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2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II

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Who should Minnesota Pick at #1 (Assuming Minnesota keeps the pick)?

Anthony Edwards
49
42%
LaMelo Ball
26
22%
James Wiseman
41
35%
 
Total votes: 116

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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1301 » by Onus » Tue Oct 13, 2020 6:36 pm

Midw35t wrote:
Onus wrote:I saw somewhere wiseman 3pt shooting stats in hs was like 14%. I know his shooting mechanics look good but it’s far from being reliable. He shot 1 in college that he missed, he shot 16 in aau tournaments, he made 8 and that’s basically the sample size he’s had outside of hs. Wisemans shot is very much a projection.


So from what you found, he made 8/17?

Idk how accurate this is:
https://basketball.realgm.com/player/James-Wiseman/Summary/107990

But this blurb has him at 4-27 for eybl
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.sbnation.com/platform/amp/nba/2019/12/21/21031750/james-wiseman-nba-draft-2020-memphis-tigers-scouting-report
Most 4th Quarter Points in Final since 1991
1995 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5
2000 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5 (61.1% TS)
2015 Stephen Curry 10.8 (75.1% TS)
1997 Michael Jordan 10.7 (55.1% TS)
1998 Michael Jordan 10.6 (50.6% TS)
2011 Dirk Nowitzki 10.3 (68.0% TS)
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1302 » by jpatrick » Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:08 pm

Onus wrote:
Midw35t wrote:
Onus wrote:I saw somewhere wiseman 3pt shooting stats in hs was like 14%. I know his shooting mechanics look good but it’s far from being reliable. He shot 1 in college that he missed, he shot 16 in aau tournaments, he made 8 and that’s basically the sample size he’s had outside of hs. Wisemans shot is very much a projection.


So from what you found, he made 8/17?

Idk how accurate this is:
https://basketball.realgm.com/player/James-Wiseman/Summary/107990

But this blurb has him at 4-27 for eybl
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.sbnation.com/platform/amp/nba/2019/12/21/21031750/james-wiseman-nba-draft-2020-memphis-tigers-scouting-report


And remember that AAU line is significantly shorter than the current college line, which had been moved back to FIBA standards, which is still significantly shorter than the NBA line.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1303 » by shangrila » Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:23 pm

Midw35t wrote:(Not arguing KGdabom, arguing Shangrila's take)

Good faith? Am in religion class as a child again?

You're not that dense, are you? Surely I don't have to explain what arguing in good faith means.

How can any opinion be disingenuous?

By purposefully being insincere in a discussion.

You tried to boil down Wiseman's direct competition as just a dude who can pass and another with a nice body, completely disregarding and/or downplaying what actually makes them attractive as prospects. I don't care whether you like them or not, that isn't the point. I'm not a fan of Ball and am lukewarm on Edwards. Doesn't mean I'll go around talking about them like they're scrubs because I like Okoro more.

What is your argument against Wiseman's talent at #1? Forget the fit with KAT argument.

The fit problem is the main argument against taking him, because he doesn't fit with KAT and it will cause problems. But if I were to ignore it, I don't buy he's got the current skill level that others seem to, which makes me think he'll require more development which then adds more variance into his career path. I don't buy that he's a good shooter, for example, nor do I buy that he can defend on the perimeter. And there's nothing to suggest he's even an average passer for his position. That doesn't make him a bad prospect, he's definitely got great potential with shotblocking, finishing and rebounding, but it doesn't make him a can't miss prospect either, especially if we're building around KAT.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1304 » by minimus » Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:38 pm

Any chance that Ball will grow into 6'8" 200lbs creative finisher at rim with elite passing, solid defense and mediocre shooting ability?
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1305 » by Biff Cooper » Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:40 pm

Rosas - If you can't make a deal before the draft, then please don't get all smart and take someone you think has the most value for a trade in the future. If you can't make a deal by the draft, then that player likely doesn't have as much value as you think he does. Please ignore the hype and take the guy that your staff's research has determined to be the best combination of ability / prospect / fit for the Timberwolves. If neither Wiseman, Ball, or Edwards is this player, oh well.

Thank you,
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1306 » by urinesane » Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:53 pm

shangrila wrote:
urinesane wrote:He could easily cap out? What kind of statement is that even? Any player could technically cap out at any level with that sort of logic.

So you're saying that he may not reach his potential... that's true of EVERY player with potential.

If his floor is journeyman backup, what's his ceiling? Obviously, any player could "cap out" in between their floor and ceiling... that kind of goes without saying doesn't it?

"Easily cap out" as in that's his more realistic outcome, which came in direct response to a comment you made about guys with "proven potential" (whatever the hell that meant).

Tell you what, how about you lay out what you think he will realistically become and we'll go from there?


He could "easily cap out" as a 18pt/10reb/2.5ast/2.0 blk Center.

I also think he could potentially be a 20+pt/15reb/3ast/3.0blk all-star and defensive anchor as well.

My point of proven potential is that Wiseman has shown the things I'm talking about with clear physical indicators to expand his shooting/perimeter defense. I'm not just "hoping" that he can do these things, there's evidence of at least something to build on.

Is he guaranteed to achieve this? Absolutely not, but if I had to bet all of my money on one of these three guys based on who I think realistically has the best chance of reaching their potential, I'm putting all my chips on Wiseman.

Ball/Edwards have shown ONE elite skill, that may or may not be elite at the NBA level. Then to put them in the conversation of #1 pick, people ignore MASSIVE holes in their games and base their judgment that they'll figure it out solely on measurements rather than seeing that raw ability in action in games. Plus, I think their IQs are questionable at best. Sure, Ball has a high passing IQ, but shot selection, shooting form (seriously how is he this far along with a two handed push shot?) and defense I think he shows a low IQ.

In the case of Edwards and Ball I think a lot of people are looking at what they hope they COULD be and are glossing over a lot of red flags to do so. On the other end, I think people are greatly magnifying their perceived negatives of Wiseman's game simply based on the fact that they don't think he works next to KAT. If you take fit out of it and the team that has the #1 pick and just look at the players straight up, I think Wiseman is easily the #1 pick. It's also strange how people forget about how drafting for FIT has failed miserably so many times in the past and in hindsight always point to talent. Or at least they ignore it in the case of Wiseman, but then on the other side they try to act like Ball/Edwards have the most talent.

Wiseman has the ability right now compared to VERY GOOD NBA players to make an impact. The other two guys have a lot of development needed just to be a positive on an NBA team.

I had ZERO bias coming into this, didn't know ANY of these players before we got the #1 pick and have looked at each of them objectively based on their current experience/accomplishments and most importantly, how they could help the Wolves win. I just see WAY too many red flags in Edwards and Ball to want them on the Wolves.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1307 » by Dewey » Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:54 pm

Biff Cooper wrote:Rosas - If you can't make a deal before the draft, then please don't get all smart and take someone you think has the most value for a trade in the future. If you can't make a deal by the draft, then that player likely doesn't have as much value as you think he does. Please ignore the hype and take the guy that your staff's research has determined to be the best combination of ability / prospect / fit for the Timberwolves. If neither Wiseman, Ball, or Edwards is this player, oh well.

Thank you,
Biff

Ya nothing worse than taking a player that don’t fit and he loses value in the process ... I think there’s a good handful of players (Avdija, Okoro, Okungwu) who will be solid NBA players and appear to be good fits. Im one who thinks Wiseman and KAT can co-exist, but I do think the private workouts will open or shut that door
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1308 » by urinesane » Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:01 pm

Baseline81 wrote:
urinesane wrote:Lol, so you'd rather try to extrapolate his ability based on stats from 3 college games, but I can't look at his shooting form in highlights and make an observation? Basically in one sentence you criticize me for using highlights as a point of information and then in the next you decide to use the smallest sample size possible?

Well, I guess he missed that three pointer, so he couldn't possibly develop any sort shot from that range in the future. Plus, in three games he didn't average an assist, so that's out the window too. Though outside of Jokic, how many Centers in the NBA have impressive assist numbers? What sort of assists per game would he need to put up for you to say he's a good enough passer for your standards?

I look at his awareness in that video on the assists he did make and it looks like there's potential. Most of the time, passing didn't make sense, because he could just dunk it easily.

How about this, rather than looking at a tiny sample size of games or strictly highlight videos. What in his shooting form gives you cause for concern ? Feel free to show me a video of all his misses if that makes it more relevant to you. Unless his form completely breaks down when he misses shots, I still think his form points to pretty solid potential to develop a consistent jumper at the NBA level.

Ball on the other hand will either have to overhaul his shooting form or will struggle to have any sort of consistency scoring outside of the painted area. Rubio had a much better shooting form when he came into the league and it took a long time for him to work on it to get it to it's current point.

There have been countless clips/highlights from center prospects over the years showing them shooting from deep. And only a small amount incorporate it at the next level. I will add, though, I do feel Wiseman's capable of extending his range, which is why I've repeated myself time and again when I say the issue between him and Towns is not on the offensive end of the court. My intention was not to argue Ball or Wiseman, it was simply to point out the fallacies of mixtapes.

I am very aware of the small sample size, yet, that is all we are given. You have to remember his first two games were against South Carolina State and IUC. He certainly abused them with his size, recording 11 and 9 rebounds and 3 and 5 blocks in only 22 and 25 minutes. However, if he did have this passing potential you speak of, why wasn't he able to showcase it in said games. Just one assist..


That wasn't what was being asked of him. The only reason to pass it at his position is if he were on the perimeter or getting double/triple teamed. Would you rather have him pass up an easy dunk to pass to a shooter on the perimeter?

Just like with KAT and people thinking he couldn't shoot the three based on his season at Kentucky, that wasn't the role he was given on that team, so he developed his post game and people assumed that's all he could do.

There's a big difference between being able to do something and being in a system that asks you to do something else (which he did very well in the small sample size we have). He was asked to be a monster on the boards, in the low post, and to protect the rim. By all of the examples we have, he did that VERY well.

Don't get me wrong, he will have issues at the NBA level as a rim protector until he learns to not bite on pump fakes, but that's pretty low level stuff for Centers that don't have a bag of sand for brains to learn at the NBA level (remember how much foul trouble Pek had his rookie year?).

Unlike Wiseman's passing/three point shooting, the other red flags we point to in Edwards/Ball's games are things that they had free reign to do and failed miserably at against MUCH weaker competition than the NBA. Wiseman dominated the teams he played, what else can we ask of him in those situations?
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1309 » by urinesane » Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:08 pm

To the people that voted Edwards or Ball. They struggled a lot against weaker competition than the NBA and did not have success in ways that lead to their teams winning at college and NBDL levels.

Why would you count on them putting it together at a difficulty level that several orders of magnitude higher in the NBA?

That's just factoring in playing the game in a vacuum. It doesn't factor in how that first big check effects young players, or the NBA life style, or the MUCH more physically taxing game/travel schedule (this is even more magnified if you're on the Wolves due to conference assignments).

I just don't have faith that they'll put it together. Worst case with Wiseman, if he can stay healthy and doesn't develop his game, he is STILL a solid plus for the team playing center. Also, I think any perceived issues with his perimeter defense are vastly outweighed by the skills and things he can do RIGHT NOW. If he does develop the ability to defend the perimeter, I don't really see any weaknesses. It's not like his shooting form stinks and he bricks every FT, making him a liability in late game situations.

You're basically hoping for two guys to improve A LOT, vs one guy that if all he becomes is who he currently is, has pretty solid value for this team. If he does develop any of his obvious potential, we could be seeing a generational big man and a piece that turns this franchise into a legit contender for a good stretch of time.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1310 » by Jedzz » Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:27 pm

Biff Cooper wrote:Rosas - If you can't make a deal before the draft, then please don't get all smart and take someone you think has the most value for a trade in the future. If you can't make a deal by the draft, then that player likely doesn't have as much value as you think he does. Please ignore the hype and take the guy that your staff's research has determined to be the best combination of ability / prospect / fit for the Timberwolves. If neither Wiseman, Ball, or Edwards is this player, oh well.

Thank you,
Biff


I Second this.

Especially liked the part about the thing where you said...
If you can't make a deal by the draft, then those currently hyped players projected up top likely don't have as much value as some people think they do.

if Rosas can make a deal before the draft, by all means. If he can't, then follow Biffs wisdom.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1311 » by chaimer » Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:32 pm

All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1312 » by Klomp » Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:44 pm

urinesane wrote:
Klomp wrote:This is the important part of what he said:

Now, are there some issues here with his potential fit with D’Angelo Russell? Yeah, maybe I mean, they’re both kind of ball-in-hand point guards and haven’t been too enthusiastic about playing defense. But I think because of their heights, I do think it’s possible for them to play together, if they can kind of work out how to be comfortable playing off the ball some of the time.

I don’t necessarily see that as a as a deal breaker for them, especially at the point they’re at, which it’s not like they’re not trying to refine their chemistry for a run at the championship right now. Right? They’re just trying to build up enough talent to have a halfway decent team. And until you get to that point, I think, I think you don’t really worry about fit issues and things like that as much. You’re just they’re still in town accumulation face, and they need to continue that.

This has been my argument for awhile now. And I think that logic frustrates some people, as I think the perception is that a No. 1 pick needs to stay with that franchise for their entire career. Here's the list of No. 1 picks to play for one franchise, going back 20 seasons: Zion Williamson, DeAndre Ayton, Ben Simmons, Karl-Anthony Towns, John Wall, Yao Ming. Going back another decade, the only player you add is Tim Duncan. And I believe the next player added to the list is David Robinson.

Whoever is drafted at No. 1 is probably going to change teams at some point. Worrying about roster fit seems pretty pointless to me.


The entire argument against Wiseman was fit though wasn't it? I think he has the highest potential of the three we've been discussing AND is the most NBA ready. If we don't simply want to be a development team for the #1 pick before they go somewhere else, it makes more sense to pick Wiseman, not only for his ability to have a noticeable impact in his first contract (if not rookie season) and help the team WIN. Which is exactly what they need to do to stop KAT/DLo from going somewhere else after this contract.

In my opinion picking Ball or Edwards would pretty much guarantee we are a lottery team this next season and in 4 years maybe a team competing for the 8th spot in the West (with no real chance to make a deep run). Which would most definitely mean KAT/DLo are gone after their current contracts and we are back to yet another rebuild.

With Wiseman I see the chance to actually build a team that can contend, maybe not for a championship (there is so much that needs to go right for that to happen), but realistic potential to reach the Western Conference Finals by Wiseman's 4th year.

Again, I may be wrong about Wiseman, but the main argument against him was fit, so to have that be brushed off so easily when it comes to Ball seems weird. Ball needs to develop his game WAAAAAAY more than Wiseman just to make a positive contribution to an NBA team, let alone help a team become a consistent winner.

I draw a difference between system fit and roster fit. Russell has shown he can play with other PGs. Did it in Brooklyn. Did it last year with McLaughlin. Drafting Wiseman would be a fundamental change in system, unless you're drafting him solely as a backup to Towns.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1313 » by urinesane » Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:58 pm

chaimer wrote:All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.


I trust Rosas and if he doesn't see what we're seeing in Wiseman in workouts (basically if he doesn't blow them away), I'm cool with trading the pick and getting an established player (or assets to gain one).

If they pick and keep Ball/Edwards, I will be very disappointed.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1314 » by Baseline81 » Tue Oct 13, 2020 10:04 pm

urinesane wrote:That wasn't what was being asked of him. The only reason to pass it at his position is if he were on the perimeter or getting double/triple teamed. Would you rather have him pass up an easy dunk to pass to a shooter on the perimeter?

Just like with KAT and people thinking he couldn't shoot the three based on his season at Kentucky, that wasn't the role he was given on that team, so he developed his post game and people assumed that's all he could do.

There's a big difference between being able to do something and being in a system that asks you to do something else (which he did very well in the small sample size we have). He was asked to be a monster on the boards, in the low post, and to protect the rim. By all of the examples we have, he did that VERY well.

Don't get me wrong, he will have issues at the NBA level as a rim protector until he learns to not bite on pump fakes, but that's pretty low level stuff for Centers that don't have a bag of sand for brains to learn at the NBA level (remember how much foul trouble Pek had his rookie year?).

Unlike Wiseman's passing/three point shooting, the other red flags we point to in Edwards/Ball's games are things that they had free reign to do and failed miserably at against MUCH weaker competition than the NBA. Wiseman dominated the teams he played, what else can we ask of him in those situations?

This is not the only place I've heard or seen this, but here's a snippet from Wiseman's scouting report on The Stepien:

Passing: Not a passer. Had one nice pass vs South Carolina State in semi-transition, but that was the only one that flashed during his brief time in college. Even during AAU, he was not a passer – always way more of a finisher, or someone who tried to finish (forced a lot). Flashed some very basic passing in AAU/HS, but they were stationary looks and no PnR short roll / movement passes. Because he was boxed in to a more specific role in college (purely a finisher and screen setter), his job was to simply finish when he got the ball in the paint. However, again, going back to the AAU/HS tape, there is plenty of poor shots / missing open teammates. Turnovers weren’t really an issue in the tiny sample size in college (3 turnovers in 3 games, though only 1 assist…but, again, his role was a finisher), but they were in AAU/HS. As a rising senior, he had turnovers to 14 assists in 21 games in Peach Jam and EYBL. As a junior, he was at 18 turnovers to 9 assists. There is ample evidence that he is severely lacking as a passer and decision-making / feel going back to his pre-college tape. His role in the NBA should be one that minimizes the thinking on the fly aspect…unless he is able to develop it in time, which means the game would have to slow down for him quite a bit. Keep him as a rim runner / screener.


He's mentioned, as you said, how Memphis did not ask that of Wiseman. But he's even gone back to his AAU and high school footage as evidence for his lack of skill in passing.

When the Wolves won the lottery, outside of trading the first overall pick for potentially a star like Booker, I immediately thought of Wiseman. But because Rosas and Saunders want a specific style of play built around Towns as the center, the fit is not there. With Russell (3-year contract) and Towns (4-year contract), I'm not sure why a backup center would be selected. I don't believe he can play on the floor alongside Towns on the defensive end. Towns isn't moving to PF. And it doesn't sound as if Wiseman could hang there either:

Defensive Role: Rim protector, drop big. Not someone I’d want out in space because his footwork is pretty poor, not great of turning hips, has “heavy feet,” and isn’t balanced in space. Footwork can be cleaned up to remedy some of these issues, but he’s a good rim protector when he sees what’s in front of him. Needs to work on awareness as the back-end of defense, but it improved from AAU to college (some miscommunication issues during the small sample size in college, though not necessarily his fault). Timing affecting shots around the rim is good.


Regarding Ball, I am neither high nor low on the prospect. Should he be selected first overall, I see him mainly as another asset for Rosas to use later on.

I feel Edwards, though, does fit best of the three we are discussing. That doesn't mean he's the one to go with. Neither Russell nor Beasley are known for attacking the basket, something Edwards can do. And if you're going to use the shooting form argument for Wiseman, why can it not be the same for Edwards? I actually buy into the theory that his role on the team and lack of a decent surrounding cast lead to his lower shooting percentages. The worry with the Georgia prospect is his willingness to play -- the Wiggins' effect.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1315 » by minimus » Tue Oct 13, 2020 10:27 pm

chaimer wrote:All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.


Agree. One thought, Marc Gasol is reported to play in Spain next season. Even if he stays in TOR, Masai Ujiri might want Wiseman to join their group and slowly develop into premier defensive minded big man. And I would love to get Anunoby in S&T
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1316 » by Worm Guts » Tue Oct 13, 2020 10:56 pm

minimus wrote:
chaimer wrote:All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.


Agree. One thought, Marc Gasol is reported to play in Spain next season. Even if he stays in TOR, Masai Ujiri might want Wiseman to join their group and slowly develop into premier defensive minded big man. And I would love to get Anunoby in S&T


Disagree. I don’t think that makes any sense, especially in a draft like this. Once the season starts the most important factor in retaining value is how successful that player is. So ultimately, the best trade asset is the best player.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1317 » by urinesane » Tue Oct 13, 2020 11:09 pm

Worm Guts wrote:
minimus wrote:
chaimer wrote:All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.


Agree. One thought, Marc Gasol is reported to play in Spain next season. Even if he stays in TOR, Masai Ujiri might want Wiseman to join their group and slowly develop into premier defensive minded big man. And I would love to get Anunoby in S&T


Disagree. I don’t think that makes any sense, especially in a draft like this. Once the season starts the most important factor in retaining value is how successful that player is. So ultimately, the best trade asset is the best player.


Agreed. The only way Ball/Edwards have high value is in a trade before they play their first season. Expecting a rookie (especially a #1) to increase their trade value in their rookie year is a hell of a gamble (and one that more often than not would blow up in our faces).
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1318 » by urinesane » Tue Oct 13, 2020 11:13 pm

Baseline81 wrote:
urinesane wrote:That wasn't what was being asked of him. The only reason to pass it at his position is if he were on the perimeter or getting double/triple teamed. Would you rather have him pass up an easy dunk to pass to a shooter on the perimeter?

Just like with KAT and people thinking he couldn't shoot the three based on his season at Kentucky, that wasn't the role he was given on that team, so he developed his post game and people assumed that's all he could do.

There's a big difference between being able to do something and being in a system that asks you to do something else (which he did very well in the small sample size we have). He was asked to be a monster on the boards, in the low post, and to protect the rim. By all of the examples we have, he did that VERY well.

Don't get me wrong, he will have issues at the NBA level as a rim protector until he learns to not bite on pump fakes, but that's pretty low level stuff for Centers that don't have a bag of sand for brains to learn at the NBA level (remember how much foul trouble Pek had his rookie year?).

Unlike Wiseman's passing/three point shooting, the other red flags we point to in Edwards/Ball's games are things that they had free reign to do and failed miserably at against MUCH weaker competition than the NBA. Wiseman dominated the teams he played, what else can we ask of him in those situations?

This is not the only place I've heard or seen this, but here's a snippet from Wiseman's scouting report on The Stepien:

Passing: Not a passer. Had one nice pass vs South Carolina State in semi-transition, but that was the only one that flashed during his brief time in college. Even during AAU, he was not a passer – always way more of a finisher, or someone who tried to finish (forced a lot). Flashed some very basic passing in AAU/HS, but they were stationary looks and no PnR short roll / movement passes. Because he was boxed in to a more specific role in college (purely a finisher and screen setter), his job was to simply finish when he got the ball in the paint. However, again, going back to the AAU/HS tape, there is plenty of poor shots / missing open teammates. Turnovers weren’t really an issue in the tiny sample size in college (3 turnovers in 3 games, though only 1 assist…but, again, his role was a finisher), but they were in AAU/HS. As a rising senior, he had turnovers to 14 assists in 21 games in Peach Jam and EYBL. As a junior, he was at 18 turnovers to 9 assists. There is ample evidence that he is severely lacking as a passer and decision-making / feel going back to his pre-college tape. His role in the NBA should be one that minimizes the thinking on the fly aspect…unless he is able to develop it in time, which means the game would have to slow down for him quite a bit. Keep him as a rim runner / screener.


He's mentioned, as you said, how Memphis did not ask that of Wiseman. But he's even gone back to his AAU and high school footage as evidence for his lack of skill in passing.

When the Wolves won the lottery, outside of trading the first overall pick for potentially a star like Booker, I immediately thought of Wiseman. But because Rosas and Saunders want a specific style of play built around Towns as the center, the fit is not there. With Russell (3-year contract) and Towns (4-year contract), I'm not sure why a backup center would be selected. I don't believe he can play on the floor alongside Towns on the defensive end. Towns isn't moving to PF. And it doesn't sound as if Wiseman could hang there either:

Defensive Role: Rim protector, drop big. Not someone I’d want out in space because his footwork is pretty poor, not great of turning hips, has “heavy feet,” and isn’t balanced in space. Footwork can be cleaned up to remedy some of these issues, but he’s a good rim protector when he sees what’s in front of him. Needs to work on awareness as the back-end of defense, but it improved from AAU to college (some miscommunication issues during the small sample size in college, though not necessarily his fault). Timing affecting shots around the rim is good.


Regarding Ball, I am neither high nor low on the prospect. Should he be selected first overall, I see him mainly as another asset for Rosas to use later on.

I feel Edwards, though, does fit best of the three we are discussing. That doesn't mean he's the one to go with. Neither Russell nor Beasley are known for attacking the basket, something Edwards can do. And if you're going to use the shooting form argument for Wiseman, why can it not be the same for Edwards? I actually buy into the theory that his role on the team and lack of a decent surrounding cast lead to his lower shooting percentages. The worry with the Georgia prospect is his willingness to play -- the Wiggins' effect.


Solid replies, though since most of this is based on pre-college ball it's difficult to put a ton of weight into it (would like to see how he has potentially progressed/or not in these areas before putting a label/limit on him).

Thank you for finding this though, as it's definitely something he needs to focus on in his first couple years (though he mostly just needs to learn how to pass out of double teams as I don't expect tons of full court outlet passing from him). I also think that in the modern NBA he will have more opportunity to learn the defensive side than is provided in AAU/HS/NCAA ball. Defense tends to be the lowest priority unfortunately at those levels, but I feel with the crazy physical attributes and high level of coordination, he can at least improve to being competent in these areas if he wants to improve (and must to take his game to the highest levels).

My main worries with Edwards are on the mental side. Not sure he has the drive to bring it every night and I worry that he will be satisfied putting up empty stats on a losing team (as long as he gets his numbers).
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1319 » by SO_MONEY » Tue Oct 13, 2020 11:28 pm

chaimer wrote:All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.


Not how it works. If they draft a player they are keeping them for a while.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#1320 » by Klomp » Wed Oct 14, 2020 12:28 am

SO_MONEY wrote:
chaimer wrote:All that talk about Wiseman. So many of you are setting yourself for a disappointment.

Listen, you forget who runs your basketball operations and where did he came from. Rosas is going for a player with the highest trade value and will try to flip him after the draft, if the trade is not made before. Pacers, Pistons, Sixers and others are sniffing around and you all know who is their target.

If there is no deal before the draft - no worries. Some team will strike out on their plan A or maybe realize that their bluff is not working on Rosas and they have to step up with the offer.


Not how it works. If they draft a player they are keeping them for a while.

Houston drafted Jeremy Lamb on June 28 and traded him on October 27.
Cleveland drafted Andrew Wiggins on June 26 and traded him on August 23.

It's exactly how it works.
tsherkin wrote:The important thing to take away here is that Klomp is wrong.
Esohny wrote:Why are you asking Klomp? "He's" actually a bot that posts random blurbs from a database.
Klomp wrote:I'm putting the tired in retired mod at the moment

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