted to be what they are then they would have gone #1 and #2 in the draft.

So I'm not defending the Bears in picking Trubisky, whom I personally didn't like at the time, and certainly am not defending them trading up for taking him, this is just a hit piece with trumped up quotes to make it look even more ridiculous than it was. You don't need to exaggerate/flat out lie about an already bad decision to prove your point, no one looks back at this and thinks that was a good pick.


Its a long article, I thought they did well presenting the information they had seriously. Balanced fairly well based on what info they had. Once you go through it, doesn’t seem a hit piece reaching for a conclusion imo, it looks like earnest work.

So many times in the draft you see teams blowing up what publications are putting out there. I think BR are relying more on league sources and scouts more than publications. I have often thought about the possibility that other teams in the Bears situation could have made a different choice because in general, the raw upside guy often is chosen behind guys that have the best combination of upside plus production. At the top of the draft anyway. Scouts love production and film. And the starter thing, that is a red flag that you would have to say weighs heavily on teams looking at a QB.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#462 » by dougthonus » Sat Oct 3, 2020 3:37 pm

fleet wrote:Its a long article, I thought they did well presenting the information they had seriously. Balanced fairly well based on what info they had. Once you go through it, doesn’t seem a hit piece reaching for a conclusion imo, it looks like earnest work.

So many times in the draft you see teams blowing up what publications are putting out there. I think BR are relying more on league sources and scouts more than publications. I have often thought about the possibility that other teams in the Bears situation could have made a different choice because in general, the raw upside guy often is chosen behind guys that have the best combination of upside plus production. At the top of the draft anyway. Scouts love production and film. And the starter thing, that is a red flag that you would have to say weighs heavily on teams looking at a QB.


I didn't read the whole article, so maybe other parts were more fair and balanced if they presented quotes from scouts that liked Trubisky and you simply didn't quote those. If not, then it isn't really fair or balanced.

At the time:
1: People didn't think there was an obvious franchise QB.
2: Trubisky was generally viewed as the #1 QB.
3: There were red flags with Trubisky but just as many with everyone else

After time passes, scouts ignore all the red flags they put on the other guys that never surfaced and emphasize the ones they had on Trubisky that did so they can feel better about their own prowess. You want to argue the Bears should have traded down rather than up, because there wasn't a big gap between these guys, I'd be with you. I hated the trade at the time. People saying Trubisky was 3rd or 4th and had late 1st round grades, that seems like either revisionist history or seeking out the guys who felt this way.

In terms of the publications vs the scouts, you have to realize the vast majority of the publication mock drafts are based on conversations with scouts. The publications aren't just randos like you or me watching games and then deciding who they like. Their opinions are generally done through networking with all these people. A publication that wasn't basing its opinion on scouts would be far more likely to value on field production than a scout, because its what they primarily have access too.

Either way, its water under the bridge, the Bears clearly choose wrong. I didn't have a strong opinion on Trubisky at the time, but I was strongly in favor of trading down rather than up if possible.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#463 » by Chi town » Sat Oct 3, 2020 4:23 pm

The real question is how Pace drafts next draft. Gotta take a QB. Let them learn behind Foles.

Knowing Mitch is done actually saves us good money too. Foles will be avg price.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#464 » by Jcool0 » Sat Oct 3, 2020 4:29 pm

Read on Twitter
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#465 » by chicagoballer » Sat Oct 3, 2020 4:54 pm

devin hester talking about jay cutler...

https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=3605855066105199
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#466 » by patryk7754 » Sat Oct 3, 2020 8:31 pm

I don’t care about the Mitch thing anymore. Any article or whatever talking about that draft is just fishing for clicks and views in my opinion. Only thing that matter about Mitch now is when ownership evaluates Pace.

And besides, Mitch has a better record this season
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#467 » by patryk7754 » Sat Oct 3, 2020 8:40 pm

This draft is loaded with high potential players. My two favorites are Micah Parsons and Jamare Chase. I’m going to guess that we’ll be picking too low to get them but they both opted out so I guess there’s a chance they drop a little.

I like Kyle pitts as a 1st round option. He reminds me of George Kittle and if Kmet pans out we can have an elite dual TE threat. Kyle trask could be a good second round option. Only seen him play one game but Carson Wentz comes to mind. He’ll probably shoot up the boards tho
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#468 » by CjayC » Sat Oct 3, 2020 8:43 pm

Chi town wrote:The real question is how Pace drafts next draft. Gotta take a QB. Let them learn behind Foles.

Knowing Mitch is done actually saves us good money too. Foles will be avg price.


I'd take a look at Jaime Newman in the 2nd round, maybe a trade down target if they acquire another 2nd round pick, but outside of him and the top 3 which we won't be in position for(Lawrence, Fields, Lance), I'm really not impressed with this class.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#469 » by patryk7754 » Sat Oct 3, 2020 8:49 pm

Chi town wrote:The real question is how Pace drafts next draft. Gotta take a QB. Let them learn behind Foles.

Knowing Mitch is done actually saves us good money too. Foles will be avg price.

I wouldn’t say we need to draft a QB. I think the talent level falls pretty far after fields and Lawrence.

I think the plan should be ride foles out and in two years sign Rodgers and then draft a QB for the future
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#470 » by BullsFTW » Sat Oct 3, 2020 8:56 pm

patryk7754 wrote:
Chi town wrote:The real question is how Pace drafts next draft. Gotta take a QB. Let them learn behind Foles.

Knowing Mitch is done actually saves us good money too. Foles will be avg price.

I wouldn’t say we need to draft a QB. I think the talent level falls pretty far after fields and Lawrence.

I think the plan should be ride foles out and in two years sign Rodgers and then draft a QB for the future

I’m all for signing Rogers, but I think he retires as a Packer.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#471 » by dougthonus » Sat Oct 3, 2020 9:52 pm

BullsFTW wrote:I’m all for signing Rogers, but I think he retires as a Packer.


I doubt he retires a Packer, but I wouldn't be surprised if he has no great years left after leaving the Packers. They'd be foolish to let him go before exhausting his prime.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#472 » by Jeffster81 » Sat Oct 3, 2020 10:11 pm

dougthonus wrote:
BullsFTW wrote:I’m all for signing Rogers, but I think he retires as a Packer.


I doubt he retires a Packer, but I wouldn't be surprised if he has no great years left after leaving the Packers. They'd be foolish to let him go before exhausting his prime.


Rodgers won't finish his career with the Packers but the Bears need to avoid signing a 35+yr old QB because at the age and older they are, imo, a ticking timebomb. If the Bears decide to go that route, I prefer Matt Stafford (if he becomes available).
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#473 » by Chi town » Sat Oct 3, 2020 10:25 pm

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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#474 » by dice » Sun Oct 4, 2020 12:03 am

Jcool0 wrote:
Read on Twitter

bears-colts vs chiefs-pats. hmmm...pretty much the same quality ratio as 2020 vs a normal life
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#475 » by dice » Sun Oct 4, 2020 12:14 am

dougthonus wrote:
BullsFTW wrote:I’m all for signing Rogers, but I think he retires as a Packer.


I doubt he retires a Packer, but I wouldn't be surprised if he has no great years left after leaving the Packers. They'd be foolish to let him go before exhausting his prime.

probably true. unfortunately, you typically don't know that an NFL QB's prime is over until he has a bad year or two. the packers have been through this. they cut the cord on favre after he had an excellent season at age 38. he had 2 more good seasons after that. but rodgers was arguably better from the get-go as a 25 year old. so a lot of it depends on what they think of jordan love

rodgers's age 38 season is 2021, by the way. but love is not as good a prospect as rodgers was...and rodgers sat for 3 years...and rodgers is under contract through 2023...same as love! so there doesn't seem to be any long-term strategy other than the packers thinking that love was too good to pass up in the draft and rodgers is getting old. i assume that they'll ride rodgers as long as they can unless love really impresses them and they can be confident that using him on the cheap is worthwhile. and all that really requires is that he's a competent starting QB. because the cap hit differential is enormous - 3 mil vs 40 mil in 2022
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#476 » by fleet » Sun Oct 4, 2020 12:18 am

I’d rather bide my time with cheaper guys like Foles until the right QB is avail to draft. Whenever that happens.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#477 » by dice » Sun Oct 4, 2020 12:26 am

fleet wrote:I’d rather bide my time with cheaper guys like Foles until the right QB is avail to draft. Whenever that happens.

with foles's injury history, performance swings and obvious willingness to be a backup, there's no reason to postpone drafting a QB either. if he sits for the 2 remaining seasons of foles's contract, fine. but yeah, waiting another year if there's no desirable QB option in the next draft is obviously a viable consideration

i still can't wrap my head around foles giving back so much money so that he could compete with trubisky for the bears job. he must've really hated the situation in jacksonville
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#478 » by Dresden » Sun Oct 4, 2020 2:49 am

dice wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:
Read on Twitter

bears-colts vs chiefs-pats. hmmm...pretty much the same quality ratio as 2020 vs a normal life


That's good news for me out here on the west coast- normally they don't show many Bears games out here, so I'll get to see this one.
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#479 » by patryk7754 » Sun Oct 4, 2020 7:16 am

dougthonus wrote:
BullsFTW wrote:I’m all for signing Rogers, but I think he retires as a Packer.


I doubt he retires a Packer, but I wouldn't be surprised if he has no great years left after leaving the Packers. They'd be foolish to let him go before exhausting his prime.

With the way he’s playing so far this year I doubt he falls off before the end of this contract. And the packers don’t really have a choice since they drafted love. I think the cut Rodgers in 2 seasons because that’s win the cap hit will be relatively small I believe
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Re: OT Bears 2019/20 season 

Post#480 » by Kurt Heimlich » Sun Oct 4, 2020 7:30 am

dougthonus wrote:
BullsFTW wrote:I’m all for signing Rogers, but I think he retires as a Packer.


I doubt he retires a Packer, but I wouldn't be surprised if he has no great years left after leaving the Packers. They'd be foolish to let him go before exhausting his prime.


Per usual Doug nailed it. Rodgers is signed thru 2023, or his age 40 season. The Packers continue to be a step ahead of the game whereas the Bears continue to play the constant struggle of trying to catch up (and failing) at the QB position. It's basically a self fulfilling prophecy for the Bears (and the Packers on a more positive note) at this point.

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